Fundamentals of Uncertainty Quantification for Engineers provides a comprehensive introduction to uncertainty quantification (UQ) accompanied by a wide variety of applied examples, implementation details, and practical exercises to reinforce the concepts outlined in the book. It starts with review of the history of probability theory and recent development of UQ methods in the domains of applied mathematics and data science. Major concepts of probability axioms, conditional probability, and Bayes’ rule are discussed and examples of probability distributions in parametric data analysis, reliability, risk analysis, and materials informatics are included. Random processes, sampling methods, and surrogate modeling techniques including multivariate polynomial regression, Gaussian process regression, multi-fidelity surrogate, support-vector machine, and decision tress are also covered. Methods for model selection, calibration, and validation are introduced next, followed by chapters on sensitivity analysis, stochastic expansion methods, Markov models, and non-probabilistic methods. The book concludes with a chapter describing the methods that can be used to predict UQ in systems, such as Monte Carlo, stochastic expansion, upscaling, Langevin dynamics, and inverse problems, with example applications in multiscale modeling, simulations, and materials design.

Integrated Design of Multiscale, Multifunctional Materials and Products is the first of its type to consider not only design of materials, but concurrent design of materials and products. In other words, materials are not just selected on the basis of properties, but the composition and/or microstructure iw designed to satisfy specific ranged sets of performance requirements. This book presents the motivation for pursuing concurrent design of materials and products, thoroughly discussing the details of multiscale modeling and multilevel robust design and provides details of the design methods/strategies along with selected examples of designing material attributes for specified system performance. It is intended as a monograph to serve as a foundational reference for instructors of courses at the senior and introductory graduate level in departments of materials science and engineering, mechanical engineering, aerospace engineering and civil engineering who are interested in next generation systems-based design of materials.
Key Features:
* First of its kind to consider not only design of materials, but concurrent design of materials and products.
* Treatment of uncertainty via robust design of materials
* Integrates the "materials by design approach" of Olson/Ques Tek LLC with the "materials selection" approach of Ashby/Granta
* Distinquishes the processes of concurrent design of materials and products as an overall systems design problem from the field of multiscale modeling
* Systematic mathematical algorithms and methods are introduced for robust design of materials, rather than ad hoc heuristics--it is oriented towards a true systems approach to design of materials and products

Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling provides a complete overview of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational materials science. It provides practical tools and methods along with examples of their application to problems in materials modeling. UQ methods are applied to various multiscale models ranging from the nanoscale to macroscale. This book presents a thorough synthesis of the state-of-the-art in UQ methods for materials modeling, including Bayesian inference, surrogate modeling, random fields, interval analysis, and sensitivity analysis, providing insight into the unique characteristics of models framed at each scale, as well as common issues in modeling across scales.