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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Social research & statistics > Social forecasting, futurology
Neoliberalism isn't working. Austerity is forcing millions into
poverty and many more into precarious work, while the left remains
trapped in stagnant political practices that offer no respite.
Inventing the Future is a bold new manifesto for life after
capitalism. Against the confused understanding of our high-tech
world by both the right and the left, this book claims that the
emancipatory and future-oriented possibilities of our society can
be reclaimed. Instead of running from a complex future, Nick
Srnicek and Alex Williams demand a postcapitalist economy capable
of advancing standards, liberating humanity from work and
developing technologies that expand our freedoms. This new edition
includes a new chapter where they respond to their various critics.
Uncertain Futures considers how economic actors visualize the
future and decide how to act in conditions of radical uncertainty.
It starts from the premise that dynamic capitalist economies are
characterized by relentless innovation and novelty and hence
exhibit an indeterminacy that cannot be reduced to measurable risk.
The organizing question then becomes how economic actors form
expectations and make decisions despite the uncertainty they face.
This edited volume lays the foundations for a new model of economic
reasoning by showing how, in conditions of uncertainty, economic
actors combine calculation with imaginaries and narratives to form
fictional expectations that coordinate action and provide the
confidence to act. It draws on groundbreaking research in economic
sociology, economics, anthropology, and psychology to present
theoretically grounded empirical case studies. These demonstrate
how grand narratives, central bank forward guidance, economic
forecasts, finance models, business plans, visions of technological
futures, and new era stories influence behaviour and become
instruments of power in markets and societies. The market impact of
shared calculative devices, social narratives, and contingent
imaginaries underlines the rationale for a new form of narrative
economics.
Up to now, modernization has always been conceived of, in contrast
to the worlds of tradition and religion, as a liberation from the
constraints of nature. What happens, however, if industrial society
becomes a 'tradition' to itself? What if its own necessities,
functional principles and fundamental concepts are undermined,
broken up and demystified with the same ruthlessness as were the
supposedly eternal truths of earlier epochs?
These questions are the focus of Ulrich Beck's Democracy without
Enemies. The conflict of the future, he argues, will no longer be
between East and West, between communism and capitalism, but
between the countries, regions and groups involved in primary
modernization and those that are attempting to relativize and
reform the project of modernity self-critically, based on their
experience of it. The conflict of the future will be between the
two modernities which will battle over the compatibility of
survival and human rights for all citizens of the earth.
Cheat death-or at least delay it-with this accessible look into the
quest for immortality, and what it means for human civilization.
Are humans close to living forever? With advances in medicine and
new therapies that prolong life expectancy, we are on track to make
aging ever more manageable. This first book in the exciting new
Alice in Futureland series explores both the science and cultural
impulse behind extending life, and the numerous ways the quest for
eternity forces us to reevaluate what it means to be human. Some
experts believe that we haven't fully realized our true human
potential, and we are about to embark on an extraordinary
evolutionary shift. Hacking Immortality answers all your burning
questions, including: -Can humans cheat death? -What is your grim
age? -Will 100 be the new 40? -Will we become software? As reality
suddenly catches up to science fiction, Hacking Immortality gives
the truth on the state of humanity-and all its possible futures.
A guide to long-term thinking: how to envision the far future of
Earth.We live on a planet careening toward environmental collapse
that will be largely brought about by our own actions. And yet we
struggle to grasp the scale of the crisis, barely able to imagine
the effects of climate change just ten years from now, let alone
the multi-millennial timescales of Earth's past and future life
span. In this book, Vincent Ialenti offers a guide for envisioning
the planet's far future--to become, as he terms it, more skilled
deep time reckoners. The challenge, he says, is to learn to inhabit
a longer now. Ialenti takes on two overlapping crises: the
Anthropocene, our current moment of human-caused environmental
transformation; and the deflation of expertise--today's popular
mockery and institutional erosion of expert authority. The second
crisis, he argues, is worsening the effects of the first. Hearing
out scientific experts who study a wider time span than a Facebook
timeline is key to tackling our planet's emergency.
Astrophysicists, geologists, historians, evolutionary biologists,
climatologists, archaeologists, and others can teach us the art of
long-termism. For a case study in long-term thinking, Ialenti turns
to Finland's nuclear waste repository "Safety Case" experts. These
scientists forecast far future glaciations, climate changes,
earthquakes, and more, over the coming tens of thousands--or even
hundreds of thousands or millions--of years. They are not pop
culture "futurists" but data-driven, disciplined technical experts,
using the power of patterns to construct detailed scenarios and
quantitative models of the far future. This is the kind of time
literacy we need if we are to survive the Anthropocene.
Space elevators. Internet-enabled contact lenses. Cars that fly
by floating on magnetic fields. This is the stuff of science
fiction--it's also daily life in the year 2100.
