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A deeply thought-provoking book full of wisdom, insight and common
sense, by two of our foremost strategists.’ – James Holland,
bestselling author of The War in the West
How have the character and technology of war changed in recent times?
Why does battlefield victory often fail to result in a sustainable
peace?
What is the best way to prevent, fight and resolve future conflict?
The world is becoming a more dangerous place. Since the fall of Kabul
and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the US-led liberal international
order is giving way to a more chaotic, contested and multipolar world
system. Western credibility and deterrence are diminishing in the face
of wars in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, tensions across the
Taiwan Strait, and rising populism and terrorism around the world. Can
peace, mutual respect and democracy survive, or are we destined to a
new permanent chaos in which authoritarians and populists thrive?
Based on their decades of experience as policy advisors in conflicts in
Afghanistan, Iraq, Colombia and across Africa, and on recent fieldwork
in Israel, Ukraine, Ethiopia and Taiwan, the authors analyse the nature
of modern war, considering both large-scale, high-intensity
state-on-state conflicts as well as limited-objective, irregular,
low-intensity conflicts that often include both inter- and intra-state
dimensions.
The book investigates how technology can be a leveller for small powers
against larger aggressors; how one can shape and sustain a viable
narrative to ensure public and international support; the balance
between self-reliance and alliance commitment; and the role of
leadership, intelligence, diplomacy and economic assistance.
Weighing up past lessons, present observations and predictions about
the future, The Art of War and Peace explores how wars can be won on
the battlefield and how that success can be translated into a stable
and enduring peace.
War in the post-9/11 world is far different from what we expected
it be. Counterinsurgency and protracted guerrilla warfare, not
shock and awe, are the order of the day. David Kilcullen is the
world's foremost expert on this way of war, and in The Accidental
Guerrilla, the Senior Counterinsurgency Advisor to General David
Petraeus in Iraq surveys war as it is actually fought in the
contemporary world. Colouring his account with gripping battlefield
experiences that range from the jungles and highlands of South and
Southeast Asia to the mountains of the Afghanistan-Pakistan border
to the dusty towns of the Middle East and the horn of Africa, The
Accidental Guerrilla will, quite simply, change the way we think
about war. While conventional warfare has obvious limits, Kilcullen
also stresses that neither counterterrorism nor traditional
counterinsurgency is the appropriate framework to fight the enemy
we now face. Certainly, traditional counterinsurgency is more
effective than counterterrorism when it comes to entities like Al
Qaeda, but as Kilcullen contends, our current focus is far too
narrow, for it tends to emphasize one geographical region and one
state. The current war presents a much different situation:
stateless insurgents and terrorists operating across large number
of countries and only loosely affiliated with each other.
In 1993, a newly-appointed CIA director warned that Western powers
might have 'slain a large dragon' with the fall of the USSR, but
now faced a 'bewildering variety of poisonous snakes'. Since then,
both dragons (state enemies like Russia and China) and snakes
(terrorist and guerrilla organisations) have watched the US
struggle in Iraq and Afghanistan, and mastered new methods in
response: hybrid and urban warfare, political manipulation, and
harnessing digital technology. Leading soldier-scholar David
Kilcullen reveals everything the West's opponents have learned from
twenty-first-century conflict and explains how their cutting-edge
tactics and adaptability pose a serious threat to America and its
allies, disabling the West's military advantage. The Dragons and
the Snakes is a compelling, counterintuitive look at the new,
vastly complex global arena. Kilcullen reshapes our understanding
of the West's foes, and shows how it can respond.
In 1993, a newly-appointed CIA director warned that Western powers
might have 'slain a large dragon' with the fall of the USSR, but
now faced a 'bewildering variety of poisonous snakes'. Since then,
both dragons (state enemies like Russia and China) and snakes
(terrorist and guerrilla organisations) have watched the US
struggle in Iraq and Afghanistan, and mastered new methods in
response: hybrid and urban warfare, political manipulation, and
harnessing digital technology. Leading soldier-scholar David
Kilcullen reveals everything the West's opponents have learned from
twenty-first-century conflict and explains how their cutting-edge
tactics and adaptability pose a serious threat to America and its
allies, disabling the West's military advantage. The Dragons and
the Snakes is a compelling, counterintuitive look at the new,
vastly complex global arena. Kilcullen reshapes our understanding
of the West's foes, and shows how it can respond.
