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In 1931, General of the Army Douglas MacArthur penned the following
thoughts on innovation: "We must hold our minds alert and receptive
to the application of unglimpsed methods and weapons. The next war
will be won in the future, not in the past. We must go on, or we
will go under." As the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
adapts to the emerging strategic environment, it must consider
innovative organizational structures that will allow it to harness
the potential of its European partners. In this monograph,
Lieutenant Colonel Raymond Millen examines NATO's enduring
deficiencies and their detrimental effect on military capabilities.
The decade following the end of the Cold War has revealed a far
different world than envisioned. As the United States ruefully
discovered, the reduced threat did not diminish security
obligations. NATO's European members hoped otherwise and paid
insufficient attention to military capabilities. NATO enlargement
exacerbates the existing problems.
Considering its long string of successes, it is curious that NATO
has so many critics chanting the mantra of irrelevancy or decrying
its post-Cold War initiatives. Paradoxically, pan-Europeanists seem
quite willing to accept an ineffective security organization as
long as it has a European label on it. Applying parochial
protectionist practices on regional security may be irrevocable and
certainly ruinous. In this monograph, Lieutenant Colonel Raymond
Millen examines NATO's extraordinary performance and incisive
initiatives during the immediate post-Cold War years. While other
security organizations and concepts have faded in importance and
utility, NATO has made sweeping changes to remain relevant, and its
unique enforcement mechanism means it has no security peer.
Organizationally, NATO remains the greatest cost effective hedge
against future threats and possesses the greatest potential for the
full spectrum of conflict, to include crisis management.
What design would I be forming if I were the enemy? "Y Frederick
the Great The great difficulty in forecasting the future strategic
environment and the force structure needed in response is the
plethora of variables that change the calculus. Only hindsight
reveals the failure of a Maginot Line or the brilliant success of a
mechanized Blitzkrieg doctrine. In the final analysis, the reader
must judge the line of reasoning. In this monograph, Dr. Steven
Metz and Lieutenant Colonel Raymond Millen examine the trends in
the strategic environment in their development of the Future
War/Future Battlespace. One fact is clear. Traditional warfighting
has changed in the post 9-11 era. The U.S. military must adapt or
fail. There is no other recourse. Dr. Metz and LTC Millen have
superbly framed the strategic environment into four strategic
battlespaces and have examined the ways future adversaries will
operate within them to thwart U.S. strategic initiatives. In this
context, these variables influence the path that Transformation
must take. The Strategic Studies Institute is pleased to offer this
monograph as a topic of debate concerning Transformation and the
Objective Force. Douglas C. Lovelace, Jr. Director Strategic
Studies Institute
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