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Prospective Evaluation of Applied Energy Research and Development at DOE (Phase One) - A First Look Forward (Paperback)
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Prospective Evaluation of Applied Energy Research and Development at DOE (Phase One) - A First Look Forward (Paperback)
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In 2001, the National Research Council (NRC) completed a
congressionally mandated assessment of the benefits and costs of
DOEa (TM)s fossil energy and energy efficiency R&D programs,
Energy Research at DOE: Was It Worth It? The Congress followed this
retrospective study by directing DOE to request the NRC to develop
a methodology for assessing prospective benefits. The first phase
of this projecta "development of the methodologya "began in
December 2003. Phase two will make the methodology more robust and
explore related issues, and subsequent phases will apply the
methodology to review the prospective benefits of different DOE
fossil energy and energy efficiency R&D programs. In developing
this project, three considerations were particularly important.
First, the study should adapt the work of the retrospective study.
Second, the project should develop a methodology that provides a
rigorous calculation of benefits and risks, and a practical and
consistent process for its application. Third, the methodology
should be transparent, should not require extensive resources for
implementation, and should produce easily understood results. This
report presents the results of phase one. It focuses on adaptation
of the retrospective methodology to a prospective context.
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