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Econometric Business Cycle Research deals with econometric business
cycle research (EBCR), a term introduced by the Nobel-laureate Jan
Tinbergen for his econometric method of testing (economic) business
cycle theories. EBCR combines economic theory and measurement in
the study of business cycles, i.e., ups and downs in overall
economic activity. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle
indicators, simultaneous equations models, vector autoregressive
systems and real business indicators. After a sketch of the history
of the methods, we investigate whether the methods meet the goals
of EBCR: the three traditional ones, description, forecasting and
policy evaluation, and the one Tinbergen introduced, the
implementation|testing of business cycles. The first three EBCR
methods are illustrated for the Netherlands, a typical example of a
small, open economy. The main conclusion of the book is that
simultaneous equation models are the best vehicle for EBCR, if all
its goals are to be attained simultaneously. This conclusion is
based on a fairly detailed assessment of the methods and is not
over-turned in the empirical illustrations. The main conclusion
does not imply the end of other EBCR methods. Not all goals have to
be met with a single vehicle, other methods might serve the purpose
equally well - or even better. For example, if one is interested in
business cycle forecasts, one might prefer a business cycle
indicator or vector autoregressive system. A second conclusion is
that many ideas/concepts that play an important role in current
discussions about econometric methodology in general and EBCR in
particular, were put forward in the 1930s and 1940s. A third
conclusion is that it is difficult, if not impossible, to compare
the outcomes of RBC models to outcomes of the other three methods,
because RBC modellers are not interested in modelling business
cycles on an observation-per-observation basis. A more general
conclusion in this respect is that methods should adopt the same
concept of business cycles to make them comparable.
Econometric Business Cycle Research deals with econometric business
cycle research (EBCR), a term introduced by the Nobel-laureate Jan
Tinbergen for his econometric method of testing (economic) business
cycle theories. EBCR combines economic theory and measurement in
the study of business cycles, i.e., ups and downs in overall
economic activity. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle
indicators, simultaneous equations models, vector autoregressive
systems and real business indicators. After a sketch of the history
of the methods, we investigate whether the methods meet the goals
of EBCR: the three traditional ones, description, forecasting and
policy evaluation, and the one Tinbergen introduced, the
implementation-testing of business cycles. The first three EBCR
methods are illustrated for the Netherlands, a typical example of a
small, open economy. The main conclusion of the book is that
simultaneous equation models are the best vehicle for EBCR, if all
its goals are to be attained simultaneously. This conclusion is
based on a fairly detailed assessment of the methods and is not
over-turned in the empirical illustrations. The main conclusion
does not imply the end of other EBCR methods. Not all goals have to
be met with a single vehicle, other methods might serve the purpose
equally well - or even better. For example, if one is interested in
business cycle forecasts, one might prefer a business cycle
indicator or vector autoregressive system. A second conclusion is
that many ideas/concepts that play an important role in current
discussions about econometric methodology in general and EBCR in
particular, were put forward in the 1930s and 1940s. A third
conclusion is that it is difficult, if not impossible, to compare
the outcomes of RBC models to outcomes of the other three methods,
because RBC modellers are not interested in modelling business
cycles on an observation-per-observation basis. A more general
conclusion in this respect is that methods should adopt the same
concept of business cycles to make them comparable.
Jan Jacob Slauerhoff (1898-1936) was a ship's doctor serving in
south-east Asia, and is one of the most important twentieth-century
Dutch-language writers. His 1934 novel Adrift in the Middle Kingdom
(Het leven op aarde), is an epic sweep of narrative that takes the
reader from 1920s Shanghai to a forgotten city beyond the Great
Wall of China. Slauerhoff's narrator is a Belfast ship's radio
operator, desperate to escape the sea, who travels inland on a
gun-runner's mission. He moves through extraordinary settings of
opium salons, the house of a Cantonese watch-mender, the siege of
Shanghai, the great flood on the western plains, and the discovery
of oil by the uncomprehending overlord in the hidden city of
Chungking. The fantasy ending transforms the novel from travelogue
and adventure to existential meditation. But running like a thread
of darkness through the story is opium, from poppy head harvesting
to death through addiction. This translation by David McKay, winner
of the 2018 Vondel Prize, is the first English edition of
Slauerhoff's most accessible and enthralling novel. The
Introduction is by Slauerhoff expert Arie Pos and Wendy Gan of the
University of Hong Kong.
