Energy needs... oil supplies... inflation rates... the demand
for new homes... in concerns like these, forecasting plays a
crucial role. Forecasts not only determine how billions of dollars
will be spent but also commit national policies far into the
future; yet, no one really knows how to judge the reliability of
forecasts. In this innovative study, William Ascher examines the
records of expert forecasting of national trends in population,
economics, energy, transportation, and technology over a fifty-year
period. The results help to identify both the accuracies and hidden
biases of forecasting techniques, information that should be of
vital interest to all policy-makers and planners.
General
| Imprint: |
Johns Hopkins University Press
|
| Country of origin: |
United States |
| Release date: |
April 1978 |
| First published: |
1978 |
| Authors: |
William L. Ascher
(Donald C McKenna Professor of Government and Economics)
|
| Dimensions: |
229 x 152 x 14mm (L x W x T) |
| Format: |
Paperback - Trade
|
| Pages: |
256 |
| ISBN-13: |
978-0-8018-2273-5 |
| Categories: |
Books >
Social sciences >
Politics & government >
Political science & theory
|
| LSN: |
0-8018-2273-4 |
| Barcode: |
9780801822735 |
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