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A Plea for Plausibility - Toward a Comparative Decision Theory (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R3,851
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A Plea for Plausibility - Toward a Comparative Decision Theory (Hardcover)
Series: Routledge Studies in Contemporary Philosophy
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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This book develops an original theory of decision-making based on
the concept of plausibility. The author advocates plausible
reasoning as a general philosophical method and demonstrates how it
can be applied to problems in argumentation theory, scientific
theory choice, risk management, ethics, law, economics, and
epistemology. Human decisions are conditioned by formidable
uncertainty. The standard resource for dealing rationally with
uncertainty is the mathematical concept of probability. The
probability calculus is well-known, but since the numerical demands
for applying it cannot usually be met, it is not widely applicable.
By contrast, the concept of plausibility is widely applicable, but
it is little known. This book relies on a generalized concept of
plausibility whose strength is its adaptability. The adaptability
is due to a novel form of decision theory that takes plausibilities
as inputs. This form of decision theory remains applicable to
decisions informed by sharp probabilities and utilities, but it can
also be applied to decisions that must be made without them. It can
aid in the rationally critical enterprise of discriminating good
arguments from bad, and this can foster philosophical progress. A
Plea for Plausibility will be of interest to scholars and advanced
students working in argumentation theory, philosophy of science,
ethics, epistemology, economics, law, and risk management.
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