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This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying
forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three
multi-decade global trends - it will raise inflation and interest
rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. "Whatever the future
holds", the authors argue, "it will be nothing like the past".
Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been
primarily due to an enormous surge in the world's available labour
supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry
of China and Eastern Europe into the world's trading system. This
book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of
reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation.
The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest
rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world
economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour,
so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political
factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the
authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality,
populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. This book will
be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on
where the world's economy may be going.
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