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This volume examines concepts of central planning, a cornerstone of
political economy in Soviet-type societies. It revolves around the
theory of "optimal planning" which promised a profound
modernization of Stalinist-style verbal planning. Encouraged by
cybernetic dreams in the 1950s and supporting the strategic goals
of communist leaders in the Cold War, optimal planners offered the
ruling elites a panacea for the recurrent crises of the planned
economy. Simultaneously, their planning projects conveyed the pride
of rational management and scientific superiority over the West.
The authors trace the rise and fall of the research program in the
communist era in eight countries of Eastern Europe, including the
Soviet Union, and China, describing why the mission of optimization
was doomed to fail and why the failure was nevertheless very slow.
The theorists of optimal planning contributed to the rehabilitation
of mathematical culture in economic research in the communist
countries, and thus, to a neoclassical turn in economics all over
the ex-communist world). However, because they have not rejected
optimal planning as "computopia," there is a large space left
behind for future generations to experiment with Big Optimal Plans
anew-based, at this time, on artificial intelligence and machine
learning.
Input-output analysis is probably the most practical tool of
economic analysis. It is the main tool to help us answer three key
questions that pertain to the whole economic system. In terms of
efficiency and productivity growth, what's the performance of an
economy? What is the comparative advantage of an economy compared
with the rest of the world? How do policies and measures affect the
whole economic system when environmental constrains are taken into
account? Of course, many other interesting questions can be posed.
The first three chapters in this book introduce three important
practices of input-output analysis in China in the fields of water
shadow price evaluating and predicting, building energy efficiency
impacts evaluating, unfair importation impacts calculating. The
last chapter is the advanced research in nonlinear input-output
model. The methods and results are quite general, and this feature
facilitates the use of the book as a reference source, particularly
by applied economists and macro economic managers.
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