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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Social research & statistics > Social forecasting, futurology
As his health begins to fail, a historian in the year 2084 sets out
to document the irreparable damage climate change has wrought on
the planet over the course of his life. He interviews scientists,
political leaders and ordinary people all around the world who have
suffered its catastrophic effects, from devastating floods and mass
droughts to war and famine. In a series of short chapters, we learn
that much of New York has been abandoned, 50 million Bangladeshis
are refugees and half of the Netherlands is under water. This is
all fiction. But it is rooted in scientific fact. Written by a
professor of geochemistry, James Lawrence Powell, The 2084 Report
accurately chronicles the future we will face if nothing is done to
address the climate crisis. A vivid portrait of climate change and
its tangible impact on our lives, The 2084 Report is a powerful
prophecy and urgent call to action.
International Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively
covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term,
global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the
International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong,
long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the
formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and
the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy
use of algorithmic and rule-based elements and the use of elements
of control theory is also explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is
compared and contrasted with all other major modeling efforts, also
outlining the major benefits of the IFs system. Finally, the book
provides suggestions on how the development of forecasting systems
might most productively proceed in the coming years.
In 2050, it is predicted that 4.7bn or nearly 50% of the world's
population will take an international holiday. But can humankind
meet that forecast given the issues of ageing populations, peak
oil, the global financial crisis and climate change? This book
constructs scenarios from Shanghai to Edinburgh, Seoul to
California encompassing complex topics such as human trafficking,
conferences, transport, food tourism or technological innovation.
This is a blue skies thinking book about the future of tourism and
a thought-provoking analytical commentary.
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(Paperback)
Guillermo Calderon; Translated by William Gregory
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R352
Discovery Miles 3 520
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Ships in 12 - 19 working days
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Society is fuelled by anger; dissatisfaction shapes Twitter feeds,
online petitions and protest marches. But is that enough to bring
about change? Alejandra and Marcela are female anarchists,
nervously planning to plant bombs in the middle of the night. They
don't want violence. They just want to be heard. Prison's not much
of a threat when most of your friends are inside. Then they meet
Jose Miguel. He is from a different generation, a time when
revolution was ripe and activism alive, and he's committed to
change by any means possible.
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