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Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history
is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These
may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed
under great pressure. They may also be considered to be successful
or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgments and
appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and
crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized
alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the
modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this
question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using
simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim
that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the
envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical
analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis.
Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a
general audience who are interested in learning more about
statistical methods both in military history and for wider
applications. Key Features: Demonstrates how modern statistical
techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions.
Examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern
scholars and historical actors. Combines historical narrative,
mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward
presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history.
Provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity
and rigour of works of counterfactual history Written in a manner
accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or
Statistics.
Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history
is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These
may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed
under great pressure. They may also be considered to be successful
or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgments and
appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and
crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized
alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the
modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this
question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using
simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim
that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the
envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical
analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis.
Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a
general audience who are interested in learning more about
statistical methods both in military history and for wider
applications. Key Features: Demonstrates how modern statistical
techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions.
Examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern
scholars and historical actors. Combines historical narrative,
mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward
presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history.
Provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity
and rigour of works of counterfactual history Written in a manner
accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or
Statistics.
This volume interrogates the assumption that Visigothic practices
and institutions were mere imitations of the Byzantine empire.
Contributors rethink these practices not as uncritical and
derivative adoptions of Byzantine customs, but as dynamic processes
in dialogue with not only the Byzantine empire but also with the
contemporary Iberian context, as well as the Roman past. The goal
of the volume is to approach Visigothic customs not as an
uncritical adoption and imitatio of contemporary Roman models (an
"acculturation" model), but as unique interpretations of a common
pool of symbols, practices, and institutions that formed the legacy
of Rome. The contributors argue that it is necessary to reconsider
the idea of imitatio imperii as a process that involved specific
actors taking strategic decisions in historically contingent
circumstances.
Social Control in Late Antiquity: The Violence of Small Worlds
explores the small-scale communities of late antiquity -
households, monasteries, and schools - where power was a question
of personal relationships. When fathers, husbands, teachers,
abbots, and slave-owners asserted their own will, they saw
themselves as maintaining the social order, and expected law and
government to reinforce their rule. Naturally, the members of these
communities had their own ideas, and teaching them to 'obey their
betters' was not always a straightforward business. Drawing on a
wide variety of sources from across the late Roman Mediterranean,
from law codes and inscriptions to monastic rules and hagiography,
the book considers the sometimes conflicting identities of women,
slaves, and children, and documents how they found opportunities
for agency and recognition within a system built on the unremitting
assertion of the rights of the powerful.
Social Control in Late Antiquity: The Violence of Small Worlds
explores the small-scale communities of late antiquity -
households, monasteries, and schools - where power was a question
of personal relationships. When fathers, husbands, teachers,
abbots, and slave-owners asserted their own will, they saw
themselves as maintaining the social order, and expected law and
government to reinforce their rule. Naturally, the members of these
communities had their own ideas, and teaching them to 'obey their
betters' was not always a straightforward business. Drawing on a
wide variety of sources from across the late Roman Mediterranean,
from law codes and inscriptions to monastic rules and hagiography,
the book considers the sometimes conflicting identities of women,
slaves, and children, and documents how they found opportunities
for agency and recognition within a system built on the unremitting
assertion of the rights of the powerful.
This study examines the work of the principle architects of
Anglo-American modernist poetics - T.S. Eliot, H.D., Ezra Pound,
Gertrude Stein, Edward Thomas and Wallace Stevens - and their
response to the challenge of combatant war poetries. It argues that
these civilian poets sought to negotiate directly with the
combatant's gnosticism, specifically with the combatant's assertion
that only those present at a catastrophe could properly represent
its horrors. The modernists rightly identified that gnosticism was
a threat to their own representational claims on an increasingly
traumatic modernity. How was the imagination to be salvaged in
order that it could still feel into the wounded experience of
others? In response to this challenge, the modernists drafted their
own imagined war poems, developing in the process several different
and contradictory poetic systems. Whereas scholarship ordinarily
tells the story of intra-war modern poetry as a series of different
schools - the trench lyric, the home front elegy and the modernist
long poem - each moving in a different direction, this study brings
those traditions back together into one history by treating them as
idiosyncratic responses to the same aesthetic problem.
"Brace for the blessings that are unleashed in the pages that
follow " Robby Dawkins, Author of Do What Jesus Did "A couple ready
to reconnect with one another will find Power Marriage the perfect
mentor." Craig Simonian, Senior Pastor, Vineyard Morris Plains, NJ
"Their book motivates us to truly be united as a three corded
strand." Joyce, wife of Craig Simonian ARE YOU ASKING, "What can I
do to fortify my marriage?" Do you feel like you are on the
battleground, fighting to defend your relationship? You are just
the ones for whom we have written Power Marriage. This book will
propel your relationship to the wonderful place God intended when
He brought you together. You need a divine surge of the
supernatural flowing within to transform your relationship into a
power marriage.
The spiritual tenets of Wicca are steeped in an inherent reverence
for nature and stewardship of the environment. In fact, Wiccan
practitioners have been living--and cooking--green since ancient
times. In the decade since the first edition of the "The Wicca
Cookbook" cast its spell over culinary history buffs and
adventurous cooks everywhere, many readers have asked "What makes a
cookbook Wiccan?" The tenth anniversary edition answers that
question and more, bringing fresh dimensions to this heady witches'
brew with new rituals and delicious recipes.
More than 100 dishes, many historically authentic, all meticulously
researched, emphasize the use of organic ingredients at their
seasonal peak and celebrate all the major pagan holidays: enjoy
Stuffed Nasturtiums, Goddess Athena Pitas, and Deva Saffron Bread
for the Spring Equinox; serve Elder Flower Chicken, Lilith's Lily
Fair Soup, and Wild Woman White Sage Jelly during the Summer
Solstice; and Cupid's Cold Slaw, Imbolc Moon Cookies, and Snowflake
Cakes make delightful Candlemas treats. Nature-honoring dishes,
eco-friendly living tips, and an inclusive message of spirituality
make "The Wicca Cookbook" a unique contribution to the culinary
world and a magickal tribute to the pagan spirit.
Isidore of Seville (560-636) was a crucial figure in the
preservation and sharing of classical and early Christian
knowledge. His compilations of the works of earlier authorities
formed an essential part of monastic education for centuries. Due
to the vast amount of information he gathered and its wide
dissemination in the Middle Ages, Pope John Paul II even named
Isidore the patron saint of the Internet in 1997. This volume
represents a cross section of the various approaches scholars have
taken toward Isidore's writings. The essays explore his sources,
how he selected and arranged them for posterity, and how his legacy
was reflected in later generations' work across the early medieval
West. Rich in archival detail, this collection provides a wealth of
interdisciplinary expertise on one of history's greatest
intellectuals.
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