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Growth and Variability in State Tax Revenue - An Anatomy of State Fiscal Crises (Hardcover, New)
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Growth and Variability in State Tax Revenue - An Anatomy of State Fiscal Crises (Hardcover, New)
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During recessions state government fiscal crises are widespread, as
states find their revenues inadequate to meet their expenditure
demands. This volume shows that state fiscal crises have only one
significant cause: revenue downturns associated with recessions.
Other analysts have argued that fiscal crises are the result of an
interaction of many complex causes, including inadequate tax bases,
increasing expenditure demands, and limits placed on state
governments by voters. This analysis examines these other factors
and shows that while they present significant challenges to state
policymakers, they are not the cause of fiscal crises. The book
presents an improved methodology for measuring cyclical variability
of revenues and uses this methodology to show that there is no way
to restructure state tax systems in order to appreciably reduce the
fiscal stress associated with recessions. Fiscal stress can be
lessened by setting aside revenues during prosperous years in a
rainy day fund, but current rainy day funds are not large enough to
eliminate the fiscal stress caused by recessions.
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