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Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America (Paperback, 1st ed. 2020)
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Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America (Paperback, 1st ed. 2020)
Series: Socio-Historical Studies of the Social and Human Sciences
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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This book describes how Cold War researchers used expert opinions
to construct foreknowledge of geopolitical relevance. Focusing on
the RAND Corporation, an American think tank with close relations
to the armed forces, Daye analyses the development of two
techniques of prognosis, the Delphi technique and Political Gaming.
Based on archival research and interviews, the chapters explore the
history of this series of experiments to understand how
contemporary social scientists conceived of one of the core
categories of the Cold War, the expert, and uncover the systematic
use of expert opinions to craft prognoses. This consideration of
the expert's role in Cold War society and what that can tell us
about the role of the expert today will be of interest to students
and scholars across the history of science, the sociology of
knowledge, future studies, the history of the Cold War, social
science methodology, and social policy.
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