This book opens new approach to the study of global
environmental changes having unfourable character for peoples and
other living systems. Main advantage of this book consists in the
accumulation of knowledge from different sciences to parameterize
global biogeochemical cycles in the context of globalization and
sustainable development. Basic global problems of the
nature-society system dynamics have been considered and the key
problems of ensuring its sustainable development have been
discussed. An analysis has been made of the present trend in
changing ecological systems and characteristics of the present
global ecodynamics have been estimated. The emphasis has been
placed on the accomplishment of global geoinformation monitoring,
which could provide a reliable control of the environmental
processes development with further obtaining prognostic estimates
of consequences of realization of anthropogenic projects. A new
approach to the nature-society system numerical modelling has been
proposed and demonstrative results have been given of modelling the
dynamics of this system s characteristics in cases of realization
of some scenarios of anthropogenic impact on the biogeochemical
cycles. The importance and the need has been emphasized of
development of adaptive algorithms of monitoring data processing
which make it possible to reduce the economic expenses on its
accomplishment and raise the reliability of the obtained estimates
of the global ecodynamics characteristics. Perspective approaches
have been suggested for the development of technology to estimate
the risk of realization of decisions on ecosystems management. The
realization of this approach allows integration within a complex
structure of all international and national means of environmental
monitoring and provides a tool for objective evaluation of the
environmental quality. The main purpose of this book is to develop
an universal information technology to estimate the state of
environmental subsystems functioning under various climatic and
anthropogenic conditions and to assess the dependence of global
bviogeochemical cycles on the globalization processes. Applied
mathematicians, geophysicists, hydrologists, socio-economists,
statesmans and other researchers of global change will find a
wealth of information and ideas in this book."
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