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The disciplines of strategic intelligence at the governmental level
and competitive business intelligence constitute accepted methods
of decision-supporting to prevent mistakes and strategic surprise.
This research discovered that many researchers in the intelligence
field feel that intelligence methodology in both contexts has
reached a "glass ceiling." Thus far, research has focused
separately on national intelligence and intelligence in business,
without any attempt to benchmark from one field to the other. This
book shows that it is possible to use experience gained in the
business field to improve intelligence practices in national
security, and vice versa through mutual learning. The book's main
innovation is its proposition that mutual learning can be employed
in the context of a model distinguishes between concentrated and
diffused surprises to provide a breakthrough in the intelligence
field, thereby facilitating better prediction of the surprise
development. We Never Expected That: A Comparative Study of
Failures in National and Business Intelligence focuses on a
comparison between how states, through their intelligence
organizations, cope with strategic surprises and how business
organizations deal with unexpected movement in their field. Based
on this comparison, the author proposes a new model which can
better address the challenge of avoiding strategic surprises. This
book can contribute significantly to the study of intelligence,
which will become more influential in the coming years.
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