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In 1936 Keynes published the most provocative book written by any
economist of his generation. Arguments about the book continued
until his death in 1946 and still continue today. This new edition,
published 70 years after the original, features a new introduction
by Paul Krugman which discusses the significance and continued
relevance of "The General Theory,"
An Unabridged Printing, With Bibliography And A Comprehensive
Index. Chapters Include: The Meaning Of Probability - Probability
In Relation To The Theory Of Knowledge - The Measurement Of
Probabilities - The Principle Of Indifference - Other Methods Of
Determining Probabilities - The Weight Of Arguments - Historical
Retrospect - The Frequency Theory Of Probability - The Theory Of
Groups, With Special Reference To Logical Consistence, Inference,
And Logical Priority - The Definitions And Axioms Of Inference And
Probability - The Fundamental Theorems Of Necessary Inference - The
Fundamental Theorems Of Probable Inference - Numerical Measurement
And Approximation Of Probabilities - Some Problems In Inverse
Probability, Including Averages - The Nature Of Argument By Analogy
- The Value Of Multiplication Of Instances, Or Pure Induction -
Some Historical Notes On Induction - The Meanings Of Objective
Chance, And Of Randomness - Some Problems Arising Out Of The
Discussion Of Chance - The Application Of Probability To Conduct -
The Nature Of Statistical Inference - The Law Of Great Numbers -
The Theorems Of Bernoulli, Poisson, And Tchebycheff - Etc., Etc.
As the most important figures in the history of economics, the work
of John Maynard Keynes is nearly without precedent in the history
of economics. THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF PEACE, first published
in 1919, achieved great notoriety due of its contemptuous critique
of the French premier as well as President Woodrow Wilson. Keynes
criticized the Allied victors for signing the Treaty of Versailles
in 1920, which would have ruinous consequences for Europe. At the
time, few world and economic leaders appreciated his criticisms as
Keynes saw his worst fears realized in the rise of Adolf Hitler and
the resulting devastation of World War II. JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES
(1883-1946) was born into an academic family. His father, John
Nevile Keynes, was a lecturer at the University of Cambridge where
he taught logic and political economy while his son was educated at
Eton and Cambridge. Most importantly, Keynes revolutionized
economics with his classic book, The General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money (1936). This work is generally regarded as
perhaps the most influential social science treatise of the 20th
Century, as it quickly and permanently changed the scope of
economic thought. Interestingly, Keynes was a central member of the
Bloomsbury Group, a collection of upper-class Edwardian aesthetes
that served as his life outside of economics, which included
Virginia Woolf, Clive Bell, and Lytton Strachey.
John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) is perhaps the foremost economic
thinker of the twentieth century. On economic theory, he ranks with
Adam Smith and Karl Marx; and his impact on how economics was
practiced, from the Great Depression to the 1970s, was unmatched.
The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money was first
published in 1936. But its ideas had been forming for decades ? as
a student at Cambridge, Keynes had written to a friend of his love
for 'Free Trade and free thought'. Keynes's limpid style, concise
prose, and vivid descriptions have helped to keep his ideas alive -
as have the novelty and clarity, at times even the ambiguity, of
his macroeconomic vision. He was troubled, above all, by high
unemployment rates and large disparities in wealth and income. Only
by curbing both, he thought, could individualism, 'the most
powerful instrument to better the future', be safeguarded. The
twenty-first century may yet prove him right. In The Economic
Consequences of the Peace (1919), Keynes elegantly and acutely
exposes the folly of imposing austerity on a defeated and
struggling nation.
Published in 1913, this is the first book from the renowned
economist, and demonstrates the beginnings of the philosophies of
macroeconomics and government intervention into economic matters
that would characterize his later work. Here, Keynes discusses... .
how changing from a silver to a gold standard impacted the Indian
economy . a brief history of the gold standard . some surprising
differences between coins and paper currency . governmental
policies regarding reserves and cash balances . the strengths and
weaknesses of the Indian banking system . and more. British
economist JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES (1883-1946) also wrote The Economic
Consequences of the Peace (1919), The End of Laissez-Faire (1926),
The Means to Prosperity (1933), and General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money (1936). ALSO FROM COSIMO: Keynes's A Treatise on
Probability and The Economic Consequences of Peace
There is, first of all, the distinction between that part of our
belief which is rational and that part which is not. If a man
believes something for a reason which is preposterous or for no
reason at all, and what he believes turns out to be true for some
reason not known to him, he cannot be said to believe it
rationally, although he believes it and it is in fact true. On the
other hand, a man may rationally believe a proposition to be
probable, when it is in fact false. -from Chapter II: Probability
in Relation to the Theory of Knowledge" His fame as an economist
aside, John Maynard Keynes may be best remembered for saying, "In
the long run, we are all dead." That phrase may well be the most
succinct expression of the theory of probability every uttered. For
a longer explanation of the premise that underlies much of modern
mathematics and science, Keynes's A Treatise on Probability is
essential reading. First published in 1920, this is the
foundational work of probability theory, which helped establish the
author's enormous influence on modern economic and even political
theories. Exploring aspects of randomness and chance, inductive
reasoning and logical statistics, this is a work that belongs in
the library of any interested in numbers and their application in
the real world. AUTHOR BIO: British economist JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES
(1883-1946) also wrote The Economic Consequences of the Peace
(1919), The End of Laissez-Faire (1926), The Means to Prosperity
(1933), and General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money
(1936).
