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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Social research & statistics > Social forecasting, futurology
In normal times we go about our lives oblivious to the structures,
institutions, processes, and shared values that shape our
behaviours. In powerful times like ours, deep structures of love,
power, and justice are brought to light. International Futures
Forum has been tracking three emergencies: a real emergency (the
challenges we face in the world), a conceptual emergency (making
sense of the world to take on those challenges), and an existential
emergency (how all of this leaves us feeling). It is the
existential emergency, the human consequences of living in powerful
times, that dominates the scene. Together we need to support
individuals, groups, organisations, communities, institutions,
human beings in all formations to expand, to develop, and to grow,
to rise to the occasion. This booklet proposes 3 steps: Section 1
explores the context of our times and how we can read the landscape
more effectively, coming to feel more at home in it. Second 2
focuses on transformative growth, both what we need to develop in
ourselves and how we can do so. Section 3 moves to transformative
action that will shift our systems and patterns of activity towards
our aspirations for the future.
__________ If you live on planet Earth, you're probably scared
about the future. Terrorism, complicated international relations,
global warming, killer viruses and a raft of other issues make it
hard not to be. Watching the news you have to wonder: is it safe to
go out there or not? In The Day It Finally Happens, Mike Pearl
games out many of the 'could it really happen?' scenarios we've all
speculated about, assigning a probability rating, and taking us
through how it would unfold. He explores what would likely occur in
dozens of possible scenarios - the final failure of antibiotics,
the loss of the world's marine life, the abolition of the British
monarchy, and even the arrival of aliens - and reports back from
the future, providing a clear picture on how the world would look,
feel, and even smell in each of these instances. Hilarious,
enlightening, and terrifying, this book makes science accessible
and is a unique form of existential therapy, offering practical
answers to some of our most worrisome questions. Thankfully, the
odds of humanity pulling through look pretty good. __________ For
fans of such bestsellers as What If?,The Worst Case Scenario
Survival Handbook and The Uninhabitable Earth, as well as Steven
Pinker and Malcolm Gladwell, this is a book about future events
that we don't really understand and getting to know them in close
detail. Entertaining speculation featuring both authoritative
research and a bit of mischief: a look at how humanity is likely to
weather such happenings as the day nuclear war occurs, the day the
global internet goes down, the day we run out of effective
antibiotics, and the day immortality is achieved.
'David Christian's approach to understanding history can help all
of us learn to prepare for the future' - Bill Gates A user's guide
to the future: from the algorithms in DNA to why time is like a
cocktail glass, interstellar migrations, transhumanism, the fate of
the galaxy, and the last black hole... Every second of our lives -
whether we're looking both ways before crossing the street,
celebrating the birth of a baby, or moving to a new city - we must
cope with an unknowable future by telling stories about what will
happen next. Where is the future, the place where we set those
stories? Can we trust our future stories? And what sort of futures
do they show us? David Christian, historian and bestselling author
of Origin Story, is renowned for pioneering the emerging discipline
of Big History, which surveys the whole of the past. But with
Future Stories, he casts his sharp analytical eye forward, offering
an introduction to the strange world of the future, and a guide to
what we think we know about it at all scales, from the predictive
mechanisms of single-celled organisms and tomato plants to the
merging of colossal galaxies billions of years from now. Drawing
together science, history and philosophy from a huge range of
places and times, Christian explores how we prepare for uncertain
futures, including the future of human evolution, artificial
intelligence, interstellar travel, and more. By linking the study
of the past much more closely to the study of the future, we can
begin to imagine what the world will look like in the next hundred
years and consider solutions to the biggest challenges facing us
all.
OUT NOW: the new book from the bestselling authors and hosts of the
wildy popular 'The Skeptics Guide to the Universe' __________ Our
predictions of the future are a wild fantasy, inextricably linked
to our present hopes and fears, biases and ignorance. Whether they
be the outlandish leaps predicted in the 1920s, like multi-purpose
utility belts with climate control capabilities and planes the size
of luxury cruise ships, or the forecasts of the '60s, which didn't
anticipate the sexual revolution or women's liberation, the path to
the present is littered with failed predictions and incorrect
estimations. The best we can do is try to absorb from futurism's
checkered past, perhaps learning to do a little better. In The
Skeptics' Guide To The Future, Steven Novella and his co-authors
build upon the work of futurists of the past by examining what they
got right, what they got wrong, and how they came to those
conclusions. By exploring the pitfalls of each era, they give their
own speculations about the distant future, transformed by
unbelievable technology ranging from genetic manipulation to
artificial intelligence and quantum computing. Applying their
trademark skepticism, they carefully extrapolate upon each
scientific development, leaving no stone unturned as they lay out a
vision for the future of tomorrow. __________
Lean Logic is David Fleming's masterpiece, the product of more than
thirty years' work and a testament to the creative brilliance of
one of Britain's most important intellectuals. A dictionary unlike
any other, it leads readers through Fleming's stimulating
exploration of fields as diverse as culture, history, science, art,
logic, ethics, myth, economics, and anthropology, being made up of
four hundred and four engaging essay-entries covering topics such
as Boredom, Community, Debt, Growth, Harmless Lunatics, Land, Lean
Thinking, Nanotechnology, Play, Religion, Spirit, Trust, and
Utopia. The threads running through every entry are Fleming's deft
and original analysis of how our present market-based economy is
destroying the very foundations-ecological, economic, and cultural-
on which it depends, and his core focus: a compelling, grounded
vision for a cohesive society that might weather the consequences.