'These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the
world,' said Charlie Wilson, of America's role backing the
anti-Soviet mujahideen. 'And then we fucked up the endgame.' With
no support for Afghanistan after that war, the vacuum was filled by
the Taliban and bin Laden. 'The Ledger' assesses the West's
similarly failed approach to Afghanistan after 9/11--in military,
diplomatic, political and developmental terms. Dr David Kilcullen
and Dr Greg Mills are uniquely placed to reflect backwards and
forwards on the Afghan conflict: they worked with the international
mission both as advisers and within the Arg, and they have
considerable experience of counterinsurgency and stabilisation
operations elsewhere in the world. Here these two experts show that
there is plenty of blame to go around when explaining the failure
to bring peace to Afghanistan after 9/11. The signs of collapse
were conveniently ignored, in favour of political narratives of
progress and success. Yet for Afghans, the war and its geopolitical
effects are not over because NATO is gone--Afghanistan remains
globally connected through digital communications and networks.
This vital book explains why and where failings in Afghanistan
happened, warning against exceptionalist approaches to future
peacebuilding missions around the globe.
This Field Manual establishes doctrine (fundamental principles) for
tactical counterinsurgency (COIN) operations at the company,
battalion, and brigade level. It is based on lessons learned from
historic counterinsurgencies and current operations. This manual
continues the efforts of FM 3-24, Counterinsurgency, in combining
the historic approaches to COIN with the realities of today's
operational environment (OE)- an environment modified by a
population explosion, urbanization, globalization, technology, the
spread of religious fundamentalism, resource demand, climate change
and natural disasters, and proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction. This manual is generic in its geographic focus and
should be used with other doctrinal sources.
Blood Year is an unsparingly honest, self-critical analysis of the
collapse of western counterterrorism strategy and the subsequent
rise of Islamic State. As a soldier, counterterrorism official, and
Chief Strategist in the US State Department's Bureau of
Counterterrorism, David Kilcullen was one of the original
architects of US and allied counterterrorism policy. Kilcullen's
frank assessment - that the strategy he helped design has failed,
that it has not made us safer, and has contributed to new threats,
including Islamic State - makes this short book mandatory reading
for anyone interested in how terrorism is confronted. The most
startling part of his analysis is that there may be worse dangers
than ISIS incubating in various parts of the world.
In his third book, David Kilcullen takes us out of the mountains:
away from the remote, rural guerrilla warfare of Afghanistan, and
into the marginalised slums and complex security threats of the
world's coastal cities, where almost 75 per cent of us will be
living by mid-century. Scrutinising major environmental trends -
population growth, coastal urbanisation - and increasing digital
connectivity he projects a future of feral cities, urban systems
under stress, and increasing overlaps between crime and war,
internal and external threats, and the real and virtual worlds.
Informed by Kilcullen's own fieldwork in the Caribbean, Somalia,
the Middle East and Afghanistan, and that of his field research
teams in cities in Central America and Africa, Out of the Mountains
presents detailed, on-the-ground accounts of the new faces of
modern conflict - - from the 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks, to
transnational drug networks, local street gangs, and the uprisings
of the Arab Spring.
David Kilcullen is one of the world's most influential experts on
counterinsurgency and modern warfare, a ground-breaking theorist
whose ideas "are revolutionizing military thinking throughout the
west" (Washington Post). Indeed, his vision of modern warfare
powerfully influenced America's decision to rethink its military
strategy in Iraq and implement "the Surge," now recognized as a
dramatic success.
