Most of those who comment on Iran's attempt to influence Iraqi
Shia, do so without considering the historical and cultural
connection between these two peoples. The research presented
directs its attention to the Iranian motives and capabilities and
then to the first targets of Iranian influence efforts. Finally,
the research considered the historical and cultural connections
between Iraqi and Iranian Shia to identify the themes and methods
that persuade Iraqi Shia to collaborate with Iran. Iran is
presently conducting an aggressive strategic influence campaign
into southern Iraq. The Iraqi Shia community is the primary target
of Iranian efforts. Tehran's bases its motivations on national
self-interest and religious-political ideals. The Iranian Regime
advocates a religious political activism to expand fundamental
religious ideals. The Shia community in Iraq holds on to the
practice of religious-political self-preservation and seeks to
conform to the state in order to exist. Members of both Shia
communities hold varied cultural values, based on their historical
development. Tehran uses methods along the spectrum of
psychological persuasion to influence and subvert the Iraqi Shia
community. Specifically, they target individual communities. The
Iranian regime attempts to gain authority in Iraq via the same
government institutions designed to control over its own
population. The formidable Iranian government apparatus allows the
targeting of the Iraqi population through efforts designed to
achieve compliance and conformity. The Iraqi Shia society is
fragmented, but nationalism also provides a powerful influence for
this group. The majority of the Iraqi Shia community identify
themselves as Iraqi citizens despite a common historical narrative
and ethnic ties with the Iranian Shia population. Independent
national principles foster Iraqi and Iranian nationalist sentiments
and the division between the two states are likely to grow with the
Iraqi government becoming more capable and effective of controlling
its own state affairs. However, Iran will continue to attempt to
exploit areas where the new Iraqi government has limited
penetration along the southern border region.
General
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