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Every decision we make is a decision about the future. We constantly make choices that affect the next week, year or decade, but get blinded by what we want or expect the future to be. Cognitive traps lie everywhere: failing to question our assumptions; believing in greater certainty and personal control than life allows; or missing signals because we’re distracted by the noise.
The post-2020 world demands a revolutionary way of looking ahead, and in these unpredictable times, the key to good futures thinking is good thinking. The goal of constructive futurism is not to forecast specific events, but to plot a series of scenarios that show what could happen. Consequently, we can work towards the future we want, avoid the ones we don’t, and be prepared to manage the risks and opportunities no matter what.
In Thinking the Future, scenario specialists Clem Sunter and Mitch Ilbury teach us the futurist’s art of decision-making, where the flexibility of thinking like a fox plays a key role in adapting to a complex and interconnected world. The book rejects the appealing but misleading self-help narrative that you can decide your future through sheer determination in pursuit of your goals and replaces it with a more dynamic approach.
Isaac Newton said: ‘If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants.’ By reimagining seminal concepts thought up by some of history’s greatest thinkers, the authors detail the dos and don’ts for thinking the future and handling its uncertainty in a constructive way.
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Together We Can! (Hardcover)
Unkle Clem; Illustrated by Sophie Ong; Contributions by Asa Balanoff Naiditch
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R402
Discovery Miles 4 020
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Ships in 12 - 17 working days
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To Alan Best Wishes (Hardcover)
Alan J Perna; Designed by Skip Johnston; Edited by Anna Leigh Clem
bundle available
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R1,785
R1,405
Discovery Miles 14 050
Save R380 (21%)
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Ships in 10 - 15 working days
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Manual of Structural Kinesiology, 22e provides a straightforward
view of human anatomy and its relation to movement. While the
manual is designed for use in undergraduate structural kinesiology
courses, other clinicians and educators will also benefit from the
text. The manual clearly identifies specific muscles and muscle
groups and describes exercises for strengthening and developing
those muscles. The author's goal continues to be to provide
important information in an accessible format through a combination
of logical presentation, extensive and clear illustrations, and
concise writing style.
In this book a distinguished group of international contributors,
from both developing and higher income countries, identify and
discuss major social conflicts, labour and distributional concerns,
environmental issues and impacts arising from the very rapid
increase in globalisation experienced since the early 1970s. Issues
considered include possible alternatives to globalisation; cultural
and linguistic inequalities associated with globalisation,
consequences of growing regionalism and economic inequality between
and within nations. Poverty, international migration, biodiversity
conservation, natural resource sustainability, and global trade in
genetically modified organisms (GMOs) are also discussed. A
substantial introductory chapter provides a significant overview of
the rate and process of economic globalisation and integrates the
contributions and their interconnections for the reader. Economic
Globalisation offers policy proposals and responses and represents
divergent views and rigorous theoretical analysis. Economists,
particularly those with an interest in international economics,
labour, environmental and ecological economics, macroeconomics and
social economics will all find this book of great interest.
Tourism is the world's largest industry and its fastest growing
one. It has the potential to contribute significantly to the
economic development of most economies, including those of less
developed countries and peripheral economic regions. However, it
depends heavily on environmental conditions, natural and man-made,
for its market and its sustainability. This book analyzes market
and political failures in relation to tourism development and the
environment, and the implications of those for national gains from
international tourism, for public finance and policy, and for the
sustainability of tourism. Particular emphasis is placed on
ecotourism and the sustainable use of natural sites, methods of
evaluating the sustainability of tourism and the impacts of
pollution on tourism. Case studies cover both large and small
developing countries e.g. Bangladesh, Brazil, China, India and the
Maldives, as well as more developed economies. While some attention
is given to the evaluation of protected areas, most attention is
given to policies in terms of the sustainable recreational use of
such areas - examples include scuba diving and encounters of
tourists with whale sharks and sea turtles. This is a fascinating
book that will be of great use to a wide readership including
economists, environmentalists, geographers, tourism scholars and
professionals, as well as academics in development studies.
