Studying the Jewish Future explores the power of Jewish culture and assesses the perceived threats to the coherence and size of Jewish communities in the United States, Europe, and Israel. In an unconventional and provocative argument, Calvin Goldscheider departs from the limiting vision of the demographic projections that have shaped predictions about the health and future of Jewish communities and asserts that "the quality of Jewish life has become the key to the future of Jewish communities." Through the lens of individual biographies, Goldscheider shows how context shapes Jewish senses of the future and how conceptions of the future are shaped and altered by life experiences. Goldscheider's distinctive comparative approach includes a critical review of population issues, a consideration of biographies as a basis for understanding Jewish values, and an analysis of biblical texts for studying contemporary values. He combines demographic and sociological analyses in historical and comparative perspectives to dispel the notion that quantitative issues are at the heart of the challenge of Jewish continuity in the future. Numbers are clearly the building blocks of community. But the interpretations of these demographic issues are often confusing and biased by ideological preconceptions. As a basis for studying the core themes of the Jewish future, "hard facts" are less "hard" and less "factual" than interpreters have made them out to be. Population projections are limited by the vision of those who prepare them. Goldscheider concludes that the futures of Jewish communities--in America, Europe, and Israel--are much more secure than has been presented in most scholarly and popular publications, and discussions about the Jewish future should shift to other patterns of distinctiveness. This book will appeal to the general Jewish reader as well as to social scientists and modern Jewish historians. It is appropriate for Jewish studies courses, particularly, but not exclusively, those focusing on Jews in the United States, the American Jewish community, and modern Jewish society, and in courses on ethnicity, multiculturalism, cultural diversity, and ethnic relations.

Liberating Temporariness? explores the complex ways in which temporariness is being institutionalized as a condition of life for a growing number of people worldwide. The collection emphasizes contemporary developments, but also provides historical context on nation-state membership as the fundamental means for accessing rights in an era of expanding temporariness - in recognition of why pathways to permanence remain so compelling. Through empirical and theoretical analysis, contributors explore various dimensions of temporariness, especially as it relates to the legal status of migrants and refugees, to the spread of precarious employment, and to limitations on social rights. While the focus is on Canada, a number of chapters investigate and contrast developments in Canada with those in Europe as well as Australia and the United States. Together, these essays reveal changing and enduring temporariness at local, regional, national, transnational, and global levels, and in different domains, such as health care, language programs, and security. The question at the heart of this collection is whether temporariness can be liberated from current constraints. While not denying the desirability of permanence for migrants and labourers, Liberating Temporariness? presents alternative possibilities of security and liberation.

