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Books > Earth & environment > The environment > Environmental impact of natural disasters & phenomena

Bioclimatology and Biogeography of Africa (Hardcover, 2009 ed.): Henry N. Houerou Bioclimatology and Biogeography of Africa (Hardcover, 2009 ed.)
Henry N. Houerou
R2,893 Discovery Miles 28 930 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Covering an area of over 130 million km2 spanning the Mediterranean, equator and tropics, the African continent features a spectacular geographic diversity. Consequently, it is characterised by extremely variable climatic, edaphic and ecological conditions, associated with a wide range of natural vegetation and wildlife, as well as human population density, crops and livestock.

In this book, Henry Le Houerou presents his bioclimatic and biogeographic classification of Africa. The extensive data provide the basis for comparisons between various African regions, and with regions on other continents such as Latin America or the Indian subcontinent. The results constitute a rational basis for national, regional and sub-regional rural development planning, and for agricultural research dealing with aspects such as plant and animal introductions, the extrapolation or interpolation of experimental or developmental findings, and ecosystems dynamics. Possible problems of applications are also examined."

World's Worst Historical Disasters - Natural and Man-made Catastrophes from the Ancient World to the Present Day... World's Worst Historical Disasters - Natural and Man-made Catastrophes from the Ancient World to the Present Day (Paperback)
Chris McNab
R328 R304 Discovery Miles 3 040 Save R24 (7%) Ships in 9 - 17 working days

World's Worst Historical Disasters examines some of the most significant natural and man-made disasters in world history, from those almost lost in the mists of time, such as the plague in Athens which killed 75 per cent of the population and the earthquake in Corinth that left 45,000 people dead to modern day catastrophes such as the New Delhi air collision and the Samastipur train disaster which both cost hundreds of lives. All kinds of horrendous disasters are covered including plagues, earthquakes, volcanoes, genocides, floods, train crashes and aeroplane crashes. Each fascinating account gives a full and detailed analysis of the events leading up to the disaster, the actual disaster itself and then the extent of the damage and the dreadful aftermath. Learn about the massacre at Milan, the great fire of London and the historic San Francisco earthquake. Each story is highly illustrated bringing every disaster to life, plus key facts outline the most important information and allows the reader the see facts at a glance. Whether the result of mankind or an inevitable and uncontrollable act of nature, World's Worst Historical Disasters will provide an educational and riveting read.

The Politics and Policies of Relief, Aid and Reconstruction - Contrasting approaches to disasters and emergencies (Hardcover):... The Politics and Policies of Relief, Aid and Reconstruction - Contrasting approaches to disasters and emergencies (Hardcover)
Fulvio Attina
R1,528 Discovery Miles 15 280 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Innovation in the world's institutions and global politics as well as in the physical environment and practices of the contemporary societies has raised the need for specific and up-to-date knowledge about the politics and policies of relief, aid and reconstruction. This book advances the political analysis of international disaster policies which have been mostly in the domain of other social sciences. Exploring the formation of this field of study, this collection analyses the most recent disaster events including the Haiti earthquake, the tsunami in the Pacific Ocean and the genocide in Rwanda and Former Yugoslavia. Broadly linked to constructivism and neo-institutionalism, this book also looks at the impact of these cooperation policies on the governance of the present global system.

Flood Control Management for the City and Surroundings of Jeddah, Saudi Arabia (Hardcover, 2015 ed.): Mashael  Mohammed Al Saud Flood Control Management for the City and Surroundings of Jeddah, Saudi Arabia (Hardcover, 2015 ed.)
Mashael Mohammed Al Saud
R3,481 Discovery Miles 34 810 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

During the past years, Saudi Arabia has been affected by particularly severe torrential rains and floods. This book presents an in-depth and all-encompassing study on the floods that occurred in the Jeddah area in 2009 and 2011, including water-flow mechanisms, state-of-the-art techniques for flood assessment, flood control and appropriate management approaches. It highlights a number of methods and concepts that can be applied in similar areas in Saudi Arabia in order to reduce and mitigate the impact of torrential rains and floods.