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Mothered (Paperback)
Ado Ceric; Jan Jacob Mekes
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R279
Discovery Miles 2 790
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Ships in 10 - 15 working days
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Barbara, Eric, and their aunt Beryl lead a quiet life on an idyllic
island, untouched by time and the war between the dystopian
Maternopole and Overmere, which has cast a dark shadow over most of
the world around them. Everything seems about to change, however,
when Eric finds out about two girls on the mainland asking for
help, throwing the island and its inhabitants into a maelstrom of
uncertainty.
This is a reproduction of a book published before 1923. This book
may have occasional imperfections such as missing or blurred pages,
poor pictures, errant marks, etc. that were either part of the
original artifact, or were introduced by the scanning process. We
believe this work is culturally important, and despite the
imperfections, have elected to bring it back into print as part of
our continuing commitment to the preservation of printed works
worldwide. We appreciate your understanding of the imperfections in
the preservation process, and hope you enjoy this valuable book.
++++ The below data was compiled from various identification fields
in the bibliographic record of this title. This data is provided as
an additional tool in helping to ensure edition identification:
++++ Opmerkingen Over Staatsregt Jan Jacob Rochussen Kemink, 1854
This is a reproduction of a book published before 1923. This book
may have occasional imperfections such as missing or blurred pages,
poor pictures, errant marks, etc. that were either part of the
original artifact, or were introduced by the scanning process. We
believe this work is culturally important, and despite the
imperfections, have elected to bring it back into print as part of
our continuing commitment to the preservation of printed works
worldwide. We appreciate your understanding of the imperfections in
the preservation process, and hope you enjoy this valuable book.
++++ The below data was compiled from various identification fields
in the bibliographic record of this title. This data is provided as
an additional tool in helping to ensure edition identification:
++++ Gustaef En Louisa; Volume 35 Of Tooneelbibliotheek, 3de Jaer
Jan Jacob Ducaju I. S. Van Doosselaere, 1857
Struglend Tales is the first book in The Struglend Saga, a series
of comedy fantasy books written by Jan Jacob Mekes. The book
follows Edward, the ugliest and probably most haphazard king
Struglend has ever had, and his herald Fred, as they go on a quest
to restore order to the universe. Well, maybe not the universe, but
at least the little piece of land they call home - Struglend. In
their journey to remove the evil knight who has invaded the
kingdom, they meet several hilarious characters and often find
themselves in tight situations to manoeuver out of. Will they
succeed in driving out the evil that so brutally violated their
land? Maybe they will, maybe they won't. What's certain is that
you'll have many a laugh while you read and find out.
This is a reproduction of a book published before 1923. This book
may have occasional imperfections such as missing or blurred pages,
poor pictures, errant marks, etc. that were either part of the
original artifact, or were introduced by the scanning process. We
believe this work is culturally important, and despite the
imperfections, have elected to bring it back into print as part of
our continuing commitment to the preservation of printed works
worldwide. We appreciate your understanding of the imperfections in
the preservation process, and hope you enjoy this valuable book.
++++ The below data was compiled from various identification fields
in the bibliographic record of this title. This data is provided as
an additional tool in helping to ensure edition identification:
++++ Voor Godsdienst, Deugd En Vaderland: Gedichten Jan Jacob
Vereul Johannes Allart, 1791 Fiction; Classics; Fiction / Classics;
Literary Collections / General; Literary Criticism / General
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