In The Accidental Guerrilla, Kilcullen provides a remarkably fresh
perspective on the War on Terror. Kilcullen takes us "on the
ground" to uncover the face of modern warfare, illuminating both
the big global war (the "War on Terrorism") and its relation to the
associated "small wars" across the globe: Iraq, Afghanistan,
Indonesia, Thailand, the Pakistani tribal zones, East Timor and the
horn of Africa. Kilcullen sees today's conflicts as a complex
interweaving of contrasting trends--local insurgencies seeking
autonomy caught up in a broader pan-Islamic campaign--small wars in
the midst of a big one. He warns that America's actions in the war
on terrorism have tended to conflate these trends, blurring the
distinction between local and global struggles and thus enormously
complicating our challenges. Indeed, the US had done a poor job of
applying different tactics to these very different situations,
continually misidentifying insurgents with limited aims and
legitimate grievances--whom he calls "accidental guerrillas"--as
part of a coordinated worldwide terror network. We must learn how
to disentangle these strands, develop strategies that deal with
global threats, avoid local conflicts where possible, and win them
where necessary.
Colored with gripping battlefield experiences that range from the
jungles and highlands of Southeast Asia to the mountains of the
Afghanistan-Pakistan border to the dusty towns of the Middle East,
The Accidental Guerrilla will, quite simply, change the way we
think about war. This book is a must read for everyone concerned
about the war on terror.
David Kilcullen is one of the world's foremost experts on guerrilla
warfare. His vision of war has been enormously influential, through
his service as senior counterinsurgency adviser to General David
Petraeus during the Surge in Iraq, as special adviser to the United
States Secretary of State, and as a current adviser to the United
States, British, Australian and other allied governments. This
brief book distills that vision in an easily readable and practical
format, through a completely revised and updated edition of his
2006 cult classic "The Twenty-Eight Articles", a field
practitioner's guide to the fundamentals of counterinsurgency,
which has become the essential handbook for generations of allied
military officers and civilian officials in Iraq and Afghanistan,
has become part of the course of instruction at military academies
and counterinsurgency schools worldwide, and has been translated
into Arabic and Spanish. This edition presents a fully updated and
expanded version, including a new introduction, annotated tactical
case studies, and an appendix on the key principles of the hugely
successful Surge campaign of 2007 in Iraq. Issued as a rugged,
pocket-sized field handbook, this modern classic will be an
indispensable aid to a new generation of field officers, as well as
a concise and accessible primer for students and the general
reader.
Last year was a 'blood year' in the Middle East - massacres and
beheadings, fallen cities, collapsed and collapsing states, the
unravelling of a decade of Western strategy. We saw the rise of
ISIS, the splintering of government in Iraq, and foreign fighters -
many from Europe, Australia and Africa - flowing into Syria at a
rate ten times that during the height of the Iraq War. What went
wrong? In Blood Year, David Kilcullen calls on twenty-five years'
experience to answer that question. This is a vivid, urgent account
of the War on Terror by someone who helped shape its strategy, as
well as witnessing its evolution on the ground. Kilcullen looks to
strategy and history to make sense of the crisis. What are the
roots and causes of the global jihad movement? What is ISIS? What
threats does it pose to Australia? What does its rise say about the
effectiveness of the War on Terror since 9/11, and what does a
coherent strategy look like after a disastrous year? 'As things
stand in mid-2015, Western countries ...face a larger, more
unified, capable, experienced and savage enemy, in a less stable,
more fragmented region. It isn't just ISIS - al-Qaeda has emerged
from its eclipse and is back in the game in Afghanistan, Pakistan,
India, Syria and Yemen. We're dealing with not one, but two global
terrorist organisations, each with its own regional branches, plus
a vastly larger radicalised population at home and a massive flow
of foreign fighters.' - David Kilcullen, Blood Year
David Kilcullen is one of the world's most influential experts on
counterinsurgency and modern warfare, a ground-breaking theorist
whose ideas "are revolutionizing military thinking throughout the
west" (Washington Post). Indeed, his vision of modern warfare
powerfully influenced the United States' decision to rethink its
military strategy in Iraq and implement "the Surge," now recognized
as a dramatic success. In Counterinsurgency, Kilcullen brings
together his most salient writings on this vitally important topic.
Here is a picture of modern warfare by someone who has had his
boots on the ground in some of today's worst trouble
spots-including Iraq and Afghanistan-and who has been studying
counterinsurgency since 1985. Filled with down-to-earth,
common-sense insights, this book is the definitive account of
counterinsurgency, indispensable for all those interested in making
sense of our world in an age of terror.
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