A blueprint for the nation after the boom.
Australians have just lived through a period of exceptional prosperity, but, says influential economist Ross Garnaut, the Dog Days are on their way. Are we ready for the challenges ahead?
In "Dog Days," Garnaut explains how we got here, what we can expect next and the tough choices we need to make to survive the new economic conditions. Are we clever enough - and our leaders courageous enough - to change what needs to be changed and preserve a fair and prosperous Australia?
This is a book about the future by a leading adviser to government and business, someone with a proven record of seeing where the nation is going. Both forecast and analysis, it heralds a new era for Australia after the boom.
'a must-read for anyone concerned with the economic and social future of Australia'-Bob Hawke
'a brilliant guide to the future of the Australian economy'-Max Corden
'the nation's most prophetic economist'-Ross Gittins
Ross Garnaut is one of Australia's leading economists. He is Vice-Chancellor's Fellow and Professorial Research Fellow in Economics at the University of Melbourne and Distinguished Professor of Economics at the Australian National University. He was a key economic adviser to the reforming Hawke government. Garnaut has held senior roles in government and business, including as Australian Ambassador to China and author of the Garnaut Climate Change Review.

"Hope and the Future" presents a provocative examination of what being optimistic about the future ultimately depends on. It describes how we face a growing number of human challenges that require that we think, act, and relate in new ways-often fundamentally new ways. And it looks at how effectively addressing those challenges will require not just fresh ideas, but a critical "growing up" as a species-a new Cultural Maturity. This short book introduces the concept of Cultural Maturity and examines how the changes it describes will be necessary to a future that is at all healthy-and perhaps even survivable. It also looks at ways in which Cultural Maturity's changes are already happening, and how, when we are ready for them, needed changes can seem surprisingly straightforward; indeed, like common sense. Hope and the Future is an exploration of the "new common sense" on which our future depends.

An analysis of economic and other variables that might affect US-China relations for the balance of this century. Complete with various future scenarios.

THE COMING ECLIPSE deals with the most important issue of our era, and deals with it in a unique way. This book is concerned with a critical choice of futures: either the adoption of a comprehensive climate-mitigation program or the emergence of a new technological revolution. As this book succinctly explains, the adoption of one will eclipse the other. A climate mitigation program of the type proposed by the IPCC will require the establishment of an artificial system of prices, which could only be achieved by establishing a command-like economy. Such an economic system would lock us into the old polluting fossil-fuel technological paradigm and thereby delay, even derail, the newly emerging technological revolution - the Solar Revolution - which will be based on radically new methods of energy extraction. By using a realist general dynamic framework, Professor Snooks shows that, by the end of the twenty-first century, the real dynamic costs of the mitigation program proposed by the IPCC will amount to an astronomical 90% of world GDP rather than the 1-2% estimated by climate mitigationists. Owing to their inadequate methodology, orthodox economists have massively, and dangerously, underestimated the real costs of climate mitigation, which would inevitably arise from delaying the imminent technological revolution due to begin in the middle decades of this century. A revolution that will transform our world, just as the Industrial Revolution transformed the commercial world of the eighteenth century. A revolution that, ironically, if not derailed will solve the current problem of climate change. This book is designed to be read in a couple of sittings by busy powerbrokers and businesspeople, as well as the educated public.

The purpose of the book is to provide an applied, practical, yet theoretically grounded, reference on social influence strategies for environmental behavior change. The book is intended to be used as a professional reference by practitioners in governmental and nongovernmental organizations worldwide. The book is also intended to be used as a text by students of environmental science, environmental communication and environmental education.

AUTHOR: Bert TITLE: The Redesign of Tomorrowland DESCRIPTION: The author uses amusement park attractions (themed for Disney World) to gently introduce some new paradigms to a wide audience. His sources include experts in nutrition, economics, technology, and psychology.