A society that provides a satisfying, culturally-rich context for
lives well lived, in an economy not reliant on the impossible
promise of eternal economic growth. A society worth living in.
Worth fighting for. Worth contributing to. The beauty of the
dictionary format is that it allows Fleming to draw connections
without detracting from his in-depth exploration of each topic.
Each entry carries intriguing links to other entries, inviting the
enchanted reader to break free of the imposed order of a
conventional book, starting where she will and following the links
in the order of her choosing. In combination with Fleming's
refreshing writing style and good-natured humor, it also creates a
book perfectly suited to dipping in and out. The decades Fleming
spent honing his life's work are evident in the lightness and
mastery with which Lean Logic draws on an incredible wealth of
cultural and historical learning-from Whitman to Whitefield,
Dickens to Daly, Kropotkin to Kafka, Keats to Kuhn, Oakeshott to
Ostrom, Jung to Jensen, Machiavelli to Mumford, Mauss to
Mandelbrot, Leopold to Lakatos, Polanyi to Putnam, Nietzsche to
Naess, Keynes to Kumar, Scruton to Shiva, Thoreau to Toynbee,
Rabelais to Rogers, Shakespeare to Schumacher, Locke to Lovelock,
Homer to Homer-Dixon-in demonstrating that many of the principles
it commends have a track-record of success long pre-dating our
current society. Fleming acknowledges, with honesty, the challenges
ahead, but rather than inducing despair, Lean Logic is rare in its
ability to inspire optimism in the creativity and intelligence of
humans to nurse our ecology back to health; to rediscover the
importance of place and play, of reciprocity and resilience, and of
community and culture. ------ Recognizing that Lean Logic's sheer
size and unusual structure could be daunting, Fleming's long-time
collaborator Shaun Chamberlin has also selected and edited one of
the potential pathways through the dictionary to create a second,
stand-alone volume, Surviving the Future: Culture, Carnival and
Capital in the Aftermath of the Market Economy. The content, rare
insights, and uniquely enjoyable writing style remain Fleming's,
but presented at a more accessible paperback-length and in
conventional read-it-front-to-back format.
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The 909
(Paperback)
Mark Givens, Joel Huschle
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R210
Discovery Miles 2 100
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Money
(Paperback)
Ulisse Di Corpo
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R558
Discovery Miles 5 580
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Ships in 10 - 15 working days
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Neoliberalism isn't working. Austerity is forcing millions into
poverty and many more into precarious work, while the left remains
trapped in stagnant political practices that offer no respite.
Inventing the Future is a bold new manifesto for life after
capitalism. Against the confused understanding of our high-tech
world by both the right and the left, this book claims that the
emancipatory and future-oriented possibilities of our society can
be reclaimed. Instead of running from a complex future, Nick
Srnicek and Alex Williams demand a postcapitalist economy capable
of advancing standards, liberating humanity from work and
developing technologies that expand our freedoms. This new edition
includes a new chapter where they respond to their various critics.
""Should We Risk It?" is a timely and unique book. Its 'hands-on'
approach to diverse risk problem-solving and decision-making
methods fills a long-existing void. Using real-world problems, it
introduces basic and more advanced methods in a clear, evenhanded,
and thought-provoking manner. The more people who read it--both
those already active in risk policy and those with a general
interest--the better we as a society will be ready to cope with
increasingly complex risk decisions. This book will improve both
risk-based decisions and the associated public discourse."--William
Ruckelshaus, former Administrator of the U. S. Environmental
Protection Agency
"This is a splendid book. It should be of interest to a wide
range of students and professionals across the environmental and
health sciences."--John Harte, University of California, Berkeley;
author of "Consider a Spherical Cow"
"Dan Kammen and David Hassenzahl have filled a long-standing
need and have done it brilliantly. Their book provides the bridge
between the technical tooks of risk analysis and the real world of
health and environmental problems. Mastering the contents of this
book should be a requirement for anyone--student or policy
maker--who wants to understand risk analysis."--J. Clarence "Terry"
Davis, Director, Resources for the Future Center for Risk
Management
"The authors have done a remarkable job of showing the common
structures underlying the variety of risks that we face in our
personal and professional lives. Moreover, their approach allows
integrating the diverse forms of knowledge needed to address these
complex problems. Readers will think differently after reading this
book."--Baruch Fischhoff, Professor of Social and Decision
Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University
"This book will be very useful as a text in a risk-analysis
class. It will also be a valuable reference for practitioners of
risk assessment in industry, government, and consulting. . . . The
organization of the book is logical and effective."--James K.
Hammitt, Harvard University
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