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In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have
developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's
opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of
security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast
Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear,
biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely
would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and
further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take
to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of
proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their
decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together
top international security experts to examine the issues affecting
a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next
decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work
describes the domestic political consideration and international
pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key
states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors
discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and
capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and
assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The
future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances,
treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments
are covered thoroughly.
The use of biological warfare (BW) agents by states or terrorists
is one of the world's most frightening security threats but, thus
far, little attention has been devoted to understanding how to
improve policies and procedures to identify and attribute BW
events. "Terrorism, War, or Disease?" is the first book to examine
the complex political, military, legal, and scientific challenges
involved in determining when BW have been used and who has used
them.
Through detailed analysis of the most significant and controversial
allegations of BW use from the Second World War to the present,
internationally recognized experts assess past attempts at
attribution of unusual biological events and draw lessons to
improve our ability to counter these deadly silent killers. This
volume presents the most comprehensive analysis of actual and
alleged BW use, and provides an up-to-date evaluation of law
enforcement, forensic epidemiology, and arms control measures
available to policymakers to investigate and attribute suspected
attacks.
In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have
developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's
opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of
security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast
Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear,
biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely
would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and
further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take
to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of
proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their
decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together
top international security experts to examine the issues affecting
a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next
decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work
describes the domestic political consideration and international
pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key
states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors
discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and
capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and
assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The
future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances,
treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments
are covered thoroughly.
The use of biological warfare (BW) agents by states or terrorists
is one of the world's most frightening security threats but, thus
far, little attention has been devoted to understanding how to
improve policies and procedures to identify and attribute BW
events. "Terrorism, War, or Disease?" is the first book to examine
the complex political, military, legal, and scientific challenges
involved in determining when BW have been used and who has used
them.
Through detailed analysis of the most significant and controversial
allegations of BW use from the Second World War to the present,
internationally recognized experts assess past attempts at
attribution of unusual biological events and draw lessons to
improve our ability to counter these deadly silent killers. This
volume presents the most comprehensive analysis of actual and
alleged BW use, and provides an up-to-date evaluation of law
enforcement, forensic epidemiology, and arms control measures
available to policymakers to investigate and attribute suspected
attacks.
South Asia in World Politics offers a comprehensive introduction to
the politics and international relations of South Asia, a key area
encompassing the states of Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India,
the Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. While U.S. interest
has long been sporadic and reactive, 9/11 alerted Washington that
paying only fitful attention to one of the world's most volatile
and populous regions was a recipe for everyday instability,
repeated international crises, major and minor wars, and conditions
so chronically unsettled that they continue to provide a fertile
breeding ground for transnational Islamic terrorism. Exploring the
many facets of this dynamic region, the book also assesses U.S.
policy toward Afghanistan and explains the importance of Bangladesh
and Pakistan, two of only a handful of Islamic states with
significant track records as democracies.
South Asia in World Politics offers a comprehensive introduction to
the politics and international relations of South Asia, a key area
encompassing the states of Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India,
the Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. While U.S. interest
has long been sporadic and reactive, 9/11 alerted Washington that
paying only fitful attention to one of the world's most volatile
and populous regions was a recipe for everyday instability,
repeated international crises, major and minor wars, and conditions
so chronically unsettled that they continue to provide a fertile
breeding ground for transnational Islamic terrorism. Exploring the
many facets of this dynamic region, the book also assesses U.S.
policy toward Afghanistan and explains the importance of Bangladesh
and Pakistan, two of only a handful of Islamic states with
significant track records as democracies.
The 1999 conflict between India and Pakistan near the town of
Kargil in contested Kashmir was the first military clash between
two nuclear-armed powers since the 1969 Sino-Soviet war. Kargil was
a landmark event not because of its duration or casualties, but
because it contained a very real risk of nuclear escalation. Until
the Kargil conflict, academic and policy debates over nuclear
deterrence and proliferation occurred largely on the theoretical
level. This deep analysis of the conflict offers scholars and
policymakers a rare account of how nuclear-armed states interact
during military crisis. Written by analysts from India, Pakistan,
and the United States, this unique book draws extensively on
primary sources, including unprecedented access to Indian,
Pakistani, and U.S. government officials and military officers who
were actively involved in the conflict. This is the first rigorous
and objective account of the causes, conduct, and consequences of
the Kargil conflict.
The proliferation of chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons is
now the single most serious security concern for governments around
the world. Peter R. Lavoy, Scott D. Sagan, and James J. Wirtz
compare how military threats, strategic cultures, and organizations
shape the way leaders intend to employ these armaments. They reveal
the many frightening ways that emerging military powers and
terrorist groups are planning the unthinkable by preparing to use
chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons in future conflicts.
Distinguished specialists consider several states and organizations
that have this weaponry: Iraq, Iran, India, Pakistan, North Korea,
and Israel, as well as the Aum Shinrikyo cult. The contributors
expose plans for using unconventional weapons, highlighting the
revolutionary effects these arsenals might have on international
politics and regional disputes.
The proliferation of chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons is
now the single most serious security concern for governments around
the world. Peter R. Lavoy, Scott D. Sagan, and James J. Wirtz
compare how military threats, strategic cultures, and organizations
shape the way leaders intend to employ these armaments. They reveal
the many frightening ways that emerging military powers and
terrorist groups are planning the unthinkable by preparing to use
chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons in future conflicts.
Distinguished specialists consider several states and organizations
that have this weaponry: Iraq, Iran, India, Pakistan, North Korea,
and Israel, as well as the Aum Shinrikyo cult. The contributors
expose plans for using unconventional weapons, highlighting the
revolutionary effects these arsenals might have on international
politics and regional disputes.
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