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A Plea for Plausibility - Toward a Comparative Decision Theory (Hardcover): John R. Welch A Plea for Plausibility - Toward a Comparative Decision Theory (Hardcover)
John R. Welch
R3,832 Discovery Miles 38 320 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

This book develops an original theory of decision-making based on the concept of plausibility. The author advocates plausible reasoning as a general philosophical method and demonstrates how it can be applied to problems in argumentation theory, scientific theory choice, risk management, ethics, law, economics, and epistemology. Human decisions are conditioned by formidable uncertainty. The standard resource for dealing rationally with uncertainty is the mathematical concept of probability. The probability calculus is well-known, but since the numerical demands for applying it cannot usually be met, it is not widely applicable. By contrast, the concept of plausibility is widely applicable, but it is little known. This book relies on a generalized concept of plausibility whose strength is its adaptability. The adaptability is due to a novel form of decision theory that takes plausibilities as inputs. This form of decision theory remains applicable to decisions informed by sharp probabilities and utilities, but it can also be applied to decisions that must be made without them. It can aid in the rationally critical enterprise of discriminating good arguments from bad, and this can foster philosophical progress. A Plea for Plausibility will be of interest to scholars and advanced students working in argumentation theory, philosophy of science, ethics, epistemology, economics, law, and risk management.

Transforming Archaeology - Activist Practices and Prospects (Hardcover): Sonya Atalay, Lee Rains Clauss, Randall H. McGuire,... Transforming Archaeology - Activist Practices and Prospects (Hardcover)
Sonya Atalay, Lee Rains Clauss, Randall H. McGuire, John R. Welch
R4,448 Discovery Miles 44 480 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Archaeology for whom? The dozen well-known contributors to this innovative volume suggest nothing less than a transformation of the discipline into a service-oriented, community-based endeavor. They wish to replace the primacy of meeting academic demands with meeting the needs and values of those outside the field who may benefit most from our work. They insist that we employ both rigorous scientific methods and an equally rigorous critique of those practices to ensure that our work addresses real-world social, environmental, and political problems. A transformed archaeology requires both personal engagement and a new toolkit. Thus, in addition to the theoretical grounding and case materials from around the world, each contributor offers a personal statement of their goals and an outline of collaborative methods that can be adopted by other archaeologists.

Transforming Archaeology - Activist Practices and Prospects (Paperback): Sonya Atalay, Lee Rains Clauss, Randall H. McGuire,... Transforming Archaeology - Activist Practices and Prospects (Paperback)
Sonya Atalay, Lee Rains Clauss, Randall H. McGuire, John R. Welch
R1,268 Discovery Miles 12 680 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

Archaeology for whom? The dozen well-known contributors to this innovative volume suggest nothing less than a transformation of the discipline into a service-oriented, community-based endeavor. They wish to replace the primacy of meeting academic demands with meeting the needs and values of those outside the field who may benefit most from our work. They insist that we employ both rigorous scientific methods and an equally rigorous critique of those practices to ensure that our work addresses real-world social, environmental, and political problems. A transformed archaeology requires both personal engagement and a new toolkit. Thus, in addition to the theoretical grounding and case materials from around the world, each contributor offers a personal statement of their goals and an outline of collaborative methods that can be adopted by other archaeologists.

Moral Strata - Another Approach to Reflective Equilibrium (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2014): John R.... Moral Strata - Another Approach to Reflective Equilibrium (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2014)
John R. Welch
R2,170 Discovery Miles 21 700 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This volume recreates the received notion of reflective equilibrium. It reconfigures reflective equilibrium as both a cognitive ideal and a method for approximating this ideal. The ideal of reflective equilibrium is restructured using the concept of discursive strata, which are formed by sentences and differentiated by function. Sentences that perform the same kind of linguistic function constitute a stratum. The book shows how moral discourse can be analyzed into phenomenal, instrumental, and teleological strata, and the ideal of reflective equilibrium reworked in these terms. In addition, the work strengthens the method of reflective equilibrium by harnessing the resources of decision theory and inductive logic. It launches a comparative version of decision theory and employs this framework as a guide to moral theory choice. It also recruits quantitative inductive logic to inform a standard of inductive cogency. When used in tandem with comparative decision theory, this standard can aid in the effort to turn the undesirable condition of reflective disequilibrium into reflective equilibrium.

