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Frontiers in Decadal Climate Variability - Proceedings of a Workshop (Paperback)
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Frontiers in Decadal Climate Variability - Proceedings of a Workshop (Paperback)
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Many factors contribute to variability in Earth's climate on a
range of timescales, from seasons to decades. Natural climate
variability arises from two different sources: (1) internal
variability from interactions among components of the climate
system, for example, between the ocean and the atmosphere, and (2)
natural external forcings, such as variations in the amount of
radiation from the Sun. External forcings on the climate system
also arise from some human activities, such as the emission of
greenhouse gases (GHGs) and aerosols. The climate that we
experience is a combination of all of these factors. Understanding
climate variability on the decadal timescale is important to
decision-making. Planners and policy makers want information about
decadal variability in order to make decisions in a range of
sectors, including for infrastructure, water resources,
agriculture, and energy. In September 2015, the National Academies
of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine convened a workshop to
examine variability in Earth's climate on decadal timescales,
defined as 10 to 30 years. During the workshop, ocean and climate
scientists reviewed the state of the science of decadal climate
variability and its relationship to rates of human-caused global
warming, and they explored opportunities for improvement in
modeling and observations and assessing knowledge gaps. Frontiers
in Decadal Climate Variability summarizes the presentations and
discussions from the workshop. Table of Contents Front Matter
Overview Introduction Challenges in Examining Climate Trends Modes
and Mechanisms of Internal Variability The Role of External Forcing
Overcoming Data Limitations Toward Predictability Frontiers and
Research Opportunities References Appendix A: Statement of Task
Appendix B: Planning Committee Biographical Sketches Appendix C:
Workshop Agenda Appendix D: Workshop Participants Appendix E: Panel
Presentation Abstracts Appendix F: Song Lyrics
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