Todos venimos al mundo con un bello proyecto para realizar: ser nosotros mismos al maximo de las posibilidades existentes. Desde el mismo momento en que somos concebidos, la ley natural que rige la evolucion de lo vivo existente, nos posibilita -de conocerla y actuarla- el pleno desarrollo de nuestras capacidades y habilidades, ofreciendonos, para cada edad, todo un universo, un amplisimo abanico de puertas que abrir y que conquistar, y permitiendonos a lo largo de la vida, auparnos hacia cotas de mayor felicidad. Y esto, de manera universal y gratuita, para todos nosotros. Entonces, por que hay tantos seres humanos desgraciados e inconformes? Por que hay tantas personas que pasan por la vida con futilidad, como quien pasa el rato? Por que tantos piensan que este mundo es un valle de lagrimas en el cual la plenitud es imposible y utopica? Por que hay tanta gente enfadada con la vida? Por que la indiferencia, la insensibilidad, la envidia, la competitividad, el desamor y el nihilismo pasota? Y por ultimo, de vital importancia, por que la mayoria de nuestros ancianos no son felices porque sabios y sabios porque felices? Y por que cuando recordamos nuestra ninez, nos sentimos tantas veces perplejos, confundidos y desorientados cuando no amnesicos? Despues de mas de cuarenta anos de estudio, Preciada Azancot, escritora, pintora y creadora del MAT -Metamodelo de Analisis Transformacional-, ha dado con las esenciales y, por ende sencillas, respuestas a tantos "por que" y con ellas, nos brinda, amorosamente, las claves para una existencia plena. Seamos quien seamos, independientemente de nuestro sexo y de nuestra edad, "Un cielo de andar por casa - En cada fase de nuestra vida" nos desvelara la sencilla -porque esencial- ley natural de la vida humana: a cada edad su necesidad vital y esencial, insustituible si no se quieren tener graves carencias que nos hipotecarian la vida plena, y lo que es aun mas grave, nos convertirian en depredadores de nuestro entorno. Este libro nos permitira situarnos, de modo organico y natural, donde de verdad nos corresponde estar, donde de verdad nos sentiremos realizados, para asi ser felices y hacer mas felices a los que nos rodean. Ademas, tendremos a nuestra disposicion un mapa-guia para avanzar, siempre, hacia mas verdad, hacia mas felicidad, hacia un fluir mas natural y coherente, en suma. Preciada Azancot descubre que el ser humano tiene, de manera innata, una serie de necesidades que cubrir y de motivaciones que colmar, y que estas deben ser atendidas en un orden determinado. Este libro cubre las tres primeras necesidades de un total de seis, siendo las tres restantes analizadas en la segunda parte. La creadora del MAT eligio a su mejor alumno y socio, Antonio Galvez, para darle la replica y convertir el aprendizaje en dialogo universal.

ber das Buch: Aufbruch zur neuen Kultur Wenn das Leben gewinnt, wird es keiner Verlierer mehr geben. Wie geht es weiter nach dem Zusammenbruch der gro en Systeme? Der gro en u eren Systeme von Politik und Wirtschaft, Klima und Natur? Aber auch der gro en inneren Systeme von Glauben, Liebe und Denken? Die Antwort auf diese Fragen mu bestehen k nnen vor den vielen gescheiterten Antworten der Vergangenheit. Die Welt steht am Abgrund. Die Jugend von Kairo bis London, von Griechenland bis Chile, von der Rothschild Avenue, Tel Aviv bis zur Wall Street New York sucht neue Wege. Wenn der massiver Aufstand und Protest, der sich heute weltweit formiert, revolution re Kraft und gemeinsame Fl gel bekommen soll, wenn das Leben endlich siegen soll ber Krieg und Gewalt, dann brauchen wir eine Vorstellung davon, wie es weitergehen k nnte. Das vorliegende Buch bietet eine solche Vorstellung an. Es wurde vor fast 30 Jahren geschrieben. Wir glauben, das seine Zeit nun gekommen ist. Der Autor Dieter Duhm hat hier dem Leben selbst eine Stimme verliehen. Er hat es aufgesp rt hinter Dogmen und falscher Moral, hat ihm Wege gebahnt durch verh rtete Denkmuster und eingefrorene Herzen, die eine lebensfeindliche Epoche der patriarchalen Herrschaft in uns hinterlassen hat. Diese aber k nnte jetzt vorbei sein. Der Systemwechsel, der heute zu vollziehen ist, ist der tiefste und fundamentalste seit Jahrtausenden. Es ist ein Wechsel von der Macht, Leben zu vernichten hin zur Macht, Leben zu pflegen und zu sch tzen. Nur so hat dieser blaue Planet und alle seine Bewohner, auch der Mensch, eine Chance auf Zukunft. Wir w nschen diesem Buch, da es auf offene Ohren und Herzen trifft und seine Saat aus Humanit t und Anteilnahme weltweit aufgehen kann. Es ist ja mehr als ein Buch. Es ist eine Vorstellung davon, wie eine lebenswerte Zukunft auf der Erde aussehen k nnte. Der Autor hat sich selbst beim Wort genommen und sich gemeinsam mit Genossinnen und Genossen aufgemacht, diese Zukunftsidee in die Praxis umzusetzen. Der letzte Abschnitt dieses Buches zeigt in Stichworten, was heute, drei ig Jahre danach, aus dieser Pionierarbeit geworden ist.