Moral Strata - Another Approach to Reflective Equilibrium (Hardcover, 2014 ed.): John R. Welch Moral Strata - Another Approach to Reflective Equilibrium (Hardcover, 2014 ed.)
John R. Welch
R2,415 Discovery Miles 24 150 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This volume recreates the received notion of reflective equilibrium. It reconfigures reflective equilibrium as both a cognitive ideal and a method for approximating this ideal. The ideal of reflective equilibrium is restructured using the concept of discursive strata, which are formed by sentences and differentiated by function. Sentences that perform the same kind of linguistic function constitute a stratum. The book shows how moral discourse can be analyzed into phenomenal, instrumental, and teleological strata, and the ideal of reflective equilibrium reworked in these terms. In addition, the work strengthens the method of reflective equilibrium by harnessing the resources of decision theory and inductive logic. It launches a comparative version of decision theory and employs this framework as a guide to moral theory choice. It also recruits quantitative inductive logic to inform a standard of inductive cogency. When used in tandem with comparative decision theory, this standard can aid in the effort to turn the undesirable condition of reflective disequilibrium into reflective equilibrium.

Other Voices - Readings in Spanish Philosophy (Paperback): John R. Welch Other Voices - Readings in Spanish Philosophy (Paperback)
John R. Welch
R1,257 R957 Discovery Miles 9 570 Save R300 (24%) Ships in 12 - 17 working days

English-speaking philosophers are generally attuned to the German and French philosophical traditions but not to the Spanish. Why, for example, does someone with the vivid appeal of Bartolome de Las Casas remain almost completely unknown in North America? The purpose of this anthology is to introduce the Spanish philosophical tradition to English-speaking readers. Other Voices: Readings in Spanish Philosophy represents high points of nearly two millennia of Spanish philosophy, from first-century thinkers in Roman Hispania to those of the twentieth century. John R. Welch has selected, and in several cases translated excerpts from the works of thirteen philosophers: Seneca, Quintilian, Isidore of Seville, Ibn Rushd (Averroes), Moses Maimonides, Ramon Llull, Juan Luis Vives, Francisco de Vitoria, Bartolome de Las Casas, Francisco Suarez, Benito Jeronimo Feijoo, Miguel de Unamuno, and Jose Ortega y Gasset. Welch provides for the reader a brief introduction to each historical period or philosophical movement represented and a biographical introduction to each philosopher. Of special interest are the selection from Feijoo's "A Defense of Women" (an attack on misogyny), which has not been translated into English since the eighteenth century; the arguments on the justification of war by Vitoria and Las Casas (in the context of the Spanish conquest); and Unamuno's celebration of the concrete over the abstract, desire over reason.

Kinishba Lost and Found - Mid-Century Excavations and Contemporary Perspectives (Paperback): John R. Welch Kinishba Lost and Found - Mid-Century Excavations and Contemporary Perspectives (Paperback)
John R. Welch; Contributions by Mark T. Altaha, Richard Ciolek-Torello
R996 R825 Discovery Miles 8 250 Save R171 (17%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This volume presents previously unpublished notes and descriptions from work at the important prehistoric pueblo of Kinishba. Kinishba is on White Mountain Apache lands in east-central Arizona, and was first excavated by Byron Cummings in the 1930s. Work continued for several decades as attempts were made to create a possible national momument at the site. John Welch brings together these early excavation materials with contemporary perspectives on the architecture, ceramics, history, and setting of this important pueblo, and the general culture history of the region.

Dispatches from the Fort Apache Scout - White Mountain and Cibecue Apache History Through 1881 (Paperback): Lori Davisson,... Dispatches from the Fort Apache Scout - White Mountain and Cibecue Apache History Through 1881 (Paperback)
Lori Davisson, Edgar Perry, Original Staff of the White Mountain Apache Cultural Center; Edited by John R. Welch
R691 Discovery Miles 6 910 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

In the 1970s, the White Mountain Apache Tribe and the Arizona Historical Society began working together on a series of innovative projects aimed at preserving, perpetuating, and sharing Apache history. Underneath it all was a group of people dedicated to this important goal. Dispatches from the Fort Apache Scout is the latest outcome of that ongoing commitment. The book showcases and annotates dispatches published between June 1973 and October 1977, in the tribe's Fort Apache Scout newspaper. This twenty-eight-part series of articles shared Western Apache culture and history through 1881 and the Battle of Cibecue, emphasizing early encounters with Spanish, Mexican, and American outsiders. Along the way, rich descriptions of Ndee ties to the land, subsistance, leadership, and values emerge. The articles were the result of the dogged work of journalist, librarian, and historian Lori Davisson along with Edgar Perry, a charismatic leader of White Mountain Apache culture and history programs, and his staff who prepared these summaries of historical information for the local readership of the Scout. Davisson helped to pioneer a mutually beneficial partnership with the White Mountain Apache Tribe. Pursuing the same goal, Welch's edited book of the dispatches stakes out common ground for understanding the earliest relations between the groups contesting Southwest lands, powerfully illustrating how, as elder Cline Griggs, Sr., writes in the prologue, ""the past is present."" Dispatches from the Fort Apache Scout is both a tribute to and continuation of Davisson's and her colleagues' work to share the broad outlines and unique details of the early history of Ndee and Ndee lands.

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