Jo Clem has been a writer and teacher for three decades. A native
of Texas, her work has taken her and her family to the far corners
of the world, including Brazil, Holland, Singapore, Scotland and
China. This tender story has been on her heart for decades.
Bringing it into print is a joy and a blessing. Clem's message to
her readers is this: "The greatest and most lasting gift a parent
can give a child is the gift of self-esteem. It is my prayer that
the simple 'question' and 'answer' my book demonstrates is
something you, too, will chose to share with your children,
grandchildren, nieces, nephews, family and friends. May the Father
bless you and this message in your hearts. Always remember...He
loves you so."
This unique collection of Clem Tisdell's articles is an eminently
readable and comprehensive economic analysis of important
contemporary issues involving ecological and environmental
economics.Coverage includes the role of ecological economics in the
modern world, welfare and ethical considerations in environmental
economics, sustainability concerns, the potential role of local
communities in conservation, environmental aspects of population
growth, and the relevance of carrying capacity concepts. The value
for environmental management of different types of governance and
of alternative economic policy instruments (such as environmental
taxation compared to tradable permits) is also assessed.
Ecological, environmental, natural resource, geographical and
development economists will all find this book of great interest
and value, as will policymakers in this area.
This book offers a radical rethink of family policy in the UK. Clem
Henricson, the family policy expert, analyses in detail the major
shift in the role of the state viz a viz personal relationships in
recent years, with its aspirations to reduce child poverty,
increase social mobility and deliver social cohesion. Brought in by
New Labour and carried forward, albeit in diluted form, by the
Coalition, Henricson asks whether this philosophy of social
betterment through manipulating the parent-child relationship is
appropriate for family policy. She challenges the thinking behind
the expectation that you can change a highly unequal society
through the family route. Instead the argument is made for a family
policy with its own raison d'etre, free of other government
agendas. A premium is set on the need to manage the multiple core
tensions in families of affection, empathy and supportiveness on
the one hand and aggression, deception and self interest on the
other. A set of coherent support and control polices for family
relations are developed which endorse this awareness and embrace a
fundamental shift in perspective for future progressive
governments.
For many student teachers the classroom is a strange and
potentially uncontrollable environment. This book shows how the
period of classroom observation, which for most students precedes
teaching practice, plays an important part in this transition
process. In A Guide to Classroom Observation, Rob Walker and Clem
Adelman explain what is involved in being a good observer. They
answer such practical questions as how should an observer react to
a class, where should he sit, what should he wear, how far should
he allow himself to participate in the lesson? They go on to
demonstrate that observation can be a positive activity,
incorporating analysis of teacher gesture, voice and movement, and
pupil reaction together with study of the effects of the physical
arrangements of the classroom on the school population.
Tourism is a major global industry and continues to expand at a
rapid rate. This two-volume collection of key published articles
provides a comprehensive and much needed overview of the economics
of tourism. Many of these articles are not readily available as
they have been published in a range of non-economics journals. This
reflects partly the presence of specialised journals devoted to
tourism and partly the interdisciplinary nature of the subject. The
editor has prepared an authoritative introduction, which not only
presents an overview of the contents of each volume, introducing
the subject to a wider non-specialist audience, but also provides
insights and critical comments. The first volume concentrates on
the basic economics of tourism. It covers the nature and role of
tourism economics, determinants of tourism demand and the
forecasting of such demand, supply-side aspects of tourism
including industrial organization and issues in managerial
economics, and public finance and public economics in relation to
tourism. The second volume examines wider matters such as impact
analyses of tourism, international tourism, tourism in developing
countries and its role in economic development, and sustainability
and environmental aspects of tourism. This book is a valuable
reference for researchers, students and policymakers interested in
tourism economics and tourism management, as well as
non-specialists seeking an introduction to the subject.
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