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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Social research & statistics > Social forecasting, futurology
"John, I’m exhausted. I barely have energy to change my socks, never mind reimagine a new life for me or my family. I’ve been working around the clock – for less money – to keep my job . . . Everyone wants something from me, and you know what, pal, I’m depleted. I have nothing left to give."
This is what John Sanei has been hearing over the past year as we come to terms with our bewildering, ever-shifting post-Covid world. In Who Do We Become?, John maps out our strange, new world and lays down a path to reframe our thinking, to recognise our discomfort, to survive and thrive.
Infused with empathy and personal anecdote, the book is divided into three sections. In Part 1: ANGUISH, John explores how to courageously mourn the loss of our ‘normal’ preCovid world. Part 2: ABNORMAL, shows us how to understand this new environment and recognise that uncertainty is the new normal. And in Part 3: ADVENTURE, John provides a toolkit for us to forge out into the new world, to succeed and recognise the signs of rebirth and renewal.
In order to ensure the long-term sustainability of tourism in
different countries and destinations, it is vital to examine and
analyse emerging trends in today's international tourism industry.
International Tourism Futures: The Drivers and Impacts of Change
examines influential factors such as the demographic, political,
economic and technological changes, which will affect the nature,
trends and participation in tourism, hospitality and events. It
discusses contemporary concepts associated with the tourism,
hospitality and event sector, generating plausible ideas and
identifying future trends. The COVID-19 crisis outbreak reinforces
the vulnerability of the international tourism industry operating
as an open system and some of these impacts of change on future
industry development are highlighted. A multi-disciplinary text,
International Tourism Futures: The Drivers and Impacts of Change
covers a range of inter-related trends which include: * Tourists of
the Future * Hospitality of the Future * The Future of Visitor
Attractions * Events of the Future * The Future of Film Tourism *
Health and Wellness Tourism * Sustainable Development and
Responsible Tourism * Future Proofing a Crisis * Building Future
Scenarios Using a considered pedagogic structure, each chapter uses
international case studies to contextualise the theory, including:
Chinese outbound travel, the 'personalisation' of the travel
experience, robotic hospitality in Asia, the 2028 LA Summer
Olympics, Wellness Spa Tourism in Thailand, France's 'International
Action Against Terrorism' initiative and many more. This research
textbook is perfect for tourism, hospitality and event education
and courses that focus on the future direction of the T,H and E
sectors and industry in general.
"Global Change Scenarios of the 21st Century" informs readers of
conceivable environmental changes in the next hundred years.
Integrated scenarios are used to communicate large amounts of
information about different aspects of the global environmental
system, together with society's role within this system. Uniquely,
the scenarios are generated by an integrated computer model, IMAGE
2.1, which enhances consistency and provides a framework for
linking environmental and social aspects of global change.
The book is divided into four parts, the volume begins by
describing the model used to generate these scenarios, explaining
its current features. This is followed by scenarios of changing
climate, energy and food use, land cover, acidification, sea level
and many other indicators of global change up to 2100. The long
term consequences of actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are
then explored in a section which uses the concepts of 'safe
landing' and 'safe emission corridors' to address the connection
between the long-term climate protection and short-term emission
reductions. The final sections examines how the complicated and
crucial issue of how complex global scenario information can be
communicated to policy makers.
A ridiculously in-depth guide to finding a fulfilling and impactful career in an age of AI.
You have about 80,000 hours in your career: 40 hours a week, 50 weeks a year, for 40 years. This means your choice of career is the most important decision you’ll ever make. Choose well, and you can have a more rewarding, interesting life, and also help solve some of the world’s most pressing problems. Choose poorly, and you could waste decades.
So what should you do? Most advice is based on no research, instead offering (misleading) platitudes like ‘follow your passion’. It’s surprisingly out of date, focusing on traditional paths rather than those most likely to thrive in an age of AI. And if you want to help others, the advice is even more simplistic: telling you to choose careers like nurse or doctor, when there are paths in which almost anyone can save more lives. In fact, some careers have hundreds of times more impact than others, but most of us have no idea which ones.
