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This annual volume includes papers from the 2015 CSIS Project on
Nuclear Issues' Capstone Conference. Spanning a wide range of
technical and policy issues, the papers further discussion in their
respective areas and contribute to the training of the greater
nuclear community.
Addressing an increasingly complex array of nuclear weapons
challenges in the future will require talented young people with
the necessary technical and policy expertise to contribute to sound
decisionmaking on nuclear issues over time. To that end, the CSIS
Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) runs a yearly Nuclear Scholars
Initiative for graduate students and young professionals. Those
accepted into the program are hosted once per month at CSIS in
Washington, DC, where they participate in daylong workshops with
senior government officials and policy experts. Over the course of
the six-month program, scholars are required to prepare a research
paper. This volume is a collection of the 2014 papers from the
Nuclear Scholars Initiative.
The Project on Nuclear Issues 2013 conference series included
events at Northrop Grumman in May, Sandia National Laboratory in
July, and CSIS in December, before concluding with a Capstone
Conference at Offutt Air Force Base, home of the U.S. Strategic
Command, in March 2014. The papers included in this volume are a
collection of some of the presentations delivered at the Capstone
Conference. Spanning a wide range of technical and policy issues,
these selected papers hope to further discussion in their
respective areas, as well as contribute to the success of the
greater nuclear community.
Most violent conflicts since the turn of this century were in
countries that had experienced an earlier violent conflict. How can
we tell when a country is likely to remain stuck in a cycle of
violence? What factors suggest it might be "ripe" for stabilizing
and peace building? The authors studied four cases: Chad is stuck
in a cycle of violence, while El Salvador, Laos, and Mozambique
have had different results in their transitions from violence to
stability to peace. Conflicts without internal cohesion of
combatants or pressure from foreign patrons to stop fighting are
probably not ripe for stabilizing. Where there are subnational or
regional actors committed to violence, post-conflict peace building
is not likely to succeed without enforcement capacity to contain
violence or demonstrated commitments to increasing political
inclusion and making material improvements in the lives of
residents.
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