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By 2000, Ireland had achieved a remarkable macroeconomic
performance: 10% economic growth annually, a budget surplus, and a
very low debt to GDP ratio. Emigration had disappeared and there
was significant immigration from Eastern Europe. Yet, by November
2010, output had collapsed to an extent unprecedented among post
war industrial countries, the budget deficit was out of control,
and the debt to GDP ratio had soared to around 100%. In an
unprecedented development, Ireland was forced to apply for an
emergency bail-out package from the Troika (European Commission,
European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund). This
book examines how the Celtic Tiger, a high growth performing
economy, fell into a macroeconomic abyss. It is a story that shows
how the Irish economy moved from a property market crisis to a
banking crisis and fiscal crisis, and how these three crises led to
a fourth crisis, the massive financial crisis of 2010. Against the
backdrop of the newly created Eurozone, the book demonstrates how a
housing boom was transformed into a property market bubble through
excessive credit creation. Accompanying the market bubble, buoyant
property related taxes enabled a profligate government to over
spend and under tax. Few, either in Ireland or Europe, recognised
the danger signals because the prevailing economic ideology
suggested that financial markets could self-regulate. The book
analyses the roles of banks, builders, developers, regulators (the
EU, the ECB, the Central Bank of Ireland, and the Irish Financial
Regulator), politicians, economists, the media, and a property
driven populace during the various stages of the downfall of the
Celtic Tiger. It pays particular attention to the decisions to
provide a highly controversial comprehensive guarantee for the
covered Irish banks in 2008, and the subsequent events that left
the government with no alternative but to request the 2010 bail
out. Throughout the book, attention is devoted to the allocation of
responsibilities for the unfolding crises. First, who or what was
responsible for what happened and in what sense? Second, could
specific actions have been taken at various stages to prevent the
final recourse to the bail out? Finally, the book addresses the
future of the Celtic Tiger. It discusses the impact of measures to
help resolve the current Euro debt crisis as well as the underlying
lessons to be learned from this traumatic period in Ireland's
economic and financial history.
This is a book about the discovery of macroeconomic ideas and
concepts long before the term macroeconomics had been coined. The
cast of authors varies from doctors and physicians (Sir William
Petty and Francois Quesnay), to philosophers (David Hume and Adam
Smith), to bankers (Richard Cantillon and Henry Thornton) to Prime
Ministers of France (John Law and Anne Robert Jacques Turgot).
These authors had very rich and varied careers and the book invites
readers to imagine specific moments in their careers that
influenced both their lives and their writings. Building on these
events the contributions of each author are outlined and discussed.
Examination of their writings show that by the start of the
nineteenth century they had left a rich legacy of macroeconomics
ranging from the analysis and measurement of national income, the
depiction of the circular flow of income, the debate on the role of
money in the economy, the way to model the economy, the importance
of labour, land and capital, the role of entrepreneurship, the
Central Bank as a lender of last resort, and much more.
By 2000, Ireland had achieved a remarkable macroeconomic
performance producing 10% economic growth, a budget surplus, and a
very low debt to GDP ratio. Emigration had disappeared and there
was significant immigration from Eastern Europe. By November 2010,
economic growth was significantly negative, the budget deficit was
out of control and the debt to GDP ratio had risen to over 100%. In
an unprecedented development, Ireland was forced to apply for an
emergency bail-out package from the Troika (European Commission,
European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund). This
book examines how the Celtic Tiger, a high growth performing
economy, fell into a macroeconomic abyss. It is a story that shows
how the Irish economy moved from a property market crisis to a
banking crisis and fiscal crisis, and how these three crises
produced a fourth crisis, the massive financial crisis of 2010.
Against the backdrop of the newly created Eurozone, the book
demonstrates the way in which a housing boom was transformed into a
property market bubble through excessive credit creation.
Accompanying the property market bubble buoyant property related
taxes enabled a profligate government to over spend and under tax.