Benjamin Todd is the founder of 80,000 Hours, a non-profit that’s spent over ten years researching how to have a meaningful and impactful career. Here he introduces a tried-and-tested framework that has already led thousands of people to change their path. It covers:
- What really makes for a dream job, and why finding it probably doesn’t involve ‘following your passion’
- How to identify which global problems are most pressing, and why they might involve AI as much as climate change
- Which roles are likely to be automated, and how to ensure yours isn’t among them
It’s also full of practical tips and tools. You’ll come away with a plan to use your 80,000 hours in a way that’s rewarding and fulfils your potential to make a difference.
Ravi Menon is the Institute of Policy Studies' 9th S R Nathan
Fellow for the Study of Singapore. This book is an edited
collection of his four IPS-Nathan Lectures, delivered in July 2021,
and includes highlights of his question-and-answer segments with
our virtual audience.Mr Menon examines how Singapore will come
under pressure from four tectonic shifts altering the global
landscape. Although still relevant, Singapore's guiding ethos of
adaptation, meritocracy, and pragmatism may no longer be
sufficient. To secure our future, we will need more innovation,
inclusion, and inspiration. What does an innovative economy look
like? What does it take to create a more inclusive society? What
does it mean to be an inspiring nation? How does it all hold
together in a refreshed Singapore Synthesis?The IPS-Nathan Lecture
series was launched in 2014 as part of the S R Nathan Fellowship
for the Study of Singapore. It seeks to advance public
understanding and discussion of issues of critical national
interest for Singapore.
In a period in which the future of the European Union is subject to
increased scrutiny, it is more vital than ever that the thoughts
and views of younger generations are considered. Young People's
Visions and Worries for the Future of Europe: Findings from the
Europe 2038 Project seeks to do exactly that, presenting the
findings of a large-scale research project investigating the
opinions and worries of young people between the ages of 16 and 25
across seven European countries. In this unique and timely volume,
Strohmeier and Tenenbaum, together with the Europe 2038 consortium,
examine young people's endorsement of multiculturalism, diversity,
European identity, human rights, and political participation, and
unpick the cross-national differences in a range of European
countries. Young People's Visions and Worries for the Future of
Europe concludes by formulating effective evidence-based
recommendations for policy and practice. This work is essential
reading for advanced level undergraduate and masters level courses
in Psychology, Social Work, Politics, Sociology, Social Policy, and
Education, as well as researchers in those fields.
This book features a comprehensive foresight assessment, exploring
the pressures - threats as well as opportunities - on the global
agriculture & food systems between now and 2050. The
overarching aim is to help readers understand the context, by
analyzing global trends and anticipating change for better planning
and constructing pathways from the present to the future by
focusing on the right questions and problems. The book
contextualizes the role of international agricultural research in
addressing the complex challenges posed by UN 2030 Agenda and
beyond, and identifies the decisions that scientific leaders,
donors and policy makers need to take today, and in the years
ahead, to ensure that a global population rising to nine billion or
more combined with rising incomes and changing diets can be fed
sustainably and equitably, in the face of the growing climate
threats.
Lim Siong Guan, Singapore's former Head of Civil Service
(1999-2005) was the Institute of Policy Studies' 4th S R Nathan
Fellow for the Study of Singapore. This book contains edited
versions of the three IPS-Nathan Lectures he gave between September
and November 2017, and highlights of his dialogue with the
audience.Lim addresses the question, 'Can Singapore Fall?', by
examining the state of Singapore today and proposing what Singapore
and Singaporeans must do in order to prevent economic and social
decline. Taking inspiration from Sir John Glubb's essay, The Fate
of Empires and Search for Survival, Lim urges Singaporeans to
counter decline by observing the 'three legs of honour': Trust,
Diversity, and Excellence. These include becoming a gracious
society and building up a culture of innovation, excellence and
outwardness.Lim also reminds us that cultural change takes a
generational effort to effect; for change to happen, Singaporeans
must thus act with urgency and act now for the well-being of future
generations.The IPS-Nathan Lectures series was launched in 2014 as
part of the S R Nathan Fellowship for the Study of Singapore. The S
R Nathan Fellow delivers a series of lectures during their term to
advance public understanding and discussion of issues of critical
national interest.
