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Optimum Inductive Methods - A Study in Inductive Probability, Bayesian Statistics, and Verisimilitude (Hardcover, 1993 ed.)
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Optimum Inductive Methods - A Study in Inductive Probability, Bayesian Statistics, and Verisimilitude (Hardcover, 1993 ed.)
Series: Synthese Library, 232
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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This book deals with a basic problem arising within the Bayesian
approach 1 to scientific methodology, namely the choice of prior
probabilities. The problem will be considered with special
reference to some inference methods used within Bayesian statistics
(BS) and the so-called theory of inductive 2 probabilities (T/P).
In this study an important role will be played by the assumption -
defended by Sir Karl Popper and the supporters of the current
verisimilitude theory (VT) - that the cognitive goal of science is
the achievement of a high degree of truthlikeness or
verisimilitude. A more detailed outline of the issues and
objectives of the book is given in Section 1. In Section 2 the
historical background of the Bayesian approach and the
verisimilitude theory is briefly illustrated. In Section 3, the
methods used in TIP and BS for making multinomial inference~ are
considered and some conceptual relationships between TIP and BS are
pointed out. In Section 4 the main lines of a new approach to the
problem of the choice of prior probabilities are illustrated.
Lastly, in Section 5 >the structure of the book is described and
a first explanation of some technical terms is provided.
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