Few, both in Ireland or Europe, recognised the danger signals
because the prevailing economic ideology suggested that financial
markets could self-regulate. The book analyses the roles of banks,
builders, developers, regulators (the EU, the ECB, the Central Bank
of Ireland, and the Irish Financial Regulator), economists, the
media, and a property driven populace during the various unfolding
stages of the downfall of the Celtic Tiger. It pays particular
attention to the decisions to provide a highly controversial
comprehensive guarantee for the covered Irish banks and the events
that left the government with no alternative but to request a bail
out. It considers throughout two questions: who or what was
responsible for what happened and in what sense? Could actions have
been taken at various stages to prevent the final recourse to the
bail out? Finally, the book addresses the future of the Celtic
Tiger and discusses the impact of measures to help resolve the
current Euro debt crisis as well as the underlying lessons to be
learned from this traumatic period in Ireland's economic and
financial history.
This is a book about the discovery of macroeconomic ideas and
concepts long before the term macroeconomics had been coined. The
cast of authors varies from doctors and physicians (Sir William
Petty and Francois Quesnay), to philosophers (David Hume and Adam
Smith), to bankers (Richard Cantillon and Henry Thornton) to Prime
Ministers of France (John Law and Anne Robert Jacques Turgot).
These authors had very rich and varied careers and the book invites
readers to imagine specific moments in their careers that
influenced both their lives and their writings. Building on these
events the contributions of each author are outlined and discussed.
Examination of their writings show that by the start of the
nineteenth century they had left a rich legacy of macroeconomics
ranging from the analysis and measurement of national income, the
depiction of the circular flow of income, the debate on the role of
money in the economy, the way to model the economy, the importance
of labour, land and capital, the role of entrepreneurship, the
Central Bank as a lender of last resort, and much more.
This is the first biography of entrepreneur and economist Richard
Cantillon whose major work, Essai sur la Nature du Commerce en
General (1755), remains one of the most important works on
economics written in the 18th century. Using much previously
unpublished manuscript material, this study explains the nature of
Europe's first stock exchange boom, the South Sea Bubble, and the
Mississippi System, and shows how Cantillon's theorizing as an
economist interacted with his activities as a banker-entrepreneur
to make him one of Europe's wealthiest men in this period of
frenetic stock exchange activity.
This is a study of Irish-born Richard Cantillon, eighteenth century
banker and economist whose Essai sur la Nature du Commerce en
General (1755), published twenty-one years after his death, remains
a significant contribution to the development of monetary theory.
Cantillon's life was an exciting story of involvement in high-level
international banking, and speculation in foreign exchanges,
commodities and stocks at the time of the South Sea Bubble. His
death occurred in mysterious circumstances.
John Law (1671-1729) left a remarkable legacy of economic concepts
from a time when economic conceptualization was very much at an
embryonic stage. Yet he is best known-and generally dismissed-today
as a rake, duellist, and gambler. This intellectual biography
offers a new approach to Law, one that shows him to have been a
significant economic theorist with a vision that he attempted to
implement as policy in early-eighteenth-century Europe. Law's
style, marked by a clarity and use of modern terminology, stands
out starkly against the turgid prose of many of his contemporaries.
His vision of a monetary and financial system was certainly one of
a later age, for Law believed in an economy of banknotes and credit
where specie had no role to play. Ultimately Law failed as a
policy-maker, in part because of the entrenchment of the financiers
and their aristocratic backers and in part because of theoretical
flaws in his vision. His struggle for power took place against the
background of Europe's first major stock boom and collapse. The
collapse of the Mississippi System, which he had conceived, and the
South Sea Bubble led to a lasting impression of Law as a failure.
It is this impression that Antoin Murphy seeks to dispel.
John Law (1671-1729) left a remarkable legacy of economic concepts
from a time when economic conceptualization was very much at an
embryonic stage. Yet he is best known-and generally dismissed-today
as a rake, duellist, and gambler. This intellectual biography
offers a new approach to Law, one that shows him to have been a
significant economic theorist with a vision that he attempted to
implement as policy in early-eighteenth-century Europe. Law's
style, marked by a clarity and use of modern terminology, stands
out starkly against the turgid prose of many of his contemporaries.
His vision of a monetary and financial system was certainly one of
a later age, for Law believed in an economy of banknotes and credit
where specie had no role to play. Ultimately Law failed as a
policy-maker, in part because of the entrenchment of the financiers
and their aristocratic backers and in part because of theoretical
flaws in his vision. His struggle for power took place against the
background of Europe's first major stock boom and collapse. The
collapse of the Mississippi System, which he had conceived, and the
South Sea Bubble led to a lasting impression of Law as a failure.
It is this impression that Antoin Murphy seeks to dispel.
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