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Regional Spillover Effects of the Iraq War (Paperback)
Loot Price: R337
Discovery Miles 3 370
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Regional Spillover Effects of the Iraq War (Paperback)
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Loot Price R337
Discovery Miles 3 370
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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The Iraq war has been one of the dominant factors influencing U.S.
strategic thinking in the Middle East and globally since 2003. Yet
the problems of this highly dynamic and fluid war have sometimes
forced U.S. policymakers to address near-term issues that cannot be
safely postponed at the expense of long-term strategic thought.
Such a technique, while understandable, cannot continue
indefinitely as an approach to policy. Long-term planning remains
vital for advancing regionwide U.S. and Iraqi interests following a
U.S. drawdown from Iraq. Such planning must include dealing with
current and potential "spillover" from the Iraq war. In this
monograph, Dr. W. Andrew Terrill presents ideas, concerns, and
strategies that can help to fill this gap in the literature and
enrich the debate on the actual and potential spillover effects of
the Iraq war that will face U.S. policymakers, possibly for
decades. Regional spillover problems associated with the Iraq war
need to be considered and addressed even in the event of strong
future success in building the new Iraq. In less optimistic
scenarios, these issues will become even more important. Spillover
issues addressed herein include: (1) the flow of refugees and
displaced persons from Iraq, (2) cross-border terrorism, (3) the
potential intensification of separatism and sectarian discord among
Iraq's neighbors, and (4) transnational crime. All of these
problems will be exceptionally important in the Middle East in the
coming years and perhaps decades, and trends involving these issues
will need to be closely monitored. Of these problems, Dr. Terrill
clearly is especially concerned with the spread of sectarian
divisions which, if not properly managed, can have devastating
regional consequences. This monograph, however, forms an important
baseline useful for considering future trends in each of the areas
that he has identified. The Strategic Studies Institute is pleased
to offer this monograph as a contribution to the national security
debate on this important subject as our nation continues to grapple
with a variety of problems associated with the U.S. presence in
Iraq and the larger Middle East. This analysis should be especially
useful to U.S. strategic leaders as they seek to address the
complicated interplay of factors related to Middle Eastern security
issues and the support of local allies. It may also be useful to
those considering how to optimize the U.S. national interest in
dealing with nonallied states within the region. This work may also
benefit those seeking a greater understanding of long-range issues
of Middle Eastern security. We hope this monograph will benefit
officers of all services as well as other U.S. Government officials
visiting Iraq and its neighbors.
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