Asia-Pacific Disaster Management - Comparative and Socio-legal Perspectives (Hardcover, 2014 ed.): Simon Butt, Hitoshi Nasu,... Asia-Pacific Disaster Management - Comparative and Socio-legal Perspectives (Hardcover, 2014 ed.)
Simon Butt, Hitoshi Nasu, Luke Nottage
R4,763 R3,632 Discovery Miles 36 320 Save R1,131 (24%) Ships in 12 - 19 working days

The book outlines the regulatory environment for disaster prevention and management in broad social, economic and political context. The first half of the book focuses mainly on Japan, especially the 3-11 events: the earthquake and tsunami that devastated the Tohoku area on 11 March 2011 and the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant radiation leaks. The second half focuses on the USA (the only other Asia-Pacific country to have experienced a serious nuclear emergency), Indonesia, China, New Zealand, Australia and international law. One question explored is whether socio-legal norms play different roles in preventing and managing responses to natural disasters compared to man-made disasters. Another is how disaster law interacts with society across very diverse societies in the disaster-prone Asia-Pacific region. The book also addresses the increasingly important roles played by international law and regional regimes for cross-border cooperation in disaster prevention and relief, including the functions played by military forces.

Erudite, pragmatic, and charged with detailed, substantive knowledge of an astonishing range of contexts and research fields, this timely collection of important essays on the law and society of disaster management stands as an exemplary international academic response to the disasters of 11 March 2011.(Annelise Riles)"

Disaster Education and Management - A Joyride for Students, Teachers and Disaster Managers (Hardcover, 2014 ed.): Rajendra... Disaster Education and Management - A Joyride for Students, Teachers and Disaster Managers (Hardcover, 2014 ed.)
Rajendra Kumar Bhandari
R5,078 Discovery Miles 50 780 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

The book is expressly written for the young minds because they are our best hope for a safer tomorrow. The book is profusely illustrated, as it offers a joyride to the world of the whole range of hazards through simplified teaching-learning process, with less of teaching and more of learning. This is because most readers would love to learn without actually being taught. The book is designed to take advantage of distilled wisdom of centuries to inspire and enlighten the common man to turn them into prime movers of safer societies. Senior citizens, community leaders, self-trained disaster managers, social workers, media personnel, bureaucrats and those averse to the very thought of reading will also find the book useful as it is illustrative and inviting.

Bad Smoke, Good Smoke - A Texas Rancher's View of Wildfire (Hardcover): John R Erickson Bad Smoke, Good Smoke - A Texas Rancher's View of Wildfire (Hardcover)
John R Erickson
R631 R575 Discovery Miles 5 750 Save R56 (9%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

From his home on the Texas Panhandle, John R. Erickson, rancher and author of the bestselling Hank the Cowdog series, saw firsthand the raw power of two megafires that swept across the high plains in 2006 and 2017. "These were landmark events that are etched onto the memory of an entire generation and will be passed down to the next. They made the old-time methods of fighting fire with shovels, wet gunny sacks, and ranch spray rigs a pathetic joke." Yet Bad Smoke, Good Smoke, while relating a tale of gut-wrenching destruction, also provides a more nuanced view of what is often a natural event, giving the two-sided story of our relationship with fire. Not just a first-hand account, Bad Smoke, Good Smoke also synthesizes and explains the latest research in range management, climate, and fire. Having experienced the bad smoke, Erickson tries to understand a rancher's relationship to good smoke and to reconcile the symbiotic relationship that a rancher has with fire. Evocatively chronicled, Erickson tells what it is like trying to stop the unstoppable: Bad Smoke, Good Smoke gives voice to the particular pains that ranchers must face in our era of climate change and ever more powerful natural disasters.

Multiscale Seismic Tomography (Hardcover, 2015 ed.): Dapeng Zhao Multiscale Seismic Tomography (Hardcover, 2015 ed.)
Dapeng Zhao
R4,494 R3,636 Discovery Miles 36 360 Save R858 (19%) Ships in 12 - 19 working days

This book on multiscale seismic tomography, written by one of the leaders in the field, is suitable for undergraduate and graduate students, researchers, and professionals in Earth and planetary sciences who need to broaden their horizons about seismotectonics, volcanism, and interior structure and dynamics of the Earth and Moon. It describes the state-of-the-art in seismic tomography, with emphasis on the new findings obtained by applying tomographic methods in local, regional, and global scales for understanding the generating mechanism of large and great earthquakes such as the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake (Mw 9.0), crustal and upper mantle structure, origin of active arc volcanoes and intraplate volcanoes including hotspots, heterogeneous structure of subduction zones, fate of subducting slabs, origin of mantle plumes, mantle convection, and deep Earth dynamics. The first lunar tomography and its implications for the mechanism of deep moonquakes and lunar evolution are also introduced.