About the book: An adventurous journey from the stone circle of Almendes in Portugal to the temples of Malta becomes a journey through a new hologram of history. Every event, every temple visit and also every difficulty is guided and thereby unexpected and unpredictable. Sabine Lichtenfels with her mediumistic talent shows simply and modestly what it means to travel in full trust in divine guidance. The temples of Malta act as antennae to the past for her and transmit descriptions and pictures of the culture that had once erected these buildings. This information gives a breathtaking view into a highly developed fulfilling and sensual life. And that at a time where we once thought that primitive people were running around with axes.At the center of this high archaic culture was care for all that lives. The strong current of Eros and the mutual joy between the genders was sacred to them. They knew neither private property nor separation. The body of the woman was like the body of the earth, nourishing and giving. Their religion was the celebration of life itself, from the first sunbeams in the morning until the sparking stars in the night. For thousands of years, their non-violent culture flourished, based on the friendship between the genders.For the author, this view into the past is simultaneously a start of a humane future. The temple of love is to be recreated in the light of modern knowledge, in practical life between men and women in model communities for a future without war.

How do we face the uncertainty and complexity of the future? An overly optimistic perspective can be motivating but easily dismissed as naive or shallow; the pessimistic outlook may be considered to be deeper and more 'knowing' but could lead to inaction. But limiting our visions of the future to simply one of these two 'branches' would mean adopting a position that is ultimately no more than a fatalistic rut. Facing The Fold is a collection of highly regarded journal essays about how scenario thinking uses the capacious space of the 'fold' to encourage thinking around alternative scenarios--to create the future we both want and need. Scenarios are not predictions, nor are they strategies. Scenarios are stories -- narratives of alternative futures, designed to highlight the risks and opportunities involved in specific strategic issues. According to Ogilvy, scenario planning has generally been considered an art, but here he discusses the extent to which it can also be considered an integral part of 'the new sciences', especially complexity science. The narrative of scenario planning is of particular importance to complexity practitioners. Like complexity approaches, the advantage of scenarios is that they take into account the values and the contextual complexity surrounding the community and provide a way to reflect on the consequences of any strategy changes. The book is divided into 3 clear sections: Section I is about the 'nuts and bolts' of scenario planning and, as outlined in the first chapter co-authored with Peter Schwartz, the steps involved in the practice of developing scenarios, and the key considerations to ensure successful scenario planning. Section II situates scenario planning in the larger context of the human sciences of anthropology, psychology, literary criticism, philosophy and sociology. Section III offers a set of case studies--actual scenarios created for real projects. Lessons learnt from working in the public and the private sector are followed by two in-depth case studies on the future of higher education in California and K-12 public education in Seattle. The challenges and opportunities that were faced at the time are uncannily similar to current problems in the funding of education facilities around the world. Alternative scenarios to the momentum of increasing deficit and declining quality were developed at the time, and the author provides an afterword to show how these scenarios have held up over time. As Adam Kahane (Reos Partners and the University of Oxford) said in his review '...This wonderful collection of his writings is a most welcome and valuable contribution to the field.'

The European Union is the most successful supranational organization in history. It has reconciled former enemies, established a single market and a common currency, and reintegrated Central and Eastern Europe into the West. Yet the EU remains unsatisfying to its members and its partners. An economic giant but a political pygmy, it seems hamstrung by bureaucracy and a lack of connection to European publics.

In "Europe 2030," distinguished authors predict what the European Union will look like twenty years from new. A range of views is presented, foreseeing everything from slower growth and diminished power to actions that would make the EU a more vigorous, influential world play.

