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Failing the Crystal Ball Test - The Carter Administration and the Fundamentalist Revolution in Iran (Hardcover, New)
Loot Price: R2,705
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Failing the Crystal Ball Test - The Carter Administration and the Fundamentalist Revolution in Iran (Hardcover, New)
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With the Iranian revolution as her focal point, Seliktar offers a
systematic analysis of predictive failure in foreign policy at the
paradigmatic, policy, and intelligence levels. Seliktar first
examines how social science paradigms determine conceptualizations
of political change, and then applies that analysis to
understanding New Internationalism, the Carter administration's
foreign policy philosophy at the time of the Shah's fall from
power. Based in part on classified documents seized during the
takeover of the American embassy, Failing the Crystal Ball Test is
a valuable addition to Middle Eastern studies, international
relations, and comparative politics collections. Seliktar engages
in a general discussion of the problems entailed in correctly
assessing the political legitimacy of foreign regimes, and
describes the origins of New Internationalism as influenced by the
New Left dependency theories. Examining President Carter's
application of New Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar presents an
account first of political influences on the predictive process
during the early stages of revolution, and then of the
administration's misreading of the likelihood of a fundamentalist
regime in Teheran.
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