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Education is one of the most fundamental prerequisites to economic
growth and social stability in the world. It is also one of the
most inadequately realised goals of development, with the average
education of global adults remaining essentially at primary levels.
Advancing Global Education is the second in a series of volumes
that explores prospects for human development-how development
appears to be unfolding globally and locally, how we would like it
to evolve, and how better to assure that we move it in desired
directions. The first volume addressed the reduction of global
poverty. The third will turn to the enhancement of global health.
Advancing Global Education presents the most extensive set of
forecasts of global education participation and attainment levels
to date-providing and exploring a massive, multi-issue database and
proposing a scenario for accelerating educational attainment
throughout major world regions and 183 countries.
"People who run cities like to play Simcity to find out how
impossible their jobs are. Hughes gives everyone a chance to play a
kind of Simplanet, with outcomes far more complex and uncertain. In
the process, the book and the computer program provide a coherent
path to understanding an anarchic world." --Ronald A. Francisco,
University of Kansas "What will be the future of human demographic,
economic, environmental, and political-social systems throughout
the 21st century? Where do current changes appear to be taking us?
What kind of future would we prefer? How much leverage do we have
to bring about the future we prefer? Do YOU share these interests
of the book? If yes, you should study the book and learn how to
cope with the future with the International Futures approach (IFs)
developed by the authors. This large-scale integrated global
simulation modeling system is a user-friendly, professional tool
for long-term policy analysis and an educational tool in
universities. I had a pleasure to learn it personally by
cooperating with Barry Hughes." --Pentti Malaska, Professor of MS,
DrTech, futurist Honorary member of the Club of Rome What will be
the long-term impact of AIDS in Africa or concentration of global
oil production in the Middle East? Exploring and Shaping
International Futures helps readers understand such global trends
in demographic, economic, energy, food, environmental, and
socio-political systems. It allows businesspeople, government
officials, and others to think concretely about global futures in
each of these areas. It is the only book on the market that allows
readers to use a computer simulation to track global trends and to
develop alternative scenarios around those trends. It is one of
relatively few books that really brings computer technology into
the classroom, boardroom, or policy planning commission. The
International Futures (IFs) computer simulation, around which the
book is built, is now widely used in policy analysis as well as
education. It has been instrumental in projects undertaken by such
groups as the European Commission, the U.S. National Intelligence
Council, and the United Nations. After three decades of development
and refinement, the computer model is now easy to access and use.
Readers can access the website with the IFs computer model at
www.ifs.du.edu
Fully updated and including an expanded and extensive Windows
computer simulation, this unique text/disk combination provides a
survey of alternative futures in international relations. By
manipulating a wide range of variables in major countries and
geographical regions students can generate a limitless number of
future scenarios in the areas of demographics, food, energy, the
environment, economics, and sociopolitical systems. This edition
has added capability for display of data and forecasts, has
introduced extensive historical data and analysis capability, has
extended the time horizon of forecasts, and has extensively
expanded the Help system of the model. Complete with tables,
flowcharts, feedback loops, computer notes, and research
suggestions, the text and simulation allows students to transcend
the usual level of speculation about the future by moving to an
empirically grounded, values-based consideration of issues,
strategies, and outcomes. This edition places a special emphasis on
the environemnt, which has emerged as one of the most important
areas in international relations.
"Strengthening Governance Globally" is the fifth volume in a series
entitled "Patterns of Potential Human Progress" that explores
prospects for human development and the improvement of the global
human condition. Each volume considers one key aspect of how
development appears to be unfolding globally, how we would like it
to evolve, and how better to move it in desired directions. This
large format, full color volume identifies the provision of
security, the building of government capacity, and the broadening
and deepening of inclusion as three dimensions of governance on
which high-income countries have traditionally made long, halting,
and somewhat sequential historical transitions. In contrast, many
developing countries today struggle with all three governance
transition dimensions simultaneously and in a relative rush to
broadly defined development. The volume maps and uses the growing
empirical database on governance variables for understanding
historical change on these dimensions and in recent decades.
Building Global Infrastructure is the fourth in a series of
volumes-Patterns of Potential Human Progress-that uses the
International Futures (IFs) simulation model to explore prospects
for human development: how development appears to be unfolding
globally and locally, how we would like it to evolve, and how
better to assure that we move it in desired directions. Earlier
volumes addressed the reduction of global poverty, the advance of
global education, and the improvement of global health. Volume 4
sets out to tell the story of the future of global infrastructure.
