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China's Economic Growth Prospects - From Demographic Dividend To Reform Dividend (Hardcover)
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China's Economic Growth Prospects - From Demographic Dividend To Reform Dividend (Hardcover)
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Cai Fang has led Chinese and international understanding of the
links between Chinese population and economic development over the
past two decades. He has defined relationships that have been
centrally important to structural change in China, with immense
implications for the rest of the world. This book brings together
the wisdom from decades of research at the frontiers of knowledge.
It is essential reading for anyone wanting to understand today's
world economy.' - Ross Garnaut, University of Melbourne,
Australia'Cai Fang's book, China's Economic Growth Prospects, is
masterful. This is a book only he could write. Dr Cai takes decades
of theory and observations on the world's experience in growth and
development, explains it in fully digestible terms and then applies
it in a nuanced and understandable way to the reality of what
happened, and what is happening, in China. It is a book that is
full of hope; it is a book fraught with warnings. It is the only
book I know of that truly captures today's China.' - Scott Rozelle,
Senior Fellow, Stanford University, US China has grown rapidly
since the reform initiation of the 1970s. China's Economic Growth
Prospects narrates the contribution of demographic transition to
recent economic growth in China, and provides suggestions for ways
in which it can sustain growth over the next few decades. The
expert author provides reasons for the economic slowdown since the
second decade of the twenty-first century; explores the challenges
facing China's long-term sustainability of growth with the
disappearance of demographic dividend; and proposes policy
suggestions. He concludes that, in order to avoid the middle-income
trap, economic growth in China must transform from an inputs-driven
pattern, to a productivity-driven pattern. Academics, researchers
and students of economics and business, particularly those
specialising in China, will find this book to be a useful resource.
Investment bankers, journalists, politicians and policy makers will
find the discussions of past experience and the future potential of
the Chinese economy to be of interest.
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