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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Social research & statistics > Social forecasting, futurology
"John, I’m exhausted. I barely have energy to change my socks, never mind reimagine a new life for me or my family. I’ve been working around the clock – for less money – to keep my job . . . Everyone wants something from me, and you know what, pal, I’m depleted. I have nothing left to give."
This is what John Sanei has been hearing over the past year as we come to terms with our bewildering, ever-shifting post-Covid world. In Who Do We Become?, John maps out our strange, new world and lays down a path to reframe our thinking, to recognise our discomfort, to survive and thrive.
Infused with empathy and personal anecdote, the book is divided into three sections. In Part 1: ANGUISH, John explores how to courageously mourn the loss of our ‘normal’ preCovid world. Part 2: ABNORMAL, shows us how to understand this new environment and recognise that uncertainty is the new normal. And in Part 3: ADVENTURE, John provides a toolkit for us to forge out into the new world, to succeed and recognise the signs of rebirth and renewal.
A ridiculously in-depth guide to finding a fulfilling and impactful career in an age of AI.
You have about 80,000 hours in your career: 40 hours a week, 50 weeks a year, for 40 years. This means your choice of career is the most important decision you’ll ever make. Choose well, and you can have a more rewarding, interesting life, and also help solve some of the world’s most pressing problems. Choose poorly, and you could waste decades.
So what should you do? Most advice is based on no research, instead offering (misleading) platitudes like ‘follow your passion’. It’s surprisingly out of date, focusing on traditional paths rather than those most likely to thrive in an age of AI. And if you want to help others, the advice is even more simplistic: telling you to choose careers like nurse or doctor, when there are paths in which almost anyone can save more lives. In fact, some careers have hundreds of times more impact than others, but most of us have no idea which ones.
Benjamin Todd is the founder of 80,000 Hours, a non-profit that’s spent over ten years researching how to have a meaningful and impactful career. Here he introduces a tried-and-tested framework that has already led thousands of people to change their path. It covers:
- What really makes for a dream job, and why finding it probably doesn’t involve ‘following your passion’
- How to identify which global problems are most pressing, and why they might involve AI as much as climate change
- Which roles are likely to be automated, and how to ensure yours isn’t among them
It’s also full of practical tips and tools. You’ll come away with a plan to use your 80,000 hours in a way that’s rewarding and fulfils your potential to make a difference.
In order to ensure the long-term sustainability of tourism in
different countries and destinations, it is vital to examine and
analyse emerging trends in today's international tourism industry.
International Tourism Futures: The Drivers and Impacts of Change
examines influential factors such as the demographic, political,
economic and technological changes, which will affect the nature,
trends and participation in tourism, hospitality and events. It
discusses contemporary concepts associated with the tourism,
hospitality and event sector, generating plausible ideas and
identifying future trends. The COVID-19 crisis outbreak reinforces
the vulnerability of the international tourism industry operating
as an open system and some of these impacts of change on future
industry development are highlighted. A multi-disciplinary text,
International Tourism Futures: The Drivers and Impacts of Change
covers a range of inter-related trends which include: * Tourists of
the Future * Hospitality of the Future * The Future of Visitor
Attractions * Events of the Future * The Future of Film Tourism *
Health and Wellness Tourism * Sustainable Development and
Responsible Tourism * Future Proofing a Crisis * Building Future
Scenarios Using a considered pedagogic structure, each chapter uses
international case studies to contextualise the theory, including:
Chinese outbound travel, the 'personalisation' of the travel
experience, robotic hospitality in Asia, the 2028 LA Summer
Olympics, Wellness Spa Tourism in Thailand, France's 'International
Action Against Terrorism' initiative and many more. This research
textbook is perfect for tourism, hospitality and event education
and courses that focus on the future direction of the T,H and E
sectors and industry in general.
In a period in which the future of the European Union is subject to
increased scrutiny, it is more vital than ever that the thoughts
and views of younger generations are considered. Young People's
Visions and Worries for the Future of Europe: Findings from the
Europe 2038 Project seeks to do exactly that, presenting the
findings of a large-scale research project investigating the
opinions and worries of young people between the ages of 16 and 25
across seven European countries. In this unique and timely volume,
Strohmeier and Tenenbaum, together with the Europe 2038 consortium,
examine young people's endorsement of multiculturalism, diversity,
European identity, human rights, and political participation, and
unpick the cross-national differences in a range of European
countries. Young People's Visions and Worries for the Future of
Europe concludes by formulating effective evidence-based
recommendations for policy and practice. This work is essential
reading for advanced level undergraduate and masters level courses
in Psychology, Social Work, Politics, Sociology, Social Policy, and
Education, as well as researchers in those fields.
