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The Myth of Experience - Why We Learn the Wrong Lessons, and Ways to Correct Them (Hardcover): Emre Soyer, Robin M. Hogarth The Myth of Experience - Why We Learn the Wrong Lessons, and Ways to Correct Them (Hardcover)
Emre Soyer, Robin M. Hogarth
R684 R575 Discovery Miles 5 750 Save R109 (16%) Ships in 9 - 15 working days

Experience is a great teacher . . . except when it isn't. In this groundbreaking guide, learn how the past can deceive and limit us -- and how healthy skepticism can build a better world. Our personal experience is key to who we are and what we do. We judge others by their experience and are judged by ours. Society venerates experience. From doctors to teachers to managers to presidents, the more experience the better. It's not surprising then, that we often fall back on experience when making decisions, an easy way to make judgements about the future, a constant teacher that provides clear lessons. Yet, this intuitive reliance on experience is misplaced. In The Myth of Experience, behavioral scientists Emre Soyer and Robin Hogarth take a transformative look at experience and the many ways it deceives and misleads us. From distorting the past to limiting creativity to reducing happiness, experience can cause misperceptions and then reinforce them without our awareness. Instead, the authors argue for a nuanced approach, where a healthy skepticism toward the lessons of experience results in more reliable decisions and sustainable growth. Soyer and Hogarth illustrate the flaws of experience -- with real-life examples from bloodletting to personal computers to pandemics -- and distill cutting-edge research as a guide to decision-making, as well as provide the remedies needed to improve our judgments and choices in the workplace and beyond.

Educating Intuition (Paperback, 2nd Ed.): Robin M. Hogarth Educating Intuition (Paperback, 2nd Ed.)
Robin M. Hogarth
R868 Discovery Miles 8 680 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

In "Educating Intuition", Robin Hogarth offers the first comprehensive overview of what the science of psychology can tell us about intuition - where it comes from, how it works, whether we can trust it. He finds that intuition is a normal and important component of thought that has its roots in processes of tacit learning. Environment, attention, experience, expertise, and the success of the scientific method all form part of Hogarth's perspective on intuition, leading him to the surprising - but natural - conclusion that we can educate our sixth sense. To this end he offers concrete suggestions and exercises to help readers develop their intuitive skills and habits for learning the 'right' lessons from experience. Artfully and accessibly combining cognitive science, the latest research in psychology, and Hogarth's own observations, "Educating Intuition" eschews the vague approach to the topic that has become commonplace and provides instead a wholly engaging and practical guide to enhancing our intuitive skills.

Research on Judgment and Decision Making - Currents, Connections, and Controversies (Paperback): William M. Goldstein, Robin M.... Research on Judgment and Decision Making - Currents, Connections, and Controversies (Paperback)
William M. Goldstein, Robin M. Hogarth
R2,235 Discovery Miles 22 350 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

This book offers an overview of recent research on the psychology of judgment and decision making, the field that investigates the processes by which people draw conclusions, reach evaluations, and make choices. An introductory, historically oriented chapter provides a way of viewing the overall structure of the field, its recent trends, and its possible directions. Subsequent sections present significant recent papers by prominent researchers, organized to reveal the currents, connections, and controversies that animate the field. Current trends in the field are illustrated with papers from ongoing streams of research. The papers on "connections" explore memory, explanation and argument, affect, attitudes, and motivation. Finally, a section on "controversies" presents problem representation, domain knowledge, content specificity, rule-governed versus rule-described behavior, and proposals for radical departures and new beginnings in the field. Students and researchers in psychology who have an interest in cognitive processes will find this text to be rewarding reading.

Rational Choice (Paperback, 2nd Ed.): Robin M. Hogarth Rational Choice (Paperback, 2nd Ed.)
Robin M. Hogarth
R711 Discovery Miles 7 110 Ships in 12 - 17 working days
Insights in Decision Making - A Tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn (Paperback, New): Robin M. Hogarth Insights in Decision Making - A Tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn (Paperback, New)
Robin M. Hogarth
R1,268 Discovery Miles 12 680 Out of stock

How do people make decisions? How can we help people make better decisions? How can we best study the processes of decision making? The growing field of behavioral decision research, which seeks to link observed decision behavior to underlying psychological mechanisms, may provide the answers to these questions.
The volume is based on a recent conference held to honor the work and memory of the late Hillel J. Einhorn, a pioneering scholar in behavioral decision research. Composed of contributions by leading researchers," Insights in Decision Making" provides a state-of-the-art image of work in this field.
The range of topics covered includes conceptual and technical issues the bridge the gap between theory and the practical concern of improving decision making, difficulties in statistical thinking, experimental studies of processes of judgment and choice, and the emergence of new paradigms for studying decision behavior.
Providing many avenues for future research, "Insights in Decision Making" will be essential reading for students of the psychology of decision making and will prove valuable to readers in psychology, economics, statistics, and management.

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