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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Social research & statistics > Social forecasting, futurology
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International Futures - Building and Using Global Models (Hardcover)
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International Futures - Building and Using Global Models (Hardcover)
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International Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively
covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term,
global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the
International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong,
long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the
formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and
the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy
use of algorithmic and rule-based elements and the use of elements
of control theory is also explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is
compared and contrasted with all other major modeling efforts, also
outlining the major benefits of the IFs system. Finally, the book
provides suggestions on how the development of forecasting systems
might most productively proceed in the coming years.
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