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Arctic-Subarctic Ocean Fluxes - Defining the Role of the Northern Seas in Climate (Hardcover, 2008 ed.)
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Arctic-Subarctic Ocean Fluxes - Defining the Role of the Northern Seas in Climate (Hardcover, 2008 ed.)
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The two-way oceanic exchanges that connect the Arctic and Atlantic
oceans through subarctic seas are of fundamental importance to
climate. Change may certainly be imposed on the Arctic Ocean from
subarctic seas, including a changing poleward ocean heat flux that
is central to determining the present state and future fate of the
perennial sea-ice. And the signal of Arctic change is expected to
have its major climatic impact by reaching south through subarctic
seas, either side of Greenland, to modulate the Atlantic
thermohaline a ~conveyora (TM). Developing the predictive skills of
climate models is seen to be the most direct way of extending the
ability of society to mitigate for or adapt to 'global change' and
is the main justification for continuing an intense observational
effort in these waters. As records have lengthened, they have shown
that important aspects of oceanic exchange through subarctic seas
are currently at a long-term extreme state, providing further
motivation for their study. As one important example, the longest
records of all show that the temperature of the main oceanic inflow
to the Norwegian Sea along the Scottish shelf and slope, and the
temperature of the poleward extension of that flow through the Kola
Section of the Barents Sea have never been greater in >100
years. However, we are only now beginning to understand the
climatic impact of the remarkable events that are currently in
train in subarctic waters, and models remain undecided on some of
the most basic issues that link change in our northern seas to
climate. Reviewing the achievements of an intense recent observing
and modelling effort, this volume intends to assemble the body of
evidence thatclimate models will need if they are one day to make
that assessment, quantifying the ocean exchanges through subarctic
seas, describing their importance to climate as we currently
understand it, explaining their variability, setting out our
current ideas on the forcing of these fluxes and our improved
capability in modelling the fluxes themselves and the processes at
work. Much of that evidence is assembled here for the first time.
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