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This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and
future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use
climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of
the Earth's climate, climate-system simulation models are
necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The
book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides
readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and
offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are
constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence
we should place in them. It presents current results and the key
uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but
understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any
model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model
output has been used and how it might be used in the future are
provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better
understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models
among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and
future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use
climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of
the Earth's climate, climate-system simulation models are
necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The
book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides
readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and
offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are
constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence
we should place in them. It presents current results and the key
uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but
understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any
model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model
output has been used and how it might be used in the future are
provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better
understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models
among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
The 13th International Conference on Plant Growth Substances was
held from the 17th to the 26th July, 1988 in Calgary, Alberta
Canada under the auspices of the IPGSA (International Plant Growth
Substances Association) and the University of Calgary. Over 550
participants from allover the world attended, along with 70
Associates and 25 University of Calgary graduate students who
assisted in audiovisual presentations when not attending the
scientific sessions. Fine weather prevailed, as was usual for
summer on the eastern slopes of the Canadian Rockies, and
participants arriving early visited the famous Calgary Stampede. A
hosted buffet opened the Conference on Sunday evening. On Wednesday
evening, following an afternoon field trip into the mountains of
the Kananaskis Valley, the IPGSA traditional banquet became a
western barbecue on Richards' Ghost River Ranch in the foothills of
the Rockies, with folk and country and western music provided by
the Great Western Orchestra. The fine Alberta weather continued
through the weekend, and the Conference ended with a field trip to
Sun shine Meadows, a World Heritage Site in Banff National Park.
The Reinvention of Atlantic Slavery shows how, at a moment of
crisis after the Age of Revolutions, ambitious planters in the
Upper US South, Cuba, and Brazil forged a new set of relationships
with one another to sidestep the financial dominance of Great
Britain and the northeastern United States. They hired a
transnational group of chemists, engineers, and other "plantation
experts" to assist them in adapting the technologies of the
Industrial Revolution to suit "tropical" needs and maintain
profitability. These experts depended on the know-how of slaves
alongside whom they worked. Bondspeople with industrial craft
skills played key roles in the development of new production
technologies like sugar mills. While the very existence of skilled
enslaved workers contradicted the racial ideologies underpinning
slavery and allowed black people to wield new kinds of authority
within the plantation world, their contributions reinforced the
economic dynamism of the slave economies of Cuba, Brazil, and the
Upper South. When separate wars broke out in all three locations in
the 1860s, the transnational bloc of masters and experts took up
arms to perpetuate the Greater Caribbean they had built throughout
the 1840s and 1850s. Slaves played key wartime roles on the
opposing side, helping put an end to chattel slavery. However, the
worldwide racial division of labor that emerged from the reinvented
plantation complex has proved more durable.
The period of the "second slavery" was marked by geographic
expansion of zones of slavery into the Upper US South, Cuba, and
Brazil and chronological expansion into the industrial age.As The
Reinvention of Atlantic Slavery shows, ambitious planters
throughout the Greater Caribbean hired a transnational group of
chemists, engineers, and other "plantation experts" to assist them
in adapting industrial technologies to suit their "tropical" needs
and increase profitability. Not only were technologies reinvented
so as to keep manufacturing processes local but slaveholders'
adaptation of new racial ideologies also shaped their particular
usage of new machines. Finally, these businessmen forged a new set
of relationships with one another in order to sidestep the
financial dominance of Great Britain and the northeastern United
States. In addition to promoting new forms of mechanization, the
technical experts depended on the know-how of slaves alongside whom
they worked. Bondspeople with industrial craft skills played key
roles in the development of new production processes and
technologies like sugar mills. While the very existence of such
skilled slaves contradicted prevailing racial ideologies and
allowed black people to wield power in their own interest, their
contributions grew the slave economies of Cuba, Brazil, and the
Upper South. Together reform-minded planters, technical experts,
and enslaved people modernized sugar plantations in Louisiana and
Cuba; brought together rural Virginia wheat planters and industrial
flour-millers in Richmond with the coffee-planting system of
southeastern Brazil; and enabled engineers and iron-makers in
Virginia to collaborate with railroad and sugar entrepreneurs in
Cuba. Through his examination of the creation of these industrial
bodies of knowledge, Daniel B. Rood demonstrates the deepening
dependence of the Atlantic economy on forced labor after a few
revolutionary decades in which it seemed the institution of slavery
might be destroyed. The reinvention of this plantation world in the
1840s and 1850s brought a renewed movement in the 1860s, especially
from enslaved people themselves in the United States and Cuba, to
end chattel slavery. This account of capitalism, technology, and
slavery offers new perspectives on the nineteenth-century Americas.
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