Renowned theoretical physicist Michio Kaku details the developments
in computer technology, artificial intelligence, medicine, space
travel, and more, that are poised to happen over the next hundred
years. He also considers how these inventions will affect the world
economy, addressing the key questions: Who will have jobs? Which
nations will prosper? Kaku interviews three hundred of the world's
top scientists--working in their labs on astonishing prototypes. He
also takes into account the rigorous scientific principles that
regulate how quickly, how safely, and how far technologies can
advance. In "Physics of the Future, "Kaku forecasts a century of
earthshaking advances in technology that could make even the last
centuries' leaps and bounds seem insignificant.
'A fascinating book . . . Bhaskar is a reassuringly positive and
often witty guide' Observer 'A fascinating, must-read book covering
a vast array of topics from the arts to the sciences, technology to
policy. This is a brilliant and thought-provoking response to one
of the most critical questions of our age: how we will come up with
the next generation of innovation and truly fresh ideas?' Mustafa
Suleyman, cofounder of DeepMind and Google VP 'Have "big ideas" and
big social and economic changes disappeared from the scene? Michael
Bhaskar's Human Frontiers is the best look at these all-important
questions.' Tyler Cowen, author of The Great Stagnation and The
Complacent Class 'Michael Bhaskar explores the disturbing
possibility that a complacent, cautious civilization has lost
ambition and is slowly sinking into technological stagnation rather
than accelerating into a magical future. He is calling for bold,
adventurous innovators to go big again. A fascinating book' Matt
Ridley, author of How Innovation Works Where next for humanity? Is
our future one of endless improvement in all areas of life, from
technology and travel to medicine, movies and music? Or are our
best years behind us? It's easy to assume that the story of modern
society is one of consistent, radical progress, but this is no
longer true: more academics are researching than ever before but
their work leads to fewer breakthroughs; innovation is incremental,
limited to the digital sphere; the much-vaunted cure for cancer
remains elusive; space travel has stalled since the heady era of
the moonshot; politics is stuck in a rut, and the creative
industries seem trapped in an ongoing cycle of rehashing genres and
classics. The most ambitious ideas now struggle. Our
great-great-great grandparents saw a series of transformative ideas
revolutionise almost everything in just a few decades. Today, in
contrast, short termism, risk aversion, and fractious decision
making leaves the landscape timid and unimaginative. In Human
Frontiers, Michael Bhaskar draws a vividly entertaining and
expansive portrait of humanity's relationship with big ideas. He
argues that stasis at the frontier is the result of having already
pushed so far, taken easy wins and started to hit limits. But new
thinking is still possible. By adopting bold global approaches,
deploying cutting edge technology like AI and embracing a culture
of change, we can push through and expand afresh. Perfect for
anyone who has wondered why we haven't gone further, this book
shows in fascinating detail how the 21st century could stall - or
be the most revolutionary time in human history.
Winner, 2021 WFNB Nonfiction AwardLonglisted, Miramichi Reader's
"The Very Best!" Book Awards (Non-Fiction)A CBC New Brunswick Book
List SelectionAn Atlantic Books Today Must-Have New Brunswick Books
of 2020 SelectionThe Restigouche River flows through the remote
border region between the provinces of Quebec and New Brunswick,
its magically transparent waters, soaring forest hillsides, and
population of Atlantic salmon creating one of the most storied wild
spaces on the continent. In Restigouche, writer Philip Lee follows
ancient portage routes into the headwaters of the river, travelling
by canoe to explore the extraordinary history of the river and the
people of the valley. They include the Mi'gmaq, who have lived in
the Restigouche valley for thousands of years; the descendants of
French Acadian, Irish, and Scottish settlers; and some of the
wealthiest people in the world who for more than a century have
used the river as an exclusive wilderness retreat.The people of the
Restigouche have long been both divided and united by a remarkable
river that each day continues to assert itself, despite local and
global industrial forces that now threaten its natural systems and
the survival of the salmon. In the deep pools and rushing waters of
the Restigouche, in this place apart in a rapidly changing natural
world, Lee finds a story of hope about how to safeguard wild spaces
and why doing so is the most urgent question of our time.
We live in times of great change. Or so we are told. Headlines
blast messages about clashes between tribes, civilisations,
political factions, East and West. We are told that unless we
abstain from eating meat, flying or enjoying other modern
amenities, the planet is doomed. We live in times of trouble. Of
crossroads. Of signs of decline. We live in special times. In turn,
future thinking is often reduced to people having opinions about
other people's opinions. As opposed to manifesto, in manifesto many
small ideas are created to inspire one person, your- self. By
sharing the vision of the future, we can avoid telling stories and
instead strive to surround ourselves with as many strange,
conflicting ideas that we can in order to immerse ourselves in
future possibilities and possible futures. Incorporating
recognisable examples, Minifesto will illustrate how the world
changes when a single individual does something new.