The approach used in this book focuses on the question of whether
individual societies will be able to meet future infrastructure
demands. Related questions include the following: * What is the
range of realistically conceivable futures for infrastructure,
considering both demand and supply? * How are the demands for
infrastructure balanced with the ability to meet these demands,
thereby linking the physical and financial treatment of
infrastructure? * What are the effects of providing for
infrastructure on issues such as economic productivity and health?
Strengthening Governance Globally is the fifth volume in a series
entitled Patterns of Potential Human Progress that explores
prospects for human development and the improvement of the global
human condition. Each volume considers one key aspect of how
development appears to be unfolding globally, how we would like it
to evolve, and how better to move it in desired directions. This
volume identifies the provision of security, the building of
government capacity, and the broadening and deepening of inclusion
as three dimensions of governance on which high-income countries
have traditionally made long, halting, and somewhat sequential
historical transitions. In contrast, many developing countries
today struggle with all three governance transition dimensions
simultaneously and in a relative rush to broadly defined
development. The volume maps and uses the growing empirical
database on governance variables for understanding historical
change on these dimensions and in recent decades.
Education is one of the most fundamental prerequisites to economic
growth and social stability in the world. It is also one of the
most inadequately realized goals of development, with the average
education of global adults remaining essentially at primary
levels."Advancing Global Education" is the second in a series of
volumes that explores prospects for human development how
development appears to be unfolding globally and locally, how we
would like it to evolve, and how better to assure that we move it
in desired directions. The first volume addressed the reduction of
global poverty. The third will turn to the enhancement of global
health. The series Patterns of Potential Human Progress is inspired
by the UN Human Development Report, the UN Millennium Development
Goals (MDGs), and other initiatives to improve the global
condition. The foundation for the book is a large-scale computer
program called International Futures (IFs), developed over three
decades and based at the Frederick S. Pardee Center for
International Futures within the Josef Korbel School of
International Studies at the University of Denver. The forecasts
are long-term, looking 50 years into the future, thereby
anticipating the needs of the global community to think well beyond
the MDGs. Analyses in volumes in the series draw on deeply
integrated representation of a wide range of human development
arenas including demographics, economics, education,
socio-political contexts, agriculture, energy, and the environment.
"Advancing Global Education" presents the most extensive set of
forecasts of global education participation and attainment levels
to date providing and exploring a massive, multi-issue database and
proposing a scenario for accelerating educational attainment
throughout major world regions and 183 countries.Questions the IFs
model allows readers to explore about global education include: "
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Reducing Global Poverty (Hardcover)
Barry B. Hughes, Mohammod T. Irfan, Haider Khan, Krishna B. Kumar, Dale S. Rothman, …
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R4,760
Discovery Miles 47 600
|
Ships in 12 - 17 working days
|
This is the first volume in an ambitious new series-"Patterns of
Potential Human Progress"-inspired by the UN Millennium Development
Goals (MGDs) and other initiatives to improve the global condition.
The first and most fundamental of these goals-reducing poverty
worldwide-is the focus of this book. Using the large-scale computer
program called International Futures (IFs), developed over three
decades at the prestigious University of Denver Graduate School of
International Studies, this book explores the most extensive set of
forecasts of global poverty ever made-providing a wide range of
scenarios based on an authoritative array of data. It transcends
the "$1 a day" baseline measure of poverty and probes important
concepts like income poverty gaps and relative poverty. The
forecasts are long-term, looking 50 years into the future, far
beyond the 2015 date set out by the MDGs. They are geographically
rich, spanning the entire globe and drilling down to the country
level, including one of the most important global focal points,
India. The poverty forecasts in this book, and all the volumes in
the series, are fully integrated in perspective across a wide range
of human development arenas including demographics, economics,
politics, agriculture, energy, and the environment. Full of
colorful and thoughtfully designed graphs, tables, maps, and other
visual presentations of data and forecasts, this large-format
inaugural volume ensures that the "Patterns of Potential Human
Progress" series will become an indispensable resource for every
development professional, student, professor, library, and indeed,
country around the world.
"People who run cities like to play Simcity to find out how
impossible their jobs are. Hughes gives everyone a chance to play a
kind of Simplanet, with outcomes far more complex and uncertain. In
the process, the book and the computer program provide a coherent
path to understanding an anarchic world." --Ronald A. Francisco,
University of Kansas "What will be the future of human demographic,
economic, environmental, and political-social systems throughout
the 21st century? Where do current changes appear to be taking us?
