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Model-Based Demography - Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2018)
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Model-Based Demography - Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2018)
Series: Demographic Research Monographs
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Late in a career of more than sixty years, Thomas Burch, an
internationally known social demographer, undertook a wide-ranging
methodological critique of demography. This open access volume
contains a selection of resulting papers, some previously
unpublished, some published but not readily accessible. Rejecting
the idea that demography is simply a branch of applied statistics,
his work views it as an autonomous and complete scientific
discipline. When viewed from the perspective of modern philosophy
of science, specifically the semantic or model-based school,
demography is a balanced discipline, with a rich body of techniques
and data, but also with more and better theories than generally
recognized. As demonstrated in this book, some demographic
techniques can also be seen as theoretical models, and some
substantive/behavioral models, commonly rejected as theory because
of inconsistent observations, are now seen as valuable theoretical
models, for example demographic transition theory. This book shows
how demography can build a strong theoretical edifice on its broad
and deep empirical foundation by adoption of the model-based
approach to science. But the full-fruits of this approach will
require demographers to make greater use of computer modeling in
the statement and manipulation of theoretical ideas, as well as for
numerical computation.
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