The United States has once again entered into a period of large
external imbalances. This time the current account deficit, at
nearly 6 percent of GDP in 2004, is much larger than in the last
episode, when the deficit peaked at about 3.5 percent of GDP in
1987. Moreover, the deficit is on track to become substantially
larger over the next several years. This study examines whether the
large and growing current account deficit is a problem, and if so,
how the problem can be solved. A central policy conclusion of this
study is that it is increasingly important that the United States
reduce its external current account deficit. This deficit is no
longer benign as it arguably was in the late 1990s when it was
financing high investment instead of high consumption and large
government dissaving.
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