Social Infrastructure Maintenance Notebook (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2021): Atsushi Yashima, Yu Huang Social Infrastructure Maintenance Notebook (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2021)
Atsushi Yashima, Yu Huang
R1,521 Discovery Miles 15 210 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This book explains in an easy-to-understand manner the "check" points to keep in mind when inspecting various social infrastructure structures. It is put together in a way that not only engineers who are on the front line of maintenance and management but also engineers who are not normally involved in maintenance and management of social infrastructures as well as general public can understand the importance of social infrastructure inspection work.

Disastrous Floods and the Demise of Steel in Johnstown (Hardcover): Pat Farabaugh Disastrous Floods and the Demise of Steel in Johnstown (Hardcover)
Pat Farabaugh; Foreword by Richard Burkert
R725 Discovery Miles 7 250 Ships in 12 - 19 working days
Living Under the Threat of Earthquakes - Short and Long-term Management of Earthquake Risks and Damage Prevention in Nepal... Living Under the Threat of Earthquakes - Short and Long-term Management of Earthquake Risks and Damage Prevention in Nepal (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2018)
Joern H. Kruhl, Rameshwar Adhikari, Uwe E. Dorka
R6,756 Discovery Miles 67 560 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This book addresses earthquakes, with a special focus on the Ghorka earthquake, which struck parts of central Nepal in April 2015. Drawing on this disastrous event, it closely examines various aspects of earthquakes in contributions prepared by international experts. The topics covered include: the geological and geophysical background of seismicity; a detailed inventory of the damage done by the earthquake; effective damage prevention through earthquake-safe buildings and settlements; restoration options for world-heritage buildings; strategies for providing technical and medical relief and, lastly, questions associated with public life and economy in a high-risk seismic zone. Combining perspectives from various fields, the book presents the state of the art in all earthquake-related fields and outlines future approaches to risk identification, damage prevention, and disaster management in all parts of society, administration, and politics in Nepal. Beyond the specific disaster in Nepal, the findings presented here will have broader implications for how societies can best deal with disasters.

The Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident - Final Report of the AESJ Investigation Committee (Hardcover): Atomic Energy Society of... The Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident - Final Report of the AESJ Investigation Committee (Hardcover)
Atomic Energy Society of Japan
R4,507 Discovery Miles 45 070 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The Magnitude 9 Great East Japan Earthquake on March 11, 2011, followed by a massive tsunami struck TEPCO's Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station and triggered an unprecedented core melt/severe accident in Units 1 - 3. The radioactivity release led to the evacuation of local residents, many of whom still have not been able to return to their homes. As a group of nuclear experts, the Atomic Energy Society of Japan established the Investigation Committee on the Nuclear Accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station, to investigate and analyze the accident from scientific and technical perspectives for clarifying the underlying and fundamental causes, and to make recommendations. The results of the investigation by the AESJ Investigation Committee has been compiled herewith as the Final Report. Direct contributing factors of the catastrophic nuclear incident at Fukushima Daiichi NPP initiated by an unprecedented massive earthquake/ tsunami - inadequacies in tsunami measures, severe accident management, emergency response, accident recovery and mitigations - and the underlying factors - organizational issues, etc., have been clarified and recommendations in the following areas have been made. - Nuclear safety fundamentals - Direct factors of the accident - Organizational aspects - Common items (R&D, International cooperation, human resources management) - Post-accident management/recovery from the accident.

Remote Sensing and Geospatial Technologies for Coastal Ecosystem Assessment and Management (Hardcover, 2009 ed.): Xiaojun Yang Remote Sensing and Geospatial Technologies for Coastal Ecosystem Assessment and Management (Hardcover, 2009 ed.)
Xiaojun Yang
R5,710 Discovery Miles 57 100 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

In this landmark publication, leading experts detail how remote sensing and related geospatial technologies can be used for coastal ecosystem assessment and management.

This book is divided into three major parts. In the first part several conceptual and technical issues of applying remote sensing and geospatial technologies in the coastal environment are examined. The second part showcases some of the latest developments in the use of remote sensing and geospatial technologies when characterizing coastal waters, submerged aquatic vegetation, benthic habitats, shorelines, coastal wetlands and watersheds. Finally, the last part demonstrates a watershed-wide synthetic approach that links upstream stressors with downstream responses for integrated coastal ecosystem assessment and management.

