Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Financial
Distress discusses the evolution of three main streams within the
financial distress prediction literature: the set of dependent and
explanatory variables used, the statistical methods of estimation,
and the modeling of financial distress. Section 1 discusses
concepts of financial distress. Section 2 discusses theories
regarding the use of financial ratios as predictors of financial
distress. Section 3 contains a brief review of the literature.
Section 4 discusses the use of market price-based models of
financial distress. Section 5 develops the statistical methods for
empirical estimation of the probability of financial distress.
Section 6 discusses the major empirical findings with respect to
prediction of financial distress. Section 7 briefly summarizes some
of the more relevant literature with respect to bond ratings.
Section 8 presents some suggestions for future research and Section
9 presents concluding remarks.
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