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Wahlen als rationale Entscheidung (German, Hardcover, Reprint 2015 ed.)
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Wahlen als rationale Entscheidung (German, Hardcover, Reprint 2015 ed.)
Series: Scientia Nova
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Wie sensitiv reagieren Wahler auf die Politikpositionen der
Parteien und welche Auswirkungen hat dies auf die Wiederwahlchancen
der Parteien? Diese Frage wird in dem Buch beantwortet, indem ein
in Verkehrsokonomik und Marketing entwickelter Ansatz in die
Wahlforschung transferiert wird. Hierbei wird das okonomische
Wahlermodell im Rahmen der stochastischen Entscheidungstheorie
reformuliert, wobei Kandidaten- und Parteienmerkmale als
Entscheidungskriterien verwendet werden. Auf statistisch innovative
Weise werden Politikreaktionen der Wahler im Hinblick auf die
Wahlchancen der Parteien bei der Bundestagswahl 1990 vergleichend
in Ost- und Westdeutschland geschatzt. How sensitive do voters
react to policy positions of parties in multiparty systems and
which implications do the voters policy reactions have for the
parties to be reelected? By transferring approaches originally
developed in transportation economics and marketing sciences to
political science, the book tries to systematically answer these
questions. It reformulates the spatial theory of voting in terms of
stochastic multiattributive decision theory and uses features of
candidates and parties as decision criteria. By taking advantage of
statistically innovative tools, empirical policy reaction functions
are estimated for the first All-German election in 1990."
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