Lim Siong Guan, Singapore's former Head of Civil Service
(1999-2005) was the Institute of Policy Studies' 4th S R Nathan
Fellow for the Study of Singapore. This book contains edited
versions of the three IPS-Nathan Lectures he gave between September
and November 2017, and highlights of his dialogue with the
audience.Lim addresses the question, 'Can Singapore Fall?', by
examining the state of Singapore today and proposing what Singapore
and Singaporeans must do in order to prevent economic and social
decline. Taking inspiration from Sir John Glubb's essay, The Fate
of Empires and Search for Survival, Lim urges Singaporeans to
counter decline by observing the 'three legs of honour': Trust,
Diversity, and Excellence. These include becoming a gracious
society and building up a culture of innovation, excellence and
outwardness.Lim also reminds us that cultural change takes a
generational effort to effect; for change to happen, Singaporeans
must thus act with urgency and act now for the well-being of future
generations.The IPS-Nathan Lectures series was launched in 2014 as
part of the S R Nathan Fellowship for the Study of Singapore. The S
R Nathan Fellow delivers a series of lectures during their term to
advance public understanding and discussion of issues of critical
national interest.
Midway through the eighteenth century, the rate of growth for the
world's population was roughly at zero. Immediately after World War
II, it was just above 2 percent. Ever since, it has fallen
steadily. This new book, the latest offering from a distinguished
expert on international economics, tells readers what this
stagnation or fall in population will mean--economically,
politically, and historically--for the nations of the world.
W. W. Rostow not only traces the whole global arc of this "great
population spike"--he looks far beyond it. What he sees will
interest anyone curious about what is in store for the world's
financial and governmental systems. The Great Population Spike and
After: Reflections on the 21st Century contends that, as the
decline in population now occurring in the industrialized world
spreads to all of the presently developing countries, the global
rate of population will fall to the "zero" level circa 2100.
(Indeed, with the exception of Africa south of the Sahara, it could
reach "zero" long before then.) This being so, how will it be
possible to maintain full employment and social services with a
decelerating population? What will societies do when the proportion
of the working force (as now defined) diminishes radically in
relation to the population of poor or elderly dependents? How will
the countries of the world confront subsequent decreases in
population-related investment?
In answering these queries, this bold study asserts that the
United States is not the "last remaining superpower" but the
"critical margin" without whose support no constructive action on
the world scene can succeed. Rostow takes the view that world peace
will depend on ourgovernment's ability to assume responsibly this
"critical margin" role. Further, he argues that, over a period of
time, the execution of this strategy on the international scene
will require a bipartisan, relentless effort to solve the
combustible social problems that weaken not only our cities but our
whole society.
Peter Ho, former Head of the Singapore Civil Service, was the
Institute of Policy Studies' 2016/17 S R Nathan Fellow for the
Study of Singapore.This book collects the four IPS-Nathan Lectures
that he delivered between April and May 2017, and gathers
highlights of his dialogues with the audience.Ho surveys the
increasingly complex world, and suggests what governments can do to
prepare for the future - even as no one can predict it. He uses
metaphors such as the 'black elephant' and concepts like the
'dialectic of governance' to explain how a systematic approach to
thinking about the future can help countries in general - and
Singapore in particular - build resilience and develop a
comparative advantage in the face of uncertainty and rapid
change.The IPS-Nathan Lectures series was launched in 2014 as part
of the S R Nathan Fellowship for the Study of Singapore. Its
primary goal is to promote public understanding and discourse of
issues of critical national interest.
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