Earthquakes and Their Impact on Society (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2016): Sebastiano D'Amico Earthquakes and Their Impact on Society (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2016)
Sebastiano D'Amico
R4,253 Discovery Miles 42 530 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This book provides an integrated approach to the assessment of seismic hazards. The reduction of losses expected by future earthquakes is probably the most important contribution of seismology to society. Large earthquakes occurred in densely populated areas highlight the dramatic inadequacy of a massive portion of the buildings demonstrating the high risks of modern industrial societies. Building earthquake-resistant structures and retrofitting old buildings on a national scale can be extremely expensive and can represent an economic challenge even for developed western countries. Earthquakes can cause also several psychological problems due to the fact that such kind of disasters will result in casualties, collapsing of houses, strategic buildings and facilities and deeply affect a community. Moreover in our society it is necessary to properly plan emergency responses and rescues taking into account any possible secondary effect in order to avoid more casualties.

Natural Disaster Management in the Asia-Pacific - Policy and Governance (Hardcover, 2015 ed.): Caroline Brassard, David W.... Natural Disaster Management in the Asia-Pacific - Policy and Governance (Hardcover, 2015 ed.)
Caroline Brassard, David W. Giles, Arnold M Howitt
R3,845 R3,563 Discovery Miles 35 630 Save R282 (7%) Ships in 12 - 19 working days

The Asia-Pacific region is one of the most vulnerable to a variety of natural and manmade hazards. This edited book productively brings together scholars and senior public officials having direct experience in dealing with or researching on recent major natural disasters in the Asia-Pacific. The chapters focus on disaster preparedness and management, including pre-event planning and mitigation, crisis leadership and emergency response, and disaster recovery. Specific events discussed in this book include a broad spectrum of disasters such as tropical storms and typhoons in the Philippines; earthquakes in China; tsunamis in Indonesia, Japan, and Maldives; and bushfires in Australia. The book aims to generate discussions about improved risk reduction strategies throughout the region. It seeks to provide a comparative perspective across countries to draw lessons from three perspectives: public policy, humanitarian systems, and community engagement.

Flood Proofing in Urban Areas (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2019): Daniele Fabrizio Bignami, Renzo Rosso, Umberto Sanfilippo Flood Proofing in Urban Areas (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2019)
Daniele Fabrizio Bignami, Renzo Rosso, Umberto Sanfilippo
R3,638 Discovery Miles 36 380 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Flood control in urban areas can be feasibly and cost-effectively enhanced by implementing flood proofing approaches to risk reduction in the context of environmental and land-use planning and management. Indeed, flood proofing makes it possible to improve, integrate and in some cases even replace traditional measures for flood control, reducing the vulnerability and increasing the resilience of buildings and infrastructures. This book begins by reviewing the physics of stability and instability of both human beings and buildings under flood conditions, together with criteria and models (both conventional and innovative) for assessing flood strains. In turn, it presents a range of flood proofing concepts and techniques, together with a complete and updated classification of related methods and devices. This provides a user-friendly tool to help identify appropriate solutions to real-world problems for each specific risk scenario. In particular, the book focuses on temporary flood proofing techniques, given their ability to deliver effective performance at low costs. Lastly, it features an overview of norms, guidelines and laboratory recommendations that are currently being adopted in various countries with regard to flood proofing devices and testing procedures. The purpose of this book is essentially to encourage authorities, stakeholders, technicians and end users to successfully develop flood proofing solutions that can reduce flood risk in a pragmatic manner. In addition, the authors hope to inspire researchers, manufacturers and designers (engineers, architects, urban planners and urban managers) to pursue further advances in this key sector of public and private safety in urban areas.

