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The Asian financial crisis precipitated significant changes in real
exchange rates in the region that substantially altered the volume
and pattern of international trade. It was predicted that the
crisis countries would increase their exports and, especially,
reduce their imports. Japan, China, and the other non-crisis
countries will experience more complex changes. The trade balances
of the United States and Western Europe would deteriorate by about
$40-50 billion as a result of the currency movements in Asia.
Written at the height of the crisis, this study quantifies the
impact of the currency changes on the individual countries in Asia,
on the United States, on Europe and on other regions on a
sector-by-sector basis. It analyzes the additional impact that
might occur if China, a relative bystander in the crisis, were to
devalue its currency as well. It then examines potential trade
policy responses to these developments including the risk of an
upsurge in protectionist pressure in the United States.
The purpose of this book is to analyze the effects of developed
countries' agricultural policies on developing countries. The main
focus is on food security, poverty and other topics such as
multifunctionality, biotechnology and regional agreements, as an
input to policy reform within the World Trade Organization (WTO)
trade negotiations. The book arises from a joint project between
the Food and Resource Economics Institute in Denmark and the
International Food Policy Research Institute in Washington.
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