What kind of future would we prefer? How much leverage do we have
to bring about the future we prefer? Do YOU share these interests
of the book? If yes, you should study the book and learn how to
cope with the future with the International Futures approach (IFs)
developed by the authors. This large-scale integrated global
simulation modeling system is a user-friendly, professional tool
for long-term policy analysis and an educational tool in
universities. I had a pleasure to learn it personally by
cooperating with Barry Hughes." --Pentti Malaska, Professor of MS,
DrTech, futurist Honorary member of the Club of Rome What will be
the long-term impact of AIDS in Africa or concentration of global
oil production in the Middle East? Exploring and Shaping
International Futures helps readers understand such global trends
in demographic, economic, energy, food, environmental, and
socio-political systems. It allows businesspeople, government
officials, and others to think concretely about global futures in
each of these areas. It is the only book on the market that allows
readers to use a computer simulation to track global trends and to
develop alternative scenarios around those trends. It is one of
relatively few books that really brings computer technology into
the classroom, boardroom, or policy planning commission. The
International Futures (IFs) computer simulation, around which the
book is built, is now widely used in policy analysis as well as
education. It has been instrumental in projects undertaken by such
groups as the European Commission, the U.S. National Intelligence
Council, and the United Nations. After three decades of development
and refinement, the computer model is now easy to access and use.
Readers can access the website with the IFs computer model at
www.ifs.du.edu
Fully updated and including an expanded and extensive Windows
computer simulation, this unique text/disk combination provides a
survey of alternative futures in international relations. By
manipulating a wide range of variables in major countries and
geographical regions students can generate a limitless number of
future scenarios in the areas of demographics, food, energy, the
environment, economics, and sociopolitical systems. This edition
has added capability for display of data and forecasts, has
introduced extensive historical data and analysis capability, has
extended the time horizon of forecasts, and has extensively
expanded the Help system of the model. Complete with tables,
flowcharts, feedback loops, computer notes, and research
suggestions, the text and simulation allows students to transcend
the usual level of speculation about the future by moving to an
empirically grounded, values-based consideration of issues,
strategies, and outcomes. This edition places a special emphasis on
the environemnt, which has emerged as one of the most important
areas in international relations.
This is the first volume in an ambitious new series-"Patterns of
Potential Human Progress"-inspired by the UN Millennium Development
Goals (MGDs) and other initiatives to improve the global condition.
The first and most fundamental of these goals-reducing poverty
worldwide-is the focus of this book. Using the large-scale computer
program called International Futures (IFs) developed over three
decades at the prestigious University of Denver Graduate School of
International Studies, this book explores the most extensive set of
forecasts of global poverty ever made-providing a wide range of
scenarios based on an authoritative array of data. It transcends
the "$1 a day" baseline measure of poverty and probes important
concepts like income poverty gaps and relative poverty. The
forecasts are long-term, looking 50 years into the future, far
beyond the 2015 date set out by the MDGs. They are geographically
rich, spanning the entire globe and drilling down to the country
level, including one of the most important global focal points,
India. The poverty forecasts in this book, and all the volumes in
the series, are fully integrated in perspective across a wide range
of human development arenas including demographics, economics,
politics, agriculture, energy, and the environment. Full of
colorful, thoughtfully designed graphs, tables, maps, and other
visual presentations of data and forecasts, this large-format
inaugural volume ensures that the "Patterns of Potential Human
Progress" series will become an indispensable resource for every
development professional, student, professor, library, and indeed,
country around the world.
International Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively
covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term,
global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the
International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong,
long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the
formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and
the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy
use of algorithmic and rule-based elements and the use of elements
of control theory is also explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is
compared and contrasted with all other major modeling efforts, also
outlining the major benefits of the IFs system. Finally, the book
provides suggestions on how the development of forecasting systems
might most productively proceed in the coming years.
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Improving Global Health (Hardcover)
Barry B. Hughes, Randall Kuhn, Cecilia Mosca Peterson, Dale S. Rothman, Jose Roberto Solorzano
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R3,484
R2,923
Discovery Miles 29 230
Save R561 (16%)
|
Ships in 12 - 17 working days
|
"Improving Global Health" is the third in a series of volumes
Patterns of Potential Human Progress that uses the International
Futures (IFs) simulation model to explore prospects for human
development: how development appears to be unfolding globally and
locally, how we would like it to evolve, and how better to assure
that we move it in desired directions. Earlier volumes addressed
the reduction of global poverty and the advance of global
education. Volume 3 sets out to tell a story of possible futures
for the health of peoples across the world. Questions the volume
addresses include: What health outcomes might we expect given
current patterns of human development? What opportunities exist for
intervention and the achievement of alternate health futures? How
might improved health futures affect broader economic, social, and
political prospects of countries, regions, and the world?
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