Contributors include Oksana Antonenko (International Institute for Strategic Studies), Jos? Manuel Durao Barroso (European Commission), Jos? Cutileiro (former secretary general, Western European Union), Joschka Fischer (former minister of foreign affairs, Germany), Charles Grant (Center for European Reform), Andrew Hilton (Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation), Jonathan Laurence (German Marshall Fund, Boston College and Brookings Institution), Rui Chancerelle de Machete (consititutional and administrative attorney), Hubert V?drine (former minister of foreign affairs, France), and Joseph H.H. Weiler (New York University).

El Imperativo Espiritual muestra que, al contrario de lo que piensa la mayoria de la gente, la historia tiene orden, direccion y sentido y el futuro es tan predecible como el tiempo de hoy.

Talking dolphins . . . Underwater cities . . . Two-hundred-year life spans . . . Welcome to the present

People have always imagined what life would be like in the future. Most of the time they've been wrong. Often they were really, really wrong. Your Flying Car Awaits looks at the most outrageous predictions from twentieth-century scientists, novelists, and social commentators, detailing the technologies and philosophies that led some great (and not so great)minds to think the ridiculous was achievable. Includes phenomenally inaccurate predictions such as: Space tourism will be ubiquitous by the year 2000Nuclear explosives will be used for commercial demolitionEngineered and man-made oceans will cover the planetWeather will be as predictable and controllable as a train schedule

An eye-opening, fascinating, and endlessly entertaining collection of truly boneheaded scientific predictions from the past hundred years, Your Flying Car Awaits shines an illuminating light on the people of the previous century by examining the ridiculous theories they envisioned about this one.

The author of The Modern Girl's Guide to Life asks fifty experts, artists, business leaders, trendsetters, doctors, athletes, environmentalists, and intellectuals

What will the next decade look like?

Where are we headed? That is the question professional trendspotter Jane Buckingham posed to fifty influential leaders in a wide variety of fields--and their responses are surprising, provocative, compelling, and important. The result of her conversations with some of the most fascinating men and women in America today, What's Next is an essential collection of highly individual perspectives on tomorrow's world, including:

Our world is changing faster than ever. The essential insights offered in What's Next can help us keep up--and stay ahead.

Acclaimed writer Reza Aslan's belief that American Islam may become the model for Islam throughout the rest of the world

Attorney Alan Dershowitz's views on the very scientific future of criminal defense law

Campaign adviser Joe Trippi's thoughts on how politics will be turned upside down . . .

and more

Our world is changing faster than ever. The essential insights offered in What's Next can help us keep up--and stay ahead.

This book is a full-scale exposition of Charles Manski's new methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. He recommends that researchers first ask what can be learned from data alone, and then ask what can be learned when data are combined with credible weak assumptions. Inferences predicated on weak assumptions, he argues, can achieve wide consensus, while ones that require strong assumptions almost inevitably are subject to sharp disagreements.

Building on the foundation laid in the author's "Identification Problems in the Social Sciences" (Harvard, 1995), the book's fifteen chapters are organized in three parts. Part I studies prediction with missing or otherwise incomplete data. Part II concerns the analysis of treatment response, which aims to predict outcomes when alternative treatment rules are applied to a population. Part III studies prediction of choice behavior.

Each chapter juxtaposes developments of methodology with empirical or numerical illustrations. The book employs a simple notation and mathematical apparatus, using only basic elements of probability theory.

For centuries, scientists have strived to predict the future. But to what extent have they succeeded? Can past events-Hurricane Katrina, the Internet stock bubble, the SARS outbreak-help us understand what will happen next? Will scientists ever really be able to forecast catastrophes, or will we always be at the mercy of Mother Nature, waiting for the next storm, epidemic, or economic crash to thunder through our lives? In "The Future of Everything," David Orrell looks back at the history of forecasting, from the time of the oracle at Delphi to the rise of astrology to the advent of the TV weather report, showing us how scientists (and some charlatans) predicted the future. How can today's scientists claim to anticipate future weather events when even thee-day forecasts prove a serious challenge? How can we predict and control epidemics? Can we accurately foresee our financial future? Or will we only find out about tomorrow when tomorrow arrives?

