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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Population & demography
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Altered States - Changing Populations, Changing Parties, and the Transformation of the American Political Landscape (Paperback)
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Altered States - Changing Populations, Changing Parties, and the Transformation of the American Political Landscape (Paperback)
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The 2012 presidential elections represented the second consecutive
defeat for the Republican Party, and its fourth defeat out of the
last six presidential elections. In recent years both Republican
and Democratic strategists and pundits have spoken of an emerging
Democratic Party "lock" on the Electoral College and speculated
that even in the wake of Republican victories in Congress,
presidential candidates are still at a major disadvantage due to
the party's increasing demographic and geographic isolation. In
Altered States, Thomas Holbrook looks at change in party fortunes
in presidential elections since 1972, documenting the magnitude,
direction, and consequences of changes in party support in the
states. He finds that the Democrats do not have a "lock" on the
Electoral College, but that their position has improved
dramatically over the past forty years in a number of formerly
competitive or Republican-leaning states in the Northeast,
Southeast, and Southwest. Republican candidates have made many
fewer gains, mostly improving their position in "misplaced,"
formerly Democratic states, such as Kentucky and West Virginia, or
in already deeply Republican states in the Plains and Mountain
West. Holbrook looks at the ways that changes in the racial and
ethnic composition of the state electorates, internal (state to
state) and external (foreign born) migratory patterns, and changes
in other key demographic and political characteristics drive these
changes. Additionally, he explores the ways in which increasing
partisan polarization at the national level has altered group-based
party linkages and contributed to changes in party support at the
state level. These factors, along with an increasingly inefficient
distribution of Republican votes, have converted what was once a
Republican edge in electoral votes to an advantage for Democratic
presidential candidates.
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