Presents thirty novel terms that do not yet exist in English to
envision ways of responding to the environmental challenges of our
generation As the scale and gravity of climate change becomes
undeniable, a cultural revolution must ultimately match progress in
the realms of policy, infrastructure, and technology. Proceeding
from the notion that dominant Western cultures lack the terms and
concepts to describe or respond to our environmental crisis, An
Ecotopian Lexicon is a collaborative volume of short, engaging
essays that offer ecologically productive terms-drawn from other
languages, science fiction, and subcultures of resistance-to
envision and inspire responses and alternatives to fossil-fueled
neoliberal capitalism. Each of the thirty suggested "loanwords"
helps us imagine how to adapt and even flourish in the face of the
socioecological adversity that characterizes the present moment and
the future that awaits. From "Apocalypso" to "Qi," " ~*~ " to
"Total Liberation," thirty authors from a range of disciplines and
backgrounds assemble a grounded yet dizzying lexicon, expanding the
limited European and North American conceptual lexicon that many
activists, educators, scholars, students, and citizens have
inherited. Fourteen artists from eleven countries respond to these
chapters with original artwork that illustrates the contours of the
possible better worlds and worldviews. Contributors: Sofia Ahlberg,
Uppsala U; Randall Amster, Georgetown U; Cherice Bock, Antioch U;
Charis Boke, Cornell U; Natasha Bowdoin, Rice U; Kira Bre Clingen,
Harvard U; Caledonia Curry (SWOON); Lori Damiano, Pacific Northwest
College of Art; Nicolas De Jesus; Jonathan Dyck; John Esposito,
Chukyo U; Rebecca Evans, Winston-Salem State U; Allison Ford, U of
Oregon; Carolyn Fornoff, U of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign;
Michelle Kuen Suet Fung; Andrew Hageman, Luther College; Michael
Horka, George Washington U; Yellena James; Andrew Alan Johnson,
Princeton U; Jennifer Lee Johnson, Purdue U; Melody Jue, U of
California, Santa Barbara; Jenny Kendler; Daehyun Kim (Moonassi);
Yifei Li, NYU Shanghai; Nikki Lindt; Anthony Lioi, Juilliard School
of New York; Maryanto; Janet Tamalik McGrath; Pierre-Heli Monot,
Ludwig Maximilian U of Munich; Kari Marie Norgaard, U of Oregon;
Karen O'Brien, U of Oslo, Norway; Evelyn O'Malley, U of Exeter;
Robert Savino Oventile, Pasadena City College; Chris Pak; David N.
Pellow, U of California, Santa Barbara; Andrew Pendakis, Brock U;
Kimberly Skye Richards, U of California, Berkeley; Ann Kristin
Schorre, U of Oslo, Norway; Malcolm Sen, U of Massachusetts
Amherst; Kate Shaw; Sam Solnick, U of Liverpool; Rirkrit
Tiravanija, Columbia U; Miriam Tola, Northeastern U; Sheena Wilson,
U of Alberta; Daniel Worden, Rochester Institute of Technology.
In "The Coming Famine", Julian Cribb lays out a vivid picture of
impending planetary crisis - a global food shortage that threatens
to hit by mid-century - that would dwarf any in our previous
experience. Cribb's comprehensive assessment describes a dangerous
confluence of shortages - of water, land, energy, technology, and
knowledge - combined with the increased demand created by
population and economic growth. Writing in brisk, accessible prose,
Cribb explains how the food system interacts with the environment
and with armed conflict, poverty, and other societal factors. He
shows how high food prices and regional shortages are already
sending shockwaves into the international community. But, far from
outlining a doomsday scenario, "The Coming Famine" offers a strong
and positive call to action, exploring the greatest issue of our
age and providing practical suggestions for addressing each of the
major challenges it raises.
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Z-Sky, Issue #1
(Paperback)
Zuriel Van Belle, Jonathan Van Belle
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Long-term thinking and planning is such an ingrained part of
everyday life that we tend either not to see it or merely take it
for granted. From pensions, retirement, holiday planning, marriage
(or divorce) to corporate strategy and choosing the right school
for our kids - the assumptions we make about tomorrow tend to be
sketchy at best! Why do we so often underplay such important future
plans in our lives? One of the main reasons is that we have never
been given the right tools with which to think and plan ahead.
Futurology - the art of thinking ahead - has often been relegated
to science fiction writers and witch doctors. In fact, it's a tool
that can actually help us understand and plan for a better future
for ourselves. This book, by a leading futurologist, presents the
practical tools of long-term thinking and planning to the everyday
situations that we all face.
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