Brilliant. A must read for every voter. Reminiscent of George Orwell s 1984. Unlike anything written on the subject. These are some of the comments from readers of Judge David Minier s future history, One Nation, under Obamas . . . Written from the viewpoint of a liberal historian, and illustrated with photographs from the future, this book chronicles America s descent into tyranny from the present until 2021, when a Joint Resolution to Repeal the Twenty Second Amendment is introduced in Congress so Barack Obama can serve a third term as President. In the ten year interim, American citizens have gradually surrendered their freedoms to an ever more powerful state. Michelle Obama has succeeded her husband as President, and America has become a one party state. Barack Obama is now President of the United Nations. The Supreme Court has been packed with four more liberal judges, talk radio has been silenced, books have been placed on the Seditious Literature List and banned from sale, and citizen riots have been brutally suppressed. The loyalty oath of public officials and military personnel had been amended to require defense and support of the President, United States Army officers have been executed for treason, and under Obamas has replaced under God in the Pledge of Allegiance. America has abandoned its nuclear weapons, placed its armed forces under United Nations command, acquiesced to Russian and Islamic expansionism, and become the world s forth ranking economy. The future history portrayed in One Nation, under Obamas . . . is a liberal s dream come true and a conservative s worst nightmare. Whether or not it becomes true is up to the American voter.

Qu suceder despu s del 2012? Algunas culturas predijeron el fin de nuestro mundo y la idea est generando un p nico colectivo absurdo. El autor cree que despu s de esa fecha habr una gran transformaci n que durar varios siglos, pero el 2012, en especial, traer una serie de eventos que nos llevar n a un nivel de consciencia diferente. El libro narra una experiencia -producto de diversas meditaciones- en la que el autor entra en contacto con un ser evolucionado, el cual proviene de otro sistema solar y de otra poca y ambos sue an una posible visi n del futuro. Pero, c mo ser n las sociedades en el futuro? Qu tiene que hacer la humanidad para mejorar? Qu tendremos que hacer todos los humanos para salir del embrollo en que se encuentra actualmente nuestra civilizaci n? Pues, sin duda, nuestras sociedades est n enfermas y colapsando sobre s mismas. El autor pretende dar respuesta a la pregunta: que debe desaparecer para crear esa Edad de Oro que muchos anhelamos? Deberemos renunciar a las creencias y a las ideolog as, pero sobre todo a la pol tica y a las actuales formas de control de la gente a trav s del miedo. Se dar la desaparici n de las Instituciones, los gobiernos, las religiones y filosof as que hipnotizan y nos imponen c digos de conducta. Sin duda, ser necesaria una nueva econom a: deber dejarse la econom a de la acumulaci n y deber n desaparecer el dinero y el mercantilismo, que tanto sufrimiento han generado; tambi n deber n desaparecer las normas que nos rigen, pues seguramente con menos leyes o tal vez sin leyes, todo mejorar . En la parte final del libro se habla de c mo la humanidad todav a tendr que enfrentarse a grandes sufrimientos, probablemente a guerras y cataclismos que le permitir n conseguir ese nivel de consciencia diferente y se tiene una visi n de c mo ser la sociedad del futuro: como vivir n los humanos de esa poca indeterminada, que ser como un regreso al para so. En esa nueva sociedad ya no existir el trabajo, como medio de subsistencia, ni el dinero; ya nadie acumular ni vivir obsesionado por tener m s. El cr dito y la mayor parte de las profesiones existentes en sta poca ya no tendr n raz n de ser. Se tiene una visi n clara de la forma de sus comunidades, y sobre la educaci n en ese tiempo futuro donde cada ser encontrar su prop sito y su misi n de vida. El autor se presenta bajo el seud nimo de "El Hombre" por considerar que el libro contiene sabidur a que es propiedad de toda la humanidad y porque cree que la transformaci n de nuestras sociedades depende de el nivel de conciencia que cada ser humano logre en lo individual.