The pace of change in the past two decades has been extraordinary and it has become much harder for businesses to anticipate the environment in which they will be operating not far down the line - how markets and marketing will change, how employees and consumers behaviour and attitudes will change. Patrick Dixon has been at the forefront of those who have identified the ways things are going and in this fourth edition of his highly acclaimed book he brings us right up to date on what the future holds - how things are becoming ever Faster , more Urban, more Tribal, more Universal, more Radical and more Ethical Click here for the author's website.

Cyberspace and cybertechnology have impacted on every aspect of our lives. Western society, culture, politics and economics are now all intricately bound with cyberspace. Living With Cyberspace brings together the leading cyber-theorists of North America, Britain and Australia to map the present and the future of cyberspace.Presenting a guidebook to our new world, both the theory and the practice, the book covers subjects as diverse as androids, biotech, electronic commerce, the acceleration of everyday life, access to information, the alliance between the military and the entertainment industries, feminism, democratic practice and human consciousness itself.Together, the essays--divided into separately introduced sections on society, culture, politics and economics--present a systematic and state-of-the-art overview of technology and society in the 21st Century.Contributors: John Armitage, Verena Andermatt Conley, James Der Derian, William H. Dutton, Phil Graham, Tim Jordan, Wan-Ying Ling, David Lyon, Ian Miles, Joanne Roberts, Saskia Sassen, Cathryn Vasseleu, McKenzie Wark, Frank Webster

"Fitz is a well-established scholar whose work on Lispector is highly respected, and this is a well-focused and very knowledgeable study. One of the things I particularly like about this book is that it makes a case for reading Lispector in the light of poststructuralist theory without overwhelming the reader." --Debra A. Castillo, Professor of Romance Studies and Director of Latin American Studies Program, Cornell University Driven by an unfulfilled desire for the unattainable, ultimately indefinable Other, the protagonists of the novels and stories of acclaimed Brazilian writer Clarice Lispector exemplify and humanize many of the issues central to poststructuralist thought, from the nature of language, truth, and meaning to the unstable relationships between language, being, and reality. In this book, Earl Fitz demonstrates that, in turn, poststructuralism offers important and revealing insights into all aspects of Lispector's writing, including her style, sense of structure, characters, themes, and socio-political conscience. Fitz draws on Lispector's entire oeuvre--novels, stories, cronicas, and children's literature--to argue that her writing consistently reflects the basic tenets of poststructuralist theory. He shows how Lispector's characters struggle over and humanize poststructuralist dilemmas and how their essential sense of being is deeply dependent on a shifting, and typically transgressive, sense of desire and sexuality.

Unless something really remarkable happens like Armageddon or a dot.com company declaring profits as we enter the year 2001, things will stay pretty much as they are: images of Princess Diana will still appear in magazines everywhere, the railways will still use rolling stock built in the sixties, and old men driving cars will still inexplicably wear hats and gloves. But behind the facade of normality the future is taking shape. With Sam Goldwyn's famous saying 'Never predict anything - especially the future' firmly in mind, Jonathan Margolis inoculates himself against the pitfalls of prophecy with a chastening look at the history of futurology. Then he takes courage in both hands and sets out to describe the world that's yet to come in the fields of medicine, mind, spirit, home, food, work, leisure, politics, war, society, transport, environment and space.

What do variables really tell us? When exactly do inventions occur? Why do we always miss turning points as they transpire? When does what doesn't happen mean as much, if not more, than what does? Andrew Abbott considers these fascinating questions in "Time Matters," a diverse series of essays that constitutes the most extensive analysis of temporality in social science today. Ranging from abstract theoretical reflection to pointed methodological critique, Abbott demonstrates the inevitably theoretical character of any methodology.
"Time Matters" focuses particularly on questions of time, events, and causality. Abbott grounds each essay in straightforward examinations of actual social scientific analyses. Throughout, he demonstrates the crucial assumptions we make about causes and events, about actors and interaction and about time and meaning every time we employ methods of social analysis, whether in academic disciplines, market research, public opinion polling, or even evaluation research. Turning current assumptions on their heads, Abbott not only outlines the theoretical orthodoxies of empirical social science, he sketches new alternatives, laying down foundations for a new body of social theory.

