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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Population & demography
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Future Demographic Trends in Europe and North America - What Can We Assume Today? (Hardcover, United States Ed)
Loot Price: R4,871
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Future Demographic Trends in Europe and North America - What Can We Assume Today? (Hardcover, United States Ed)
Series: Studies in Population
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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This is the latest report on what demographers and scientists in
related disciplines think and assume today about the future of
human reproduction, longevity, and migration.
A quick look at some major errors in past population projections
demonstrates that the problem was not with the technical
instruments of projection but with the inability to anticipate
major changes in human behavior and medical progress. Any
population projection that is based exclusively on past trends of
demographic rates is bound to miss possible future dicontinuities
and surprises. If they can be anticipated at all, it can only be
done by considering demographic trends in a broader socioeconomic,
cultural, and biological context.
Here, the three components of population change--fertility,
morality, and migration--are addressed. Introductory chapters
describe past trends and assumptions for projections currently made
in Europe and North America. Also included are discussions and
analyses of some possible demographic discontinuities, together
with a description of how assumptions on the three components are
merged for population projections on national and international
levels. This includes a synthesis where alternative views are
translated numerically into ten alternative demographic scenarios
for East Europe, West Europe, and North America through the year
2050.
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