This book foretells of events that will occur in 2012, and into the new millennium. It has a unique yet controversial edge, that involves extraterrestrials arriving on Earth to assist mankind. Actual contact has been made through the medium Gilda. Through her transcripts and questions, she answers details of what will manifest. The public must embrace the reality of their future. Extraterrestrials have announced their arrival and are here to stay. "Will I Survive?," will echo in the mind of all humanity.

"Quick and Dirty Answers to the Biggest of Questions "addresses how the new kind of understanding we need today, besides helping us confront modern-day challenges, also brings a new creativity of perspective to more ultimate questions. It describes how many such ultimate questions have baffled us not because they are inherently difficult, but becase they require a maturity of understanding of which we are only now becoming capable. This short book uses the thinking of Creative Systems Theory to take on some of the most important and timely of such quesions. Some examples: -How do we best understand the times in which we live? -How do we best understand the human story as a whole? -Why, at different times in history, has human understanding taken the forms that it has? -How do we best understand the experience of free will? -Are the beliefs of science and religion just different or, instead, parts of a larger picture? -What is our place in the larger scheme of things? These questions share a common bond: they are systemic, and systemic in a particular sense we are only beginning to fully grasp. "Quick and Dirty Answers"describes how the needed answers to these questions are in fact straightforward, indeed rather common sense. What is new and different is that this is a sort of common sense that we are only beginning to be able to get our minds around. "Quick and Dirty Answers to the Biggest of Questions"is intended for people who find particular fascination with overarching, "theory of everything" reflection.

This book forecasts the world of 2030, which predictions estimate, will be radically transformed from our world today. By 2030, no country, whether the U.S., China, or any other large country, will be a hegemonic power. The empowerment of individuals and diffusion of power among states and from states to informal networks will have a dramatic impact, largely reversing the historic rise of the West since 1750, restoring Asia's weight in the global economy, and ushering in a new era of "democratisation" at the international and domestic level. In addition to individual empowerment and the diffusion of state power, two other megatrends will shape our world out to 2030: demographic patterns, especially rapid ageing; and growing resource demands which, in the cases of food and water, might lead to scarcities. These trends, which are virtually certain, exist today, but during the next 1520 years will gain much greater momentum. Underpinning the megatrends are tectonic shifts (ie: critical changes to key features of our global environment that will affect how the world "works").

Where are we heading? Stripped of all the hype and fantasy - where really is the world economy set to take us by 2040? Those of us alive today are on an extraordinary course: For several decades our future has largely been determined by a handful of relatively-obscure trends that together generate the awesome propulsion of a High-Tech engine that is launching the international community on a voyage into completely unfamiliar territory. But where will we all end up? Based on unparalleled insights into what organizations across the globe are actually doing, for the first time the world's foremost expert on the hidden inner-workings of society explains in simple and accessible language exactly where the most deeply-established trends are taking us. How, despite claims that its accelerating progress is not sustainable for much longer, Digitization is on an inexorable course to a mind-blowing society of virtual-assistants, robot cars, cyborgs and everything on-the-record. And how Networking will combine with Digitization to lead by 2040 to computers capable of human-like interaction and an internet a billion times more powerful than today's. Dr. Scott-Morgan reveals how the Miniaturization trend offers nanotech breakthroughs ranging from cancer treatments to quantum computing - but not, as has often been claimed, Star-Trek Replicators or the threat of 'grey goo'. And he shows how exponential Simulation will support fundamental and sweeping advances that lead to almost limitless electricity and maybe almost limitless life-extension. Our world is set for a Global Renaissance. However, the backdraft of the High-Tech launch engine is also stirring up a turbulence of unintended consequences that threaten to disrupt our trajectory. Rather than Global Renaissance, we would then enter Global Chaos. Yet these are not ordinary times. In the startling conclusion to his book, Dr. Scott-Morgan reveals how in only the last couple of years a brand new exponential trend has begun to emerge out of the turbulence. In terms of influencing our destination - whether we end up in a Global Renaissance or in Global Chaos - it is that trend that will be the most important one of all. NOTE: This is the companion volume to 'The Reality of Global Crises' by the same author.

