An original study of the philosophical problems associated with
inductive reasoning. Like most of the main questions in
epistemology, the classical problem of induction arises from doubts
about a mode of inference used to justify some of our most familiar
and pervasive beliefs. The experience of each individual is limited
and fragmentary, yet the scope of our beliefs is much wider; and it
is the relation between belief and experience, in particular the
belief that the future will in some respects resemble the past and
the unobserved the observed, which forms the subject of this book.
Dr Blackburn's first aim is to state the problem of induction
properly, to show that there does exist a genuine problem immune to
the solutions in vogue at present, yet no tin principle insoluble.
He gives an extended and original account of the concept of a
reason and goes on to discuss prediction. In the end Dr Blackburn
produces a rationale for belief in certain short-term predictions
based on his reinterpretation of the classical principle of
indifference. He claims that a justification for induction can be
found along the lines he has suggested and must indeed be found
there if anywhere.
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