Agent-Based Simulation of Vulnerability Dynamics - A Case Study of the German North Sea Coast (Hardcover, 2nd ed. 2012): CILLI... Agent-Based Simulation of Vulnerability Dynamics - A Case Study of the German North Sea Coast (Hardcover, 2nd ed. 2012)
CILLI Sobiech
R3,545 Discovery Miles 35 450 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

This thesis constitutes an extraordinary innovative research approach in transferring the concepts and methods of complex systems to risk research. It ambitiously bridges the barriers between theoretical, empirical and methodical research work and integrates these fields into one comprehensive approach of dealing with uncertainty in socio-ecological systems. The developed agent-based simulation aims at the dynamics of social vulnerability in the considered system of the German North Sea Coast. Thus, the social simulation provides an analytical method to explore the individual, relational, and spatial aspects leading to dynamics of vulnerability in society. Combining complexity science and risk research by the method of agent-based simulation hereby emphasizes the importance of understanding interrelations inside the system for the system's development, i.e. for the evolving. Based on a vulnerability assessment regarding vulnerability characteristics, present risk behavior and self-protection preferences of private households against the impacts of flooding and storm surges, possible system trajectories could be explored by means of simulation experiments. The system-analytical approach therefore contributes to an integrated consideration of multi-dimensional and context-sensitv social phenomena such as vulnerability. Furthermore it achieves conceptually and strategically relevant implications for risk research and complex systems research.

Flash Floods - Forecasting and Warning (Hardcover, 2013 ed.): Kevin Sene Flash Floods - Forecasting and Warning (Hardcover, 2013 ed.)
Kevin Sene
R5,843 Discovery Miles 58 430 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

Flash floods typically develop in a period a few hours or less and can arise from heavy rainfall and other causes, such as dam or flood defence breaches, and ice jam breaks. The rapid development, often associated with a high debris content, can present a considerable risk to people and property. This book describes recent developments in techniques for monitoring and forecasting the development of flash floods, and providing flood warnings. Topics which are discussed include rainfall and river monitoring, nowcasting, Numerical Weather Prediction, rainfall-runoff modelling, and approaches to the dissemination of flood warnings and provision of an emergency response.

The book is potentially useful on civil engineering, water resources, meteorology and hydrology courses (and for post graduate studies) but is primarily intended as a review of the topic for a wider audience.

Disaster Vulnerability, Hazards and Resilience - Perspectives from Florida (Hardcover, 2015 ed.): Fernando I. Rivera, Naim... Disaster Vulnerability, Hazards and Resilience - Perspectives from Florida (Hardcover, 2015 ed.)
Fernando I. Rivera, Naim Kapucu
R3,558 Discovery Miles 35 580 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

This monograph provides valuable lessons in building disaster resilience for rural communities and beyond. With a focus on Florida, the authors present a comprehensive review of the current debates surrounding the study of resilience, from federal frameworks, state plans and local initiatives. They also review evaluation tools and feature first-hand accounts of county emergency managers as well as non-profit and community groups on key issues, including perspectives on vulnerable groups such as the elderly, children and farm workers. Readers will find insightful answers to such questions as: How can the concept of resilience be used as a framework to investigate the conditions that lead to stronger, more sustainable communities? What factors account for the variation across jurisdictions and geographic units in the ability to respond to and recover from a disaster? How does the recovery process impact the social, political and economic institutions of the stricken communities? How do communities, especially rural ones, collaborate with multiple stakeholders (local, regional, state, national) during the transition from recovery to resilience? Can the collaborative nature of disaster recovery help build resilient communities?. The primary audiences of this book are scholars in emergency and crisis management, planning and policy, disaster response and recovery, disaster sociology and environmental management and policy. This book can also be used as a textbook in graduate and advanced undergraduate programs / courses on disaster management, disaster studies, emergency and crisis management, environmental policy and management and public policy and administration.

Encyclopedia of Disaster Management: Volume V (Tsunami) (Hardcover): Alfred Scott Encyclopedia of Disaster Management: Volume V (Tsunami) (Hardcover)
Alfred Scott
R2,502 R2,282 Discovery Miles 22 820 Save R220 (9%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days
The Economics of the Global Environment - Catastrophic Risks in Theory and Policy (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2016): Graciela... The Economics of the Global Environment - Catastrophic Risks in Theory and Policy (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2016)
Graciela Chichilnisky, Armon Rezai
R4,790 Discovery Miles 47 900 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This is the first book combining research on the Global Environment, Catastrophic Risks and Economic Theory and Policy. Modern economic theory originated in the middle of the twentieth century when industrial expansion coupled with population growth led to a voracious use of natural resources and global environmental concerns. It is uncontested that, for the first time in recorded history, humans dominate the planet, changing the planet's atmosphere, its bodies of water, and the complex web of species that makes life on earth. This radical change in circumstances led to rethinking of the foundations of human organization and, in particular, the industrial economy and the economic theory behind it. This book brings together new approaches on multiple levels: environmental sustainability requires rethinking in terms of economic theory and policy as well as the considerations of catastrophic risk and extremal events. Leading experts address questions of economic governance, risk management, policy decision making and distribution across time and space.