THE MOST FRIGHTENING TRUE STORY EVERY TOLD On March 20, 1969, Dr. Lawrence Dunegan listened as a member of "The Order" delivered a hair-raising speech to a room full of doctors. He and the others were told not to record what they were hearing but, instead to take notes. The speaker insisted that he was doing the doctors a favor by explaining how the world was going to change. He said he believed if they knew, they would be better prepared to accept the coming changes. Anyone can read this book and know these changes are well underway. What we didn't know was where these changes have been taking us. Until now Lock the doors, pull the curtains and prepare to see what you may never have realized. Once you understand the plan, you cannot help but to see it advancing all around you. The biggest question of all is not should we but, how can we... stop what is happening? Inside these pages is the transcript of three taped interviews on the "New Order of Barbarians," referred to on the tapes simply as the "new world system." Tapes one and two are the reminiscences by Dr. Lawrence Dunegan of a speech given in 1969 by an insider of "The Order," Dr. Richard Day, whose credentials are listed as Chairman of the Department of Pediatrics for the University of Pittsburgh; Medical Director of Planned Parenthood Federation of America and member of The Order."

Human civilization faces more challenges than ever before. Unless urgent action is taken, there will soon be biting shortages of energy, food and fresh water. Climate change also demands our attention, while conventional economic decision making and mass consumerism are leading us to ruin. The time has therefore come to fix the world.
This book is for everybody who wants to help shape a better future. Its chapters cover the interrelated topics of more local living, low energy lifestyles, dematerialization, design for repair, crowdsourcing, more women in authority, and the death of economics. Within a decade, all of these will be common cultural or business practice. "Seven Ways to Fix the World" therefore provides you with the opportunity to understand the rising agendas of tomorrow, and to help make a difference by getting ahead of the curve.

The received conventional wisdom within the global futurist community is that the future is unknowable. 'Knowing Our Future' outlines a full theory of how knowable the future really is. Using several case studies Lee argues that there are sound theoretical grounds for establishing a science of the future.

This scarce antiquarian book is a selection from Kessinger Publishing's Legacy Reprint Series. Due to its age, it may contain imperfections such as marks, notations, marginalia and flawed pages. Because we believe this work is culturally important, we have made it available as part of our commitment to protecting, preserving, and promoting the world's literature. Kessinger Publishing is the place to find hundreds of thousands of rare and hard-to-find books with something of interest for everyone!

This scarce antiquarian book is a selection from Kessinger PublishingAcentsa -a centss Legacy Reprint Series. Due to its age, it may contain imperfections such as marks, notations, marginalia and flawed pages. Because we believe this work is culturally important, we have made it available as part of our commitment to protecting, preserving, and promoting the world's literature. Kessinger Publishing is the place to find hundreds of thousands of rare and hard-to-find books with something of interest for e

We are the 20% of the world's population using 80% of the World's resources. See how and why we could and should end world poverty and make sure every child gets adequate water, food, healthcare, shelter, education, opportunity, and hope. We can also save the environment in the process. Terms discussed and defined include: Aquaculture; Biodiesel; Carbon Neutrality; Cookie Cutter Condos; Deforestation; Desalination; Desertification; Ecotourism; Fast Track Guidance Program; High Speed Rail; Hydroponics; Mass Production; Match Maker Program; National Academy; National Service; Noblesse Oblige; Oil Independence; Over fishing; Overpopulation; Parenting Classes, Licensing, and Standards; Peak Natural Gas; Peak Oil; Peak Phosphorous; Peak Soil; Photovoltaics (PV); Preventive Medicine; Resomation; Self Contained Cities; Sustainability; Thermal Expansion; Vertical Farming; Wind Power; World Class Academy. If not us, then who? If not now, then when?

