0
Your cart

Your cart is empty

Browse All Departments
  • All Departments
Price
  • R1,000 - R2,500 (1)
  • -
Status
Brand

Showing 1 - 1 of 1 matches in All Departments

Taming Uncertainty (Hardcover): Ralph Hertwig, Timothy J. Pleskac, Thorsten Pachur Taming Uncertainty (Hardcover)
Ralph Hertwig, Timothy J. Pleskac, Thorsten Pachur
R1,453 Discovery Miles 14 530 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

An examination of the cognitive tools that the mind uses to grapple with uncertainty in the real world. How do humans navigate uncertainty, continuously making near-effortless decisions and predictions even under conditions of imperfect knowledge, high complexity, and extreme time pressure? Taming Uncertainty argues that the human mind has developed tools to grapple with uncertainty. Unlike much previous scholarship in psychology and economics, this approach is rooted in what is known about what real minds can do. Rather than reducing the human response to uncertainty to an act of juggling probabilities, the authors propose that the human cognitive system has specific tools for dealing with different forms of uncertainty. They identify three types of tools: simple heuristics, tools for information search, and tools for harnessing the wisdom of others. This set of strategies for making predictions, inferences, and decisions constitute the mind's adaptive toolbox. The authors show how these three dimensions of human decision making are integrated and they argue that the toolbox, its cognitive foundation, and the environment are in constant flux and subject to developmental change. They demonstrate that each cognitive tool can be analyzed through the concept of ecological rationality-that is, the fit between specific tools and specific environments. Chapters deal with such specific instances of decision making as food choice architecture, intertemporal choice, financial uncertainty, pedestrian navigation, and adolescent behavior.

Free Delivery
Pinterest Twitter Facebook Google+
You may like...
Just Me Just You CD (2008)
Larry Ham CD R305 Discovery Miles 3 050
Handbook of Research on Multilingual and…
Sviatlana Karpava Hardcover R6,977 Discovery Miles 69 770
Opening
Bob Chilcott Sheet music R121 Discovery Miles 1 210
Cold People
Tom Rob Smith Paperback R350 R277 Discovery Miles 2 770
Language, Space and Power - A Critical…
Samina Hadi-Tabassum Paperback R930 Discovery Miles 9 300
Sha! Shtil! - Hush! Quiet!
Ian Assersohn Sheet music R121 Discovery Miles 1 210
Language-in-education Policies - The…
Anthony J. Liddicoat Paperback R928 Discovery Miles 9 280
The Parting Glass
Sarah Quartel Sheet music R136 Discovery Miles 1 360
A Promised Land
Barack Obama Hardcover  (6)
R930 R795 Discovery Miles 7 950
Hold It Right There
Chris Cortez CD R359 Discovery Miles 3 590

 

Partners