Disaster Governance in Urbanising Asia (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2016): Michelle Ann Miller, Mike Douglass Disaster Governance in Urbanising Asia (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2016)
Michelle Ann Miller, Mike Douglass
R3,330 R2,079 Discovery Miles 20 790 Save R1,251 (38%) Ships in 12 - 19 working days

This edited book approaches the threat and impact of environmental disasters on Asia's urban populations from a governance perspective. It adopts a multi-sector and multi-disciplinary approach to disaster governance that emphasises the importance of multiple stakeholders in preparing for, responding to and recovering from disasters and their cascading impacts in Asia's cities. The contributors to this volume take a broad view of the multifaceted causalities and the interconnected threats and vulnerabilities of environmental disasters in urbanising Asia. As such, the book is an invitation to advance scholarship in the search for more effective, comprehensive and inclusive disaster preparedness agendas, recovery programs and development priorities.

Remote Sensing of Hydrological Extremes (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2017): Venkat Lakshmi Remote Sensing of Hydrological Extremes (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2017)
Venkat Lakshmi
R5,636 Discovery Miles 56 360 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

This volume provides in-depth coverage of the latest in remote sensing of hydrological extremes: both floods and droughts. The book is divided into two distinct sections - floods and droughts - and offers a variety of techniques for monitoring each. With rapid advances in computer modelling and observing systems, floods and droughts are studied with greater precision today than ever before. Land surface models, especially over the entire Continental United States, can map the hydrological cycle at kilometre and sub-kilometre scales. In the case of smaller areas there is even higher spatial resolution and the only limiting factor is the resolution of input data. In-situ sensors are automated and the data is directly relayed to the world wide web for many hydrological variables such as precipitation, soil moisture, surface temperature and heat fluxes. In addition, satellite remote sensing has advanced to providing twice a day repeat observations at kilometre to ten-kilometre spatial scales. We are at a critical juncture in the study of hydrological extremes, and the GPM and SMAP missions as well as the MODIS and GRACE sensors give us more tools and data than were ever available before. A global variety of chapter authors provides wide-ranging perspectives and case studies that will make this book an indispensable resource for researchers, engineers, and even emergency management and insurance professionals who study and/or manage hydrological extremes.

Heavy-Tailed Distributions in Disaster Analysis (Hardcover, 2010 Ed.): V Pisarenko, M Rodkin Heavy-Tailed Distributions in Disaster Analysis (Hardcover, 2010 Ed.)
V Pisarenko, M Rodkin
R2,987 Discovery Miles 29 870 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Mathematically, natural disasters of all types are characterized by heavy tailed distributions. The analysis of such distributions with common methods, such as averages and dispersions, can therefore lead to erroneous conclusions. The statistical methods described in this book avoid such pitfalls. Seismic disasters are studied, primarily thanks to the availability of an ample statistical database. New approaches are presented to seismic risk estimation and forecasting the damage caused by earthquakes, ranging from typical, moderate events to very rare, extreme disasters. Analysis of these latter events is based on the limit theorems of probability and the duality of the generalized Pareto distribution and generalized extreme value distribution. It is shown that the parameter most widely used to estimate seismic risk - Mmax, the maximum possible earthquake value - is potentially non-robust. Robust analogues of this parameter are suggested and calculated for some seismic catalogues. Trends in the costs inferred by damage from natural disasters as related to changing social and economic situations are examined for different regions.

The results obtained argue for sustainable development, whereas entirely different, incorrect conclusions can be drawn if the specific properties of the heavy-tailed distribution and change in completeness of data on natural hazards are neglected.

This pioneering work is directed at risk assessment specialists in general, seismologists, administrators and all those interested in natural disasters and their impact on society.

Encyclopedia of Disaster Management: Volume IV (Selected Topics in Natural Disasters) (Hardcover): Alfred Scott Encyclopedia of Disaster Management: Volume IV (Selected Topics in Natural Disasters) (Hardcover)
Alfred Scott
R2,045 R1,879 Discovery Miles 18 790 Save R166 (8%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days
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