How will life go on after the collapse of the globalised political and economic systems? How will it survive the large-scale disruption of our planet's ecological and climatic systems? And what will become of the immense systems of belief, love and thinking as they start to shake within?The answer to these questions has to persist in the face of so many failed attempts in the past. The world stands on the brink of an abyss.The youth from Cairo to London, from Greece to Chile, from Rothschild Avenue, Tel Aviv to Wall Street, New York are looking for new ways out of the crisis. If the mass protest and revolt movements rising up all over the world today intend to gain revolutionary power and take off together, if life is to win over violence and war, we need a direction, an image, an idea of what might be our common goal.This book offers an idea of how a future worth living could be. It was written and published more than thirty years ago in Germany and we believe that its time has now come. We left it in the political context in which it was written. Through this we want to show that names change, yet the underlying problems remain the same... until we discover how to solve them. How this can be achieved is what this book is all about. It is more relevant today than ever.

What will America do when robots render 50% of its human workforce obsolete? Accelerating progress in artificial intelligence and robotics ensures that mass human obsolescence will arrive sooner than we might expect. And it won't stop there. Economic incentives will relentlessly drive advances in robotics until robots displace the entire human workforce. How will Americans survive? Who will support them? Can a human reasonably hope to control robots that are smarter than he is? Are Asimov's laws adequate? Is a robot-human war inevitable? How can we smoothly transition from having no intelligent robots to being overrun by them? How do we avoid violence and privation on the way to becoming a robot nation? Tackling these questions head on, Robot Nation not only describes the stark consequences of mass human obsolescence, it lays out solutions and argues that these require unprecedented changes in the political, economic, social, and moral underpinnings of Western civilization.

What will life be like in America, Europe, Japan, and China in the year 2020?
As the world grows increasingly interconnected and inter-related by globalization, economic crisis and new technologies, the answer to this important question depends largely on the paths taken by the world's major nations. In" Futurecast," Robert J. Shapiro, a man world leaders and heads of industry look to for straight talk on the global economic, political and financial affairs, sketches the future with a critical eye to tell us what our world will really be like over the next decade. In this brief time, he foresees monumental changes caused by three historic new forces-- globalization, the aging of societies, and America's role as a sole superpower with no near peer-- that will determine the paths of nations and the lives of countless millions.
* The U.S. and China will be the world's two indispensable economies, dominating the course of globalization.
* Globalization will continue to shift heavy manufacturing and millions of high-end service jobs from advanced countries like the U.S., to China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Romania, Turkey and other developing nations.
* Europe's major nations and Japan will face the prospect of serious economic decline and critical problems in their retirement pension systems, pushing them further towards the periphery of global economic and geopolitical power.
* Every major country--the U.S., Europe, Japan, China--will face critical problems maintaining their health care systems, and the entire world will face a slow-motion crisis over energy supplies and the need to confront climate change.
In an unstable world, Robert Shapiro's "Futurecast" is a necessary road map to the coming years.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of high-stakes negotiations and conflicts.
Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prize--winning scientist perhaps best known from "A Beautiful Mind," Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and cold-eyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to every move. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such events as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process and recalls, among other cases, how he correctly predicted which corporate clients of the Arthur Andersen accounting firm were most likely engaged in fraudulent activity (hint: one of them started with an E). And looking as ever to the future, Bueno de Mesquita also demonstrates how game theory can provide successful strategies to combat both global warming (instead of relying on empty regulations, make nations compete in technology) and terror (figure out exactly how much U.S. aid will make Pakistan fight the Taliban).
But as Bueno de Mesquita shows, game theory isn't just for saving the world. It can help you in your own life, whether you want to succeed in a lawsuit (lawyers argue too much the merits of the case and question too little the motives of their opponents), elect the CEO of your company (change the system of voting on your board to be more advantageous to your candidate), or even buy a car (start by knowing exactly what you want, call every dealer in a fifty-mile radius, and negotiate only over the phone).
Savvy, provocative, and shockingly effective, The Predictioneer's Game will change how you understand the world and manage your future. Life's a game, and how you play is whether you win or lose.

"From the Hardcover edition."