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TIPS breakeven inflation rate, defined as the difference between
nominal and TIPS yields of comparable maturities, is potentially
useful as a real-time measure of market inflation expectations. In
this paper, we provide evidence that a fairly large TIPS liquidity
premium existed until recently, using a multifactor no-arbitrage
term structure model estimated with nominal and TIPS yields,
inflation and survey forecasts of interest rates. Ignoring the TIPS
liquidity premiums leads to counterintuitive implications for
inflation expectations and inflation risk premium, and produces
large pricing errors for TIPS. In contrast, models incorporating a
TIPS liquidity factor generate much better fit for these variables
and reveal a TIPS liquidity premium that was until recently quite
large ( 1%) but has come down in recent years, consistent with the
common perception that TIPS market grew and liquidity conditions
improved. Our results indicate that after taking proper account of
the liquidity conditions in the TIPS market, the movement in TIPS
breakeven inflation rate can provide useful information for
identifying real yields, expected inflation and inflation risk
premium.
La terminologia specialistica riveste un ruolo centrale
nell'attivita di interpretazione, sia simultanea che consecutiva, e
nella preparazione che la precede. Cio vale sia nel caso in cui sia
prevista una resa dalla lingua nativa (lingua A) alla lingua
straniera (lingua B), sia quando si deve interpretare dalla lingua
B alla lingua A. La preparazione terminologica risulta pero
particolarmente importante nella direzione linguistica A-B, poiche
si verifica spesso il caso in cui non e un termine in quanto tale a
creare difficolta traduttive, bensi il contesto in cui compare.
L'autrice si propone dunque di elaborare un modello di preparazione
basato su un approccio sintagmatico e un'analisi contrastiva, che
consentono di analizzare i termini inseriti in un determinato
contesto d'uso.
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