John Maynard Keynes, then a rising young economist, participated in
the Paris Peace Conference in 1919 as chief representative of the
British Treasury and advisor to Prime Minister David Lloyd George.
He resigned after desperately trying and failing to reduce the huge
demands for reparations being made on Germany. The Economic
Consequences of the Peace is Keynes' brilliant and prophetic
analysis of the effects that the peace treaty would have both on
Germany and, even more fatefully, the world. A popular lecturer of
economics at Cambridge University and editor of the Economic
Journal, Keynes made The Economic Consequences of the Peace a major
step in his career. It was translated into a dozen languages and
sold 100,000 copies in six months. Taken seriously even by those
who were opposed to his claims, the book helped lift economics to a
new, higher level of recognition and acceptance. This volume, with
its insightful portraits of Lloyd George, Georges Clemenceau, and
Woodrow Wilson, remains one of the great works of political economy
of our time. In a penetrating introduction written for this new
edition, David Felix explores Keynes' reasons for writing the book,
analyzes the author's arguments, and paints an historical backdrop
of the period during which it was written.
John Maynard Keynes, then a rising young economist, participated
in the Paris Peace Conference in 1919 as chief representative of
the British Treasury and advisor to Prime Minister David Lloyd
George. He resigned after desperately trying and failing to reduce
the huge demands for reparations being made on Germany. The
Economic Consequences of the Peace is Keynes' brilliant and
prophetic analysis of the effects that the peace treaty would have
both on Germany and, even more fatefully, the world. A popular
lecturer of economics at Cambridge University and editor of the
Economic Journal, Keynes made The Economic Consequences of the
Peace a major step in his career. It was translated into a dozen
languages and sold 100,000 copies in six months. Taken seriously
even by those who were opposed to his claims, the book helped lift
economics to a new, higher level of recognition and acceptance.
This volume, with its insightful portraits of Lloyd George, Georges
Clemenceau, and Woodrow Wilson, remains one of the great works of
political economy of our time. In a penetrating introduction
written for this new edition, David Felix explores Keynes' reasons
for writing the book, analyzes the author's arguments, and paints
an historical backdrop of the period during which it was written.
"The most important economic document relating to World War I and
its aftermath."--John Kenneth Galbraith "This is a very great
booka. Mr. Keynes writes with a fullness of knowledge, an
incisiveness of judgment, and a penetration into the ultimate
causes of economic eventsa. The style is like finely hammered
steel. It is full of unforgettable phrases and of vivid portraits
etched in the biting acid of a passionate moral indignation."--H.
J. Laski, The Nation John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) was one of the
greatest economic theorists of the twentieth century. He was
chairman of the liberal journal of opinion The Nation and economics
advisor for more than thirty years to British governments. He wrote
several books, including his masterpiece, The General Theory of
Employment, Interest and Money, the two-volume Treatise on Money,
and A Tract on Monetary Reform. David Felix is professor of history
emeritus at the City University of New York. His books include
Biography of an Idea: John Maynard Keynes and The General Theory of
Employment, Interest and Money and Keynes: A Critical Life.
In 1936 Keynes published the most provocative book written by any
economist of his generation. The General Theory, as it is known to
all economists, cut through all the Gordian Knots of pre-Keynesian
discussion of the trade cycle and propounded a new approach to the
determination of the level of economic activity, the problems of
employment and unemployment and the causes of inflation. Arguments
about the book continued until his death in 1946 and still continue
today. Despite all that has been written in the subsequent years,
Keynes and his book still represent the turning point between the
old economics and the new from which each generation of economists
needs to take its inspiration.
Distinguished British economist John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) set
off a series of movements that dramatically altered the ways in
which economists view the world. In his most important work, The
General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money (1936), Keynes
critiqued the laissez faire policies of the day, particularly the
proposition that a normally functioning market economy will bring
full employment. Keynes' forward-looking work transformed economics
from merely a descriptive and analytic discipline to one that is
policy-oriented. For Keynes, enlightened government intervention in
a nation's economic life was essential to curbing what he saw as
the inherent inequalities and instabilities of unregulated
capitalism.
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