Midway through the eighteenth century, the rate of growth for the
world's population was roughly at zero. Immediately after World War
II, it was just above 2 percent. Ever since, it has fallen
steadily. This new book, the latest offering from a distinguished
expert on international economics, tells readers what this
stagnation or fall in population will mean--economically,
politically, and historically--for the nations of the world.
W. W. Rostow not only traces the whole global arc of this "great
population spike"--he looks far beyond it. What he sees will
interest anyone curious about what is in store for the world's
financial and governmental systems. The Great Population Spike and
After: Reflections on the 21st Century contends that, as the
decline in population now occurring in the industrialized world
spreads to all of the presently developing countries, the global
rate of population will fall to the "zero" level circa 2100.
(Indeed, with the exception of Africa south of the Sahara, it could
reach "zero" long before then.) This being so, how will it be
possible to maintain full employment and social services with a
decelerating population? What will societies do when the proportion
of the working force (as now defined) diminishes radically in
relation to the population of poor or elderly dependents? How will
the countries of the world confront subsequent decreases in
population-related investment?
In answering these queries, this bold study asserts that the
United States is not the "last remaining superpower" but the
"critical margin" without whose support no constructive action on
the world scene can succeed. Rostow takes the view that world peace
will depend on ourgovernment's ability to assume responsibly this
"critical margin" role. Further, he argues that, over a period of
time, the execution of this strategy on the international scene
will require a bipartisan, relentless effort to solve the
combustible social problems that weaken not only our cities but our
whole society.
Dystopian States of America is a crucial resource that studies the
impact of dystopian works on American society-including ways in
which they reflect our deep and persistent fears about
environmental calamities, authoritarian governments, invasive
technologies, and human weakness. Dystopian States of America
provides students and researchers with an illuminating resource for
understanding the impact and relevance of dystopian and apocalyptic
works in contemporary American culture. Through its wide survey of
dystopian works in numerous forms and genres, the book encourages
readers to connect with these works of fiction and understand how
the catastrophically grim or disquieting worlds they portray offer
insights into our own current situation. In addition to providing
more than 150 encyclopedia articles on a large and representative
sample of dystopian/apocalyptic narratives in fiction, film,
television, and video games (including popular works that often
escape critical inquiry), Dystopian States of America features a
suite of critical essays on five themes-war, pandemics,
totalitarianism, environmental calamity, and technological
overreach-that serve as the foundation for most dystopian worlds of
the imagination. These offerings complement one another, enabling
readers to explore dystopian conceptions of America and the world
from multiple perspectives and vantage points. Provides readers
with an accessible, well-organized, and thorough introduction to
dystopian/apocalyptic narratives, with a focus on the ways that
these stories foster increased awareness of the world we live in
now Casts a wide net to identify dystopian works in diverse genres
and forms-from classic novels to video games-reaching beyond
"serious" literature to appreciate the depth of this body of work
and its impact Covers a wide survey of works-more than 150-in
digestible and accessible encyclopedia entries, each contributed by
an established scholar in literary studies, film studies, history,
or an associated field Provides five extended scholarly essays on
recurring subject themes in apocalyptic and dystopian works
Why do we continue to think about, imagine, and forecast the
future despite believing we will probably be wrong? Why do we need
to do so? What does the future mean, and how do we relate to it? Is
it possible that Western societies condition their members into
inability to cope with the future?
These and other fundamental questions are explored in "The
Future Is Ours," which is written as an intermediate text for use
in future-oriented modules within BA courses in International
Business, Management, Urban Planning, and Environmental
Politics.
Copernicus and Galileo's sun-centered model of the solar system
gave us our view of space. Newton and Einstein's mechanical and
electromagnetic models of the universe gave us our view of nature.
Can the human condition be captured with a similarly universal
model? Author Lawrence H. Taub believes so, and he develops three
of them-age, sex, and caste-to reveal the deeper currents of
history. The models presented in "The Spiritual Imperative" clarify
the past, explain the present, and help anticipate the future. Taub
uses these models to make insightful forecasts of future
discontinuities that answer the major questions facing us today.
Some of his predictions include: a regional political-economic
block formed in the Far East and what this will mean to the world
an alliance between the U.S. and Russia and how this will develop
Israeli-Palestinian peace leading to a Pan-Semitic Union that will
make the Middle East one of two main world centers of economic,
political, and spiritual power in the mid-twenty-first century the
replacement of technology with religion and spirituality as the
main growth market in the twenty-first century "The Spiritual
Imperative" provides insight into where human civilization has been
and where it's going.
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