Will humanity survive the coming century? Are we threatened by a demographic time-bomb? Will there be food for all? Can we eliminate poverty? Are we, in our cities, heading for a kind of apartheid between the affluent and the socially excluded? Will new information technologies increase the gap between rich and poor - or, on the contrary, open up opportunities for lifelong distance education for all? Are women going to win their legitimate place in society? Is it true that many languages are in danger of extinction? How can we forestall global warming and the onward march of the world's deserts? Will there be wars over access to shrinking supplies of water? What are the prospects of running out of affordable oil and gas; and can we harness solar energy? This book looks at the major challenges of the future. Packed with the latest information and scientific understandings, it traverses a rich tapestry of crucial issues, threats and choices confronting humanity and proposes a new start based on four broad contracts: social, natural, cultural and ethical. In a world where problems are taking on increasingly global dimensions, we must come up with global solutions. We need to turn a culture of violence into a culture of peace. The choice is stark: either a 21st century with a human face or the grimacing mask of a 'Brave New World'.

A memoir of postmodern times, cast as a history. This book is narrated by a far-future historian, Peter Jensen, who leaves this account of the world from the 1990s to the opening of the 23rd century as a gift to his granddaughter. A combination of fiction and scholarship, this edition of Wagar's speculative history of the future alternates between descriptions of world events and intimate glimpses of his fictive historian's family into the first centuries of the new millennium.

As a talk-show host for more than four decades, Larry King has encountered the most powerful and influential people in the world. Now, in Future Talk, he converses with some of today's most provocative thinkers to get their perspectives on what's in store for us in days to come.

In this book, composed of original interviews never broadcast or published before, Larry King takes us on a tour of the future of politics, religion, the media, war and peace, money, work, travel, sports, and the arts--all from the point of view of highly regarded individuals at the top of their fields.

King has conversations with: Stephen Jay Gould on the unprecedented challenges mankind faces; Marian Wright Edelman on the risks confronting families; Tim Russert on the media and political coverage; Doris Kearns Goodwin on the talents a future president will need to succeed; Gen. John Shalikashvili on military developments; Bill Gates on how computers and the Internet will continue to permeate our lives; Richard C. Holbrooke on the challenges of world diplomacy; C. Everett Koop on the increasingly volatile relationship between government and health care; Lester Thurow on world economics and how the United States needs to position itself; Albert Berkeley on how Wall Street will play less of a central role in investors' lives; Bob Costas on how sports will grow and change, as well as how they will be covered; Maya Angelou and Peter Max on the meanings and relevance of art; Isaac Mizrahi on what we'll be wearing; Stephen Cannell on what we'll be watching; and Robert Thurman and Elaine Pagels on spirituality and what we'll be doing to nourish our souls.These and many other interviews offer comments that are candid and opinionated, optimistic and pessimistic. They will engender reflection and surprise and ultimately provide insight into what tomorrow will bring.

"Charging Ahead" foretells the world's next great energy transformation: the shift to clean, renewable energy sources. It shows how renewable energy, energy efficiency, and electric vehicles, when used together, can give us back a clean environment and create a healthy, sustainable economy. In chronicling this extraordinary technological revolution, John J. Berger provides a fascinating look at the new industries that will make it possible, and the trillion-dollar benefits Americans can enjoy by choosing pollution-free energy and transportation.

What methodological tools have been most useful in doing evaluation? What are some of the new methodologies that are being used and developed? Will the types of things evaluated expand from programs, personnel, and products to foreign aid, medical technology, environmental interventions, and World Bank loan programs? What will evaluation be like in the 21st century? These impressive evaluators from around the globe explore how evaluation has come to be what it is today and what the professional evaluation landscape will be like in the future. They examine the following:

-What makes evaluation different from other disciplines?

-The links and differences between evaluation and auditing professions?

-Which activities have priority in evaluation, under what circumstances, and for what purposes?

-New methodological approaches to doing evaluation.

-The issues of advocacy versus truth in evaluation and between evaluating programs versus empowering people to evaluate their own programs.

Evaluation for the 21st Century features thoughtfully written introductions to each of the main sections that provide a context and synthesis of the various evaluators? chapters. After reading this groundbreaking book, researchers and practitioners will be able to recognize these new developments in evaluation as they encounter them, place them in context, and incorporate them into their own evaluation professions and practices.

A stunning achievement, Evaluation for the 21st Century is for all professionals and practitioners in evaluation, management, public administration, sociology, psychology, education research, public health, and nursing.

`This is an exceedingly long short book, stretching at least fifty thousand years into the past and who knows how many into the future...' So begins Visions of the Future, the prophetic new book by Robert Heilbroner.

Heilbroner's basic premise is stunning in its elegant simplicity. He contends that throughout all of human history there have really only been three distinct ways of looking at the future. In the Distant Past (Prehistory to the 17th century) there was no notion of a future measurably and materially different from the present or the past. In the period he calls Yesterday (1700-1950), science, capitalism, and democracy gave humanity an unwavering faith in the superiority of the future. While Today, we feel a palpable anxiety that is quite apart from both the resignation of the Distant past or the bright optimism of Yesterday.

On 1 July 1997 the red flag with five yellow stars of the People's Republic of China will be hoisted over Government House in Hong Kong, replacing the Union Jack and symbolizing the culmination of a profound political transition. The United Kingdom, which has governed the colony since 1841, will have transferred sovereignty and administrative responsibility over Hong Kong to mainland China's Communist party. Hong Kong is in for a rocky road in the years ahead. Future treatment of Hong Kong will be caught up in the political competition for control of China. Victims of that competition will include the free press, academic freedom, open and fair elections, and some portion of market freedom. Hong Kong will not be as tightly controlled as the rest of China, but neither will it be the free and vivacious place it has been for the past half century. The political and economic landscape will be filled with uncertainty, cronyism, lost freedoms, and more corruption than has been known in the recent past. It is a bleak picture indeed. Such is the dire prophecy of Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, David Newman, and Alvin Rabushka, whose Red Flag over Hong Kong casts a cold eye on the future prospects of "the world's best example of the free-market economy, working as textbooks say it should". Applying to that unknown future a dynamic model of decision making that rests on the collection of data from a wide range of expert observers, the authors boldly seek to quantify human behavior and so derive a precise and reliable early forecast of Hong Kong's destiny at the hands of its communist masters.

Profound ideas from remarkably original couple. --Future Survey Spanning a period of 28 years, this collection of essays by renowned futurist scholars Elise and Kenneth Boulding presents a thoughtful exploration of past, present--and possible--world development. The juxtaposition of works by both authors fosters a deeper understanding of their individual views while allowing the reader to evaluate the element of mutual influence. Offering a wide range of political, economic, and social perspectives on the global future, the volume's overarching theme is clear: The world is in dire need of mending. Conveying the passionate conviction of its contributors, this compelling set of essays stands as a tribute to Kenneth Boulding's life, his work, and his dedication to the study of the future as more than an intellectual curiosity--as something essential to the survival of mankind itself. Students and professors of political science, sociology, and economics will appreciate this thought-provoking volume. "The authors display their passionate concern with the future, a concern shown partly in their joint interest in peace projects. They write lucidly and gracefully making these some of the most attractive and stimulating contributions to our thinking about the future." --Krishan Kumar in Political Studies