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Experience is a great teacher . . . except when it isn't. In this
groundbreaking guide, learn how the past can deceive and limit us
-- and how healthy skepticism can build a better world. Our
personal experience is key to who we are and what we do. We judge
others by their experience and are judged by ours. Society
venerates experience. From doctors to teachers to managers to
presidents, the more experience the better. It's not surprising
then, that we often fall back on experience when making decisions,
an easy way to make judgements about the future, a constant teacher
that provides clear lessons. Yet, this intuitive reliance on
experience is misplaced. In The Myth of Experience, behavioral
scientists Emre Soyer and Robin Hogarth take a transformative look
at experience and the many ways it deceives and misleads us. From
distorting the past to limiting creativity to reducing happiness,
experience can cause misperceptions and then reinforce them without
our awareness. Instead, the authors argue for a nuanced approach,
where a healthy skepticism toward the lessons of experience results
in more reliable decisions and sustainable growth. Soyer and
Hogarth illustrate the flaws of experience -- with real-life
examples from bloodletting to personal computers to pandemics --
and distill cutting-edge research as a guide to decision-making, as
well as provide the remedies needed to improve our judgments and
choices in the workplace and beyond.
This book offers an overview of recent research on the psychology of judgment and decision making, the field that investigates the processes by which people draw conclusions, reach evaluations, and make choices. An introductory, historically oriented chapter provides a way of viewing the overall structure of the field, its recent trends, and its possible directions. Subsequent sections present significant recent papers by prominent researchers, organized to reveal the currents, connections, and controversies that animate the field. Current trends in the field are illustrated with papers from ongoing streams of research. The papers on "connections" explore memory, explanation and argument, affect, attitudes, and motivation. Finally, a section on "controversies" presents problem representation, domain knowledge, content specificity, rule-governed versus rule-described behavior, and proposals for radical departures and new beginnings in the field. Students and researchers in psychology who have an interest in cognitive processes will find this text to be rewarding reading.
In "Educating Intuition", Robin Hogarth offers the first
comprehensive overview of what the science of psychology can tell
us about intuition - where it comes from, how it works, whether we
can trust it. He finds that intuition is a normal and important
component of thought that has its roots in processes of tacit
learning. Environment, attention, experience, expertise, and the
success of the scientific method all form part of Hogarth's
perspective on intuition, leading him to the surprising - but
natural - conclusion that we can educate our sixth sense. To this
end he offers concrete suggestions and exercises to help readers
develop their intuitive skills and habits for learning the 'right'
lessons from experience. Artfully and accessibly combining
cognitive science, the latest research in psychology, and Hogarth's
own observations, "Educating Intuition" eschews the vague approach
to the topic that has become commonplace and provides instead a
wholly engaging and practical guide to enhancing our intuitive
skills.
How do people make decisions? How can we help people make better
decisions? How can we best study the processes of decision making?
The growing field of behavioral decision research, which seeks to
link observed decision behavior to underlying psychological
mechanisms, may provide the answers to these questions.
The volume is based on a recent conference held to honor the work
and memory of the late Hillel J. Einhorn, a pioneering scholar in
behavioral decision research. Composed of contributions by leading
researchers," Insights in Decision Making" provides a
state-of-the-art image of work in this field.
The range of topics covered includes conceptual and technical
issues the bridge the gap between theory and the practical concern
of improving decision making, difficulties in statistical thinking,
experimental studies of processes of judgment and choice, and the
emergence of new paradigms for studying decision behavior.
Providing many avenues for future research, "Insights in Decision
Making" will be essential reading for students of the psychology of
decision making and will prove valuable to